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Moron vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-79
25-23 18-17 18-20 23-19
Position#18
Record0-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game84.2
Moron 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#17
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game87.9
SpainPrimera FEBRound 15
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MoronSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoron
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
80-99
80
99
-19
71avg 61
H27/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
66-99
66
99
-33
52avg 61
A02/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
63-69
63
69
-6
45avg 61
H10/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 61
A15/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
78avg 61
H01/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 61
A07/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
82avg 61
H11/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
70avg 61
A15/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
54avg 61
H20/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
51avg 61
A29/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-27
23-31
28-20
20-21
16-25
16-27
23-26
11-21
18-16
14-16
10-19
21-18
27-26
21-17
13-19
20-23
17-24
28-17
12-23
29-27
21-22
19-26
11-28
20-8
27-21
17-19
23-15
17-29
19-21
15-24
22-15
20-19
20-26
19-25
18-20
9-18
15-24
16-21
18-13
19-16
161.8Avg total
75.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.384.2156.5-11.90%
Season at home (7)76.187.9164.0-11.70%
Season away (7)68.480.6149.0-12.10%
Last 10 (10)75.086.8161.8-11.80%
Last 5 (5)74.885.0159.8-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.885.3158.1-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.672.6152.2+7.080%
vs Weaker (10)85.471.8157.2+13.690%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
88avg 73
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 73
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 73
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
76-107
76
107
-31
61avg 73
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
60-94
60
94
-34
47avg 73
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 73
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 73
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
60avg 73
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 73
H20/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
99avg 73
A29/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
23-7
19-26
21-16
22-29
21-28
31-18
19-18
26-24
20-23
26-21
23-18
22-33
11-22
22-29
21-23
15-28
14-21
13-29
18-16
21-17
13-33
17-12
26-21
26-16
8-15
13-21
21-11
26-28
17-18
12-33
13-16
17-23
13-20
22-14
21-11
20-24
16-25
29-19
28-25
169.5Avg total
81.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.487.9169.3-6.443%
Season at home (7)78.175.9154.0+2.371%
Season away (7)84.799.9184.6-15.114%
Last 10 (10)81.987.6169.5-5.750%
Last 5 (5)78.483.2161.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.289.5167.8-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.785.8174.4+2.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
MoronCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MoronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H27/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A02/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A15/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A07/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H11/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A15/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H20/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/12
Primera FEB
83.2Avg total
37.7Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.980.2+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.581.3+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.379.2-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.745.583.2-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.883.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.544.381.7-6.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.033.871.8+4.280%-
vs Weaker (10)45.836.482.2+9.480%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A29/12
Primera FEB
83.0Avg total
37.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.944.882.7-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.541.880.3-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.347.785.0-10.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.745.383.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.443.879.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.247.184.3-9.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.639.378.9+0.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Moron wins
0
Castello wins
No previous meetings.
Moronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AReal Betis68-74
20/12/24HSan Pablo Burgos66-89
15/12/24ACartagena76-79
11/12/24HEstudiantes93-99 OT
07/12/24AZamora71-84
01/12/24HPalencia86-91
15/11/24AEstela81-85
10/11/24HHestia Menorca63-69
02/11/24AOurense66-99
27/10/24HTizona Burgos80-99
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ACartagena106-107 OT
20/12/24HObradoiro CAB73-68
15/12/24ASan Pablo Burgos68-95
11/12/24HHestia Menorca68-63
06/12/24AGipuzkoa77-83
01/12/24HReal Betis60-94
15/11/24APalencia76-107
08/11/24HOurense95-86
01/11/24ATizona Burgos107-105 OT
25/10/24HEstela89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Moron
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.376.168.4
Allowed / game84.287.980.6
Point differential-11.9-11.7-12.1
Avg total156.5164.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game81.478.184.7
Allowed / game87.975.999.9
Point differential-6.4+2.3-15.1
Avg total169.3154.0184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1413193%87.173.2+13.9
2 Estudiantes1413193%88.578.5+10.0
3 Fuenlabrada1412286%82.672.1+10.6
4 Real Betis1511473%83.573.9+9.5
5 Palencia1410471%87.978.5+9.4
6 Ourense149564%84.979.1+5.9
7 Obradoiro CAB147750%78.974.6+4.4
8 Tizona Burgos147750%91.190.7+0.4
9 Zamora157847%79.681.1-1.5
10 Gipuzkoa146843%74.476.0-1.6
11 Castello146843%81.487.9-6.4
12 Cartagena146843%77.785.9-8.2
13 Hestia Menorca145936%72.776.1-3.4
14 Estela145936%72.781.6-8.9
15 Oviedo1441029%76.082.7-6.7
16 Real Valladolid1441029%71.782.8-11.1
17 Alicante1421214%72.277.1-4.9
18 Moron140140%72.384.2-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Moron2518182384
Castello2317201979
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