Mt Gambier vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 106-57

24-11 23-15 28-20 31-11

Position#3

Record12-7

FormWWWWL

Points / game89.5

Allowed / game78.6

Mt Gambier 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#11

Record8-10

FormLWWWL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game84.1

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#14

98-81

+17

H20/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

73-78

-5

A28/05

SEABL

Bendigo

63-69

-6

A29/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

106-80

106

+26

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

83-86

-3

A17/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

98-68

+30

A18/06

SEABL

Albury

100-74

100

+26

A25/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

106-67

106

+39

H01/07

SEABL

Albury

81-80

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

87-98

-11

H15/07

SEABL

24-13

20-23

36-21

18-24

16-19

19-24

17-16

21-19

18-20

12-13

25-19

8-17

23-21

25-19

28-23

30-17

21-17

21-20

16-26

25-23

32-15

15-18

29-17

22-18

27-18

21-25

27-18

25-13

24-13

35-22

21-14

26-18

22-17

23-15

17-30

19-18

28-21

25-22

15-27

19-28

167.6Avg total

89.5Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	89.5	78.6	168.1	+10.9	63%
Season at home (9)	91.2	79.4	170.7	+11.8	78%
Season away (10)	87.9	77.8	165.7	+10.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.5	78.1	167.6	+11.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	77.4	171.8	+17.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	81.2	83.8	165.0	-2.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	88.9	75.2	164.0	+13.7	77%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

77-109

109

-32

H15/05

SEABL

Geelong

80-87

-7

A27/05

SEABL

Albury

74-95

-21

H28/05

SEABL

Albury

73-82

-9

A04/06

SEABL

Geelong

89-76

+13

H19/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

69-73

-4

H25/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

100-93

100

H01/07

SEABL

Frankston

#14

79-72

A02/07

SEABL

Canberra

86-69

+17

A09/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

66-79

-13

H17/07

SEABL

26-34

15-23

20-28

16-24

18-27

23-19

19-15

20-26

20-18

25-27

12-31

17-19

25-15

15-22

13-28

20-17

19-21

22-22

23-21

25-12

20-13

14-22

21-10

14-28

22-22

25-19

34-22

19-30

15-20

18-13

21-23

25-16

29-8

14-22

24-14

19-25

17-20

18-21

18-23

13-15

162.8Avg total

79.3Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	79.2	84.1	163.3	-4.8	44%
Season at home (9)	80.6	89.1	169.7	-8.6	33%
Season away (9)	77.9	79.0	156.9	-1.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	83.5	162.8	-4.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	77.2	157.2	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	78.0	90.8	168.8	-12.8	20%
vs Similar (10)	78.6	77.6	156.2	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker (5)	83.2	78.0	161.2	+5.2	60%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.1	41.0	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	17.1	40.2	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	17.4	40.9	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	16.8	43.4	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	24.5	19.8	44.2	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.7	17.8	40.5	+4.8	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.4	42.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.2	23.1	43.3	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.6	22.2	47.8	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.2	19.2	36.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.5	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.8	39.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.5	42.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	23.4	43.1	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	14.4	16.2	30.6	-1.8	20%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#14

44-36

H20/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

35-43

-8

A28/05

SEABL

Bendigo

30-33

-3

A29/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-40

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-37

A17/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

47-33

+14

A18/06

SEABL

Albury

48-43

A25/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

59-35

+24

H01/07

SEABL

Albury

45-32

+13

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

53-43

+10

H15/07

SEABL

82.6Avg total

45.1Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	36.4	80.3	+7.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	35.3	80.6	+10.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	37.5	82.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	37.2	87.6	+13.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.3	36.0	80.2	+8.3	73%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

41-57

-16

H15/05

SEABL

Geelong

41-46

-5

A27/05

SEABL

Albury

45-45

H28/05

SEABL

Albury

40-37

A04/06

SEABL

Geelong

41-43

-2

H19/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

34-35

-1

H25/06

SEABL

Ballarat

#10

47-41

H01/07

SEABL

Frankston

#14

33-33

A02/07

SEABL

Canberra

43-30

+13

A09/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

35-41

-6

H17/07

SEABL

80.8Avg total

40.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.3	81.8	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	43.6	84.1	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	40.9	79.6	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.0	74.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.9	46.5	86.5	-6.6	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	60%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.1	44.2	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.6	42.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.9	43.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	23.9	43.4	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	18.5	40.8	+3.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.0	38.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.0	82.2	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	41.5	85.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	36.6	78.6	+5.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	40.6	85.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	40.2	84.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.5	44.8	84.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.7	38.2	81.8	+5.5	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.7	81.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.7	79.3	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	42.7	82.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.2	82.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/16	Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier	77-109
17/07/15	Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres	101-85
03/05/15	Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier	75-104

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/16	H	Geelong	87-98
08/07/16	H	Albury	81-80
01/07/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	106-67
25/06/16	A	Albury	100-74
18/06/16	A	NW Tasmania	98-68
17/06/16	A	Hobart Chargers	83-86
03/06/16	H	NW Tasmania	106-80
29/05/16	A	Bendigo	63-69
28/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	73-78
20/05/16	H	Frankston	98-81

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/07/16	H	Hobart Chargers	66-79
09/07/16	A	Canberra	86-69
02/07/16	A	Frankston	79-72
01/07/16	H	Ballarat	100-93
25/06/16	H	Kilsyth	69-73
19/06/16	H	Geelong	89-76
04/06/16	A	Albury	73-82
28/05/16	H	Albury	74-95
27/05/16	A	Geelong	80-87
15/05/16	H	Mt Gambier	77-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	63%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	63%	78%	50%
Points / game	89.5	91.2	87.9
Allowed / game	78.6	79.4	77.8
Point differential	+10.9	+11.8	+10.1
Avg total	168.1	170.7	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	56%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	44%
Home	LWLWL	33%
Away	WLLWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	33%	56%
Points / game	79.2	80.6	77.9
Allowed / game	84.1	89.1	79.0
Point differential	-4.8	-8.6	-1.1
Avg total	163.3	169.7	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	22%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	19	16	3	84%	86.5	73.5	+13.1
2	Hobart Chargers	21	17	4	81%	87.0	74.8	+12.2
3	Mt Gambier	19	12	7	63%	89.5	78.6	+10.9
4	Brisbane Spartans	19	12	7	63%	87.6	83.1	+4.5
5	Geelong	20	11	9	55%	85.0	82.0	+3.0
6	Dandenong	19	10	9	53%	86.2	85.3	+0.8
7	NW Tasmania	19	10	9	53%	84.9	87.7	-2.8
8	Canberra	19	10	9	53%	79.5	83.0	-3.5
9	Nunawading	19	9	10	47%	85.3	83.2	+2.2
10	Ballarat	19	9	10	47%	91.9	91.8	+0.1
11	Albury	20	9	11	45%	86.1	86.2	-0.1
12	Southern Sabres	18	8	10	44%	79.2	84.1	-4.8
13	Kilsyth	19	7	12	37%	74.2	81.2	-7.0
14	Frankston	20	5	15	25%	75.7	83.3	-7.6
15	Melbourne Tigers	19	3	16	16%	70.5	84.5	-14.0
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	24	23	28	31	106
Southern Sabres	11	15	20	11	57

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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