PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mount St. Mary's vs Rider Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 71-61
33-33 38-28
Position#242
Record8-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game73.2
Mount St. Mary's 🏆
USA
vs
Rider
USA
Position#367
Record2-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.6
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Rider
24 Jan 2026
MOUN71
RIDE61
23 Feb 2025
MOUN79
RIDE72
27 Jan 2024
MOUN62
RIDE66
03 Dec 2022
MOUN65
RIDE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rider winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
73-42
73
42
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
34-37
39-26
34-16
30-33
36-26
27-29
38-46
35-32
34-48
31-33
39-32
25-29
25-38
33-34
45-34
30-34
38-24
32-41
30-36
133.4Avg total
66.8Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)67.673.2140.8-5.638%
Season at home (8)67.868.1135.9-0.450%
Season away (13)67.576.3143.8-8.831%
Last 10 (10)66.866.6133.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)65.667.0132.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.677.5139.1-15.917%
vs Similar (12)69.067.6136.6+1.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)74.267.0141.2+7.267%
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#339
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A17/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A23/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
49-71
49
71
-22
H11/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
85-105
85
105
-20
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
16-26
22-25
25-31
32-34
36-45
43-55
37-33
34-41
31-40
34-34
22-34
40-34
21-30
28-41
41-26
31-42
29-34
29-35
38-51
47-54
138.1Avg total
63.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.675.8138.4-13.211%
Season at home (8)66.470.6137.0-4.225%
Season away (10)59.680.0139.6-20.40%
Last 10 (10)63.674.5138.1-10.910%
Last 5 (5)65.276.2141.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)65.477.2142.6-11.822%
vs Similar (5)60.268.6128.8-8.420%
vs Weaker (1)78.050.0128.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -5.5-5.5
Mount St. Mary'sRider
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H23/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.967.2-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.735.869.5-2.130%-
Last 30 away (20)31.534.566.0-3.035%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.964.4-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.264.4-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.536.867.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (12)32.833.466.2-0.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)34.534.368.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Rider) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucknell
#339
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A10/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H11/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H15/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H19/01
NCAA
64.6Avg total
29.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.768.0-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.133.967.1-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)29.639.268.8-9.60%-
Last 10 (10)29.635.064.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.065.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.238.169.3-6.917%-
vs Similar (5)28.032.860.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker (1)44.025.069.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mount St. Mary's wins
4
Rider wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25Mount St. Mary's v Rider79-72
17/01/25Rider v Mount St. Mary's66-60
17/02/24Rider v Mount St. Mary's61-57
27/01/24Mount St. Mary's v Rider62-66
26/02/23Rider v Mount St. Mary's58-63
03/12/22Mount St. Mary's v Rider65-68
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HQuinnipiac62-77
19/01/26ANiagara68-58
17/01/26ACanisius78-68
11/01/26HSiena50-67
10/01/26HSt. Peters70-65
04/01/26AQuinnipiac69-80
02/01/26AMerrimack Warriors65-75
30/12/25HIona66-59
21/12/25HPenn State Brandywine73-42
20/12/25ADrexel67-75
Riderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HSacred Heart85-105
17/01/26ASt. Peters58-69
15/01/26HIona72-68
11/01/26HMarist49-71
10/01/26AFairfield62-68
04/01/26HSiena65-74
30/12/25HManhattan71-74
23/12/25AVCU Rams79-100
17/12/25ADelaware57-65
10/12/25HBucknell38-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %38%50%31%
Points / game67.667.867.5
Allowed / game73.268.176.3
Point differential-5.6-0.4-8.8
Avg total140.8135.9143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Rider
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game62.666.459.6
Allowed / game75.870.680.0
Point differential-13.2-4.2-20.4
Avg total138.4137.0139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena2114767%70.765.0+5.7
2 Marist2013765%70.862.8+8.0
3 Quinnipiac2214864%77.172.9+4.2
4 Iona2113862%74.073.9+0.2
5 St. Peters1811761%71.467.4+4.0
6 Merrimack Warriors2213959%67.069.1-2.1
7 Fairfield2112957%76.973.3+3.5
8 Sacred Heart2291341%75.576.5-1.0
9 Canisius2081240%62.770.8-8.1
10 Mount St. Mary's2181338%67.673.2-5.6
11 Manhattan2181338%75.881.8-6.0
12 Niagara2051525%63.172.5-9.3
13 Rider1821611%62.675.8-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mount St. Mary's333871
Rider332861
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.