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Mount St. Mary's vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-57
38-29 39-28
Position#167
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game59.6
Allowed / game65.9
Mount St. Mary's 🏆
USA
vs
Merrimack Warriors
USA
Position#161
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors
29 Jan 2027
MOUN v MERR
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
MOUN70
MERR87
03 Feb 2022
MOUN69
MERR53
15 Jan 2021
MOUN63
MERR52
14 Jan 2021
MOUN77
MERR57
23 Feb 2020
MOUN65
MERR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#68
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#267
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H29/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#74
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#108
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Navy
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H28/11
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A29/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A05/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H09/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#207
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A08/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#207
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
30-38
27-37
50-46
33-28
26-33
28-22
34-33
31-32
36-41
32-41
29-38
20-37
22-23
36-26
39-31
39-31
16-39
28-26
27-41
129.5Avg total
61.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)59.665.9125.4-6.329%
Season at home (2)71.065.0136.0+6.050%
Season away (5)55.066.2121.2-11.220%
Last 10 (10)61.568.0129.5-6.520%
Last 5 (5)57.666.6124.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)59.566.1125.6-6.518%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.768.1133.8-2.340%
vs Weaker (4)65.560.5126.0+5.050%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#267
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A07/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#206
L
64-67 OT
64
67
-3
A08/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#232
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#324
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#238
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#74
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#347
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#191
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#191
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-21
31-32
29-32
29-26
30-34
30-16
41-36
27-23
29-28
23-33
26-26
38-31
23-28
34-37
40-30
29-28
36-46
45-35
32-26
30-42
127.8Avg total
65.0Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.579.0158.5+0.550%
Season at home (2)79.579.0158.5+0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.062.8127.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)69.867.6137.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)59.561.0120.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (18)65.062.5127.5+2.572%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
Mount St. Mary'sMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#68
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#267
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H29/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#74
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A05/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#108
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Navy
#13
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A29/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#37
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A05/12
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#207
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A08/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#207
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A08/01
NCAA
62.3Avg total
30.6Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.830.960.7-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.329.160.4+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)28.632.561.1-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)30.631.762.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.129.557.6-1.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.332.362.6-2.140%-
vs Weaker (4)33.029.262.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#267
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A07/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#206
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/02
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#232
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#324
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#238
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#74
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#347
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#191
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#191
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H08/01
NCAA
61.9Avg total
31.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)30.129.459.6+0.741%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.428.662.9+5.864%-
Last 30 away (13)25.530.455.9-4.815%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.761.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.262.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)27.830.858.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker (18)30.230.060.2+0.244%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mount St. Mary's wins
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
23/02/20Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors65-57
10/01/20Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's64-61
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/21ASt. Francis Brooklyn55-67
08/01/21ASt. Francis Brooklyn55-70
09/12/20HSt. Francis (PA)75-57
05/12/20AVCU Rams42-60
29/11/20AMaryland61-79
28/11/20HNavy67-73
25/11/20AMorgan State62-55
05/03/20ASacred Heart59-61
29/02/20HFairleigh Dickinson77-83
28/02/20ASt. Francis (PA)62-75
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/21HSacred Heart62-68
08/01/21HSacred Heart97-90 OT
28/02/20HCentral Connecticut State69-58
23/02/20AMount St. Mary's57-65
21/02/20HSacred Heart64-57
19/02/20ABryant University52-61
15/02/20HWagner68-59
14/02/20ASt. Francis Brooklyn60-50
08/02/20ALIU Sharks64-67 OT
07/02/20AFairleigh Dickinson57-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game59.671.055.0
Allowed / game65.965.066.2
Point differential-6.3+6.0-11.2
Avg total125.4136.0121.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game79.579.5-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+0.5+0.5-
Avg total158.5158.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena440100%75.866.2+9.5
2 Marist106460%65.466.3-0.9
3 Iona95456%70.068.7+1.3
4 Niagara116555%66.564.0+2.5
5 St. Peters116555%67.467.2+0.2
6 Merrimack Warriors21150%79.579.0+0.5
7 Quinnipiac63350%63.364.0-0.7
8 Canisius63350%66.871.2-4.3
9 Manhattan73443%63.768.1-4.4
10 Sacred Heart73443%70.778.7-8.0
11 Mount St. Mary's72529%59.665.9-6.3
12 Rider113827%66.673.9-7.3
13 Fairfield1321115%60.570.5-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mount St. Mary's383977
Merrimack Warriors292857
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