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Mt Gambier vs Sandringham Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 89-64
17-11 26-25 21-19 25-9
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#3
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game94.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Sandringham Sabres
09 Aug 2025
MT G87
SAND95
11 Apr 2025
MT G89
SAND64
20 Jul 2024
MT G59
SAND75
19 May 2023
MT G84
SAND95
28 Aug 2022
MT G88
SAND62
10 Jul 2021
MT G109
SAND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sandringham Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A29/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A30/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H05/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
117-75
117
75
+42
H12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
108-58
108
58
+50
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
27-14
25-20
22-18
19-20
23-15
28-21
16-16
12-17
26-19
30-22
25-27
29-34
16-16
17-18
24-23
28-12
29-17
36-26
24-20
13-17
17-18
18-22
11-18
19-25
18-19
23-21
22-26
32-12
26-19
23-11
27-16
28-15
24-19
27-20
21-22
26-22
13-20
19-21
22-18
169.2Avg total
90.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.071.7167.7+24.367%
Season at home (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
Season away (2)104.067.0171.0+37.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.878.4169.2+12.460%
Last 5 (5)85.876.2162.0+9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
vs Similar (9)88.486.2174.7+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.578.2168.7+12.275%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H07/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H13/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
80-103
80
103
-23
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A30/03
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
21-22
22-25
19-26
19-26
16-20
25-29
25-24
20-18
17-12
24-17
22-25
22-23
20-24
20-22
17-21
28-16
29-21
30-21
16-9
17-13
18-17
22-18
18-11
32-24
22-32
21-19
26-28
15-29
24-25
21-25
20-24
8-35
22-31
18-20
21-14
23-21
12-22
25-20
16-17
169.9Avg total
83.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.094.3169.3-19.30%
Season at home (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Season away (2)74.5101.5176.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)83.686.3169.9-2.730%
Last 5 (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)91.590.0181.5+1.550%
vs Similar (8)83.888.9172.6-5.138%
vs Weaker (20)94.079.8173.9+14.270%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Mt GambierSandringham Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
82.6Avg total
44.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.085.8+5.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.243.087.2+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)47.536.984.5+10.673%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.882.6+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.280.4+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (9)43.942.186.0+1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.439.486.7+8.070%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H07/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H13/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A20/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
30-66
30
66
-36
A30/03
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
NBL1 South
85.6Avg total
40.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.143.389.4+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.643.489.0+2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)46.643.289.8+3.362%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.885.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.888.4-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (8)41.248.589.8-7.238%-
vs Weaker (20)48.141.189.2+7.060%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mt Gambier wins
3
Sandringham Sabres wins
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers80-81
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder100-76
29/03/25AGeelong108-58
27/07/24HEltham82-91
20/07/24HSandringham Sabres59-75
12/07/24HRingwood117-75
06/07/24HMelbourne Tigers86-91
05/07/24HKnox93-85
30/06/24ADandenong86-72
29/06/24ANunawading97-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HHobart Chargers76-80
30/03/25AMelbourne Tigers69-100
29/03/25AFrankston80-103
03/08/24HBallarat101-103
20/07/24AMt Gambier75-59
13/07/24HHobart Chargers103-67
09/07/24HFrankston79-90
07/07/24HKeilor Thunder83-72
05/07/24ABallarat85-99
28/06/24HEltham85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game96.080.0104.0
Allowed / game71.781.067.0
Point differential+24.3-1.0+37.0
Avg total167.7161.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.076.074.5
Allowed / game94.380.0101.5
Point differential-19.3-4.0-27.0
Avg total169.3156.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Hobart Chargers330100%84.778.3+6.3
3 Mt Gambier32167%96.071.7+24.3
4 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
5 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
6 Casey Cavaliers32167%81.079.3+1.7
7 Waverley32167%93.793.7+0.0
8 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
9 Ballarat21150%90.586.5+4.0
10 Frankston21150%88.587.5+1.0
11 Kilsyth42250%81.282.0-0.8
12 NW Tasmania21150%89.092.5-3.5
13 Geelong21150%78.090.0-12.0
14 Nunawading31233%82.789.0-6.3
15 Keilor Thunder31233%81.389.7-8.3
16 Bendigo Braves31233%81.090.0-9.0
17 Diamond Valley41325%80.594.8-14.2
18 Dandenong3030%84.095.3-11.3
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%75.094.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier1726212589
Sandringham Sabres112519964
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