PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mount St. Mary's vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-87
40-39 30-48
Position#242
Record10-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game72.0
Mount St. Mary's
USA
vs
Merrimack Warriors 🏆
USA
Position#66
Record14-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors
29 Jan 2027
MOUN v MERR
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
MOUN70
MERR87
03 Feb 2022
MOUN69
MERR53
15 Jan 2021
MOUN63
MERR52
14 Jan 2021
MOUN77
MERR57
23 Feb 2020
MOUN65
MERR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
38-46
35-32
34-48
31-33
39-32
25-29
25-38
33-34
45-34
30-34
38-24
32-41
30-36
33-33
38-28
33-32
25-34
32-27
40-38
134.5Avg total
66.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)67.572.0139.5-4.542%
Season at home (10)68.567.1135.6+1.460%
Season away (14)66.875.6142.4-8.829%
Last 10 (10)66.368.2134.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)66.265.4131.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)60.676.4137.0-15.817%
vs Similar (11)68.566.2134.6+2.373%
vs Weaker (7)73.766.1139.9+7.671%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A29/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H02/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A10/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A11/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A19/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A23/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
42-40
29-27
46-38
37-28
36-38
38-22
25-37
25-38
38-38
50-31
33-40
29-25
39-30
33-31
27-30
33-16
34-43
41-32
34-26
134.9Avg total
70.7Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.368.6136.0-1.361%
Season at home (9)72.665.3137.9+7.289%
Season away (14)64.070.7134.7-6.743%
Last 10 (10)70.764.2134.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)70.660.8131.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.579.0130.5-27.50%
vs Similar (21)68.567.0135.5+1.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)70.165.9136.0+4.386%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
Mount St. Mary'sMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.666.9-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.234.868.0-1.627%-
Last 30 away (19)31.734.566.2-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.463.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.465.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.636.767.2-6.133%-
vs Similar (11)32.732.765.5+0.045%-
vs Weaker (7)34.334.168.4+0.129%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacred Heart
#262
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A10/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H17/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A19/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H01/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
35.3Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.464.3+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.029.464.4+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)31.133.264.3-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.328.263.5+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)37.227.064.2+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.543.567.0-20.00%-
vs Similar (21)32.730.363.0+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.131.467.6+4.7100%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mount St. Mary's wins
2
Merrimack Warriors wins
DateGameScore
02/01/26Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's75-65
15/03/25Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's55-57
01/02/25Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's58-66
04/02/22Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors69-53
17/01/22Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's50-57
15/01/21Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors63-52
15/01/21Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors77-57
23/02/20Mount St. Mary's v Merrimack Warriors65-57
10/01/20Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's64-61
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HManhattan72-65
31/01/26ASt. Peters58-66
24/01/26HRider71-61
23/01/26HQuinnipiac62-77
19/01/26ANiagara68-58
17/01/26ACanisius78-68
11/01/26HSiena50-67
10/01/26HSt. Peters70-65
04/01/26AQuinnipiac69-80
02/01/26AMerrimack Warriors65-75
Merrimack Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HSacred Heart75-58
24/01/26HSt. Peters67-59
23/01/26AIona60-61
19/01/26AMarist68-55
17/01/26HQuinnipiac83-71
11/01/26ASt. Peters63-76
10/01/26ASiena63-59
04/01/26HManhattan73-66
02/01/26HMount St. Mary's75-65
29/12/25ASacred Heart80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game67.568.566.8
Allowed / game72.067.175.6
Point differential-4.5+1.4-8.8
Avg total139.5135.6142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %61%89%43%
Points / game67.372.664.0
Allowed / game68.665.370.7
Point differential-1.3+7.2-6.7
Avg total136.0137.9134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena2316770%71.565.5+6.0
2 Marist2215768%71.063.0+7.9
3 Quinnipiac2415962%77.573.6+3.9
4 Iona2314961%73.573.0+0.5
5 Merrimack Warriors2314961%67.368.6-1.3
6 St. Peters2012860%71.567.7+3.9
7 Fairfield24141058%75.572.4+3.1
8 Sacred Heart24101442%75.777.0-1.3
9 Mount St. Mary's24101442%67.572.0-4.5
10 Manhattan2491538%75.481.0-5.7
11 Canisius2481633%63.171.2-8.1
12 Niagara2361726%63.271.5-8.3
13 Rider2131814%64.776.6-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mount St. Mary's403070
Merrimack Warriors394887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.