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Murcia vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-63
19-9 10-19 21-21 27-14
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Murcia 🏆
vs
Rilski Sportist
Position#37
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
59avg 75
A04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 75
H11/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
85avg 75
A18/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
96avg 75
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
73avg 75
A30/05
ACB
Lublin
#51
W
100-84
100
84
+16
92avg 75
H20/09
Champions League
Juventus
#18
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 75
A22/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 75
H24/09
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
95-64
95
64
+31
102avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
81avg 75
A11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
13-18
23-20
30-23
18-22
26-15
13-18
24-16
13-17
22-19
22-25
27-23
34-27
21-22
27-25
23-19
17-23
20-9
21-16
18-21
27-17
21-25
28-21
24-21
16-14
23-15
19-16
23-26
26-29
21-20
18-27
23-20
16-12
32-17
29-18
18-17
10-12
26-18
23-22
34-19
169.1Avg total
88.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.980.2169.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)91.477.2168.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.782.0165.7+1.733%
vs Similar (13)81.482.2163.5-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.577.5164.9+10.077%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
82avg 86
A14/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
82-68
82
68
+14
78avg 86
A16/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
91-68
91
68
+23
85avg 86
H24/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
75avg 86
H26/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 86
A29/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 86
A31/05
NBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 86
A21/09
Champions League
Cherno More
#1
L
66-84
66
84
-18
62avg 86
H28/09
Super Cup
Minyor
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 86
H04/10
NBL
Levski
#10
W
105-70
105
70
+35
109avg 86
H11/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
13-27
27-22
31-29
18-23
19-14
26-14
19-17
27-15
25-27
22-10
17-16
19-13
16-25
25-20
21-23
26-15
17-30
15-19
27-25
27-16
20-12
17-17
18-27
19-27
15-18
26-25
24-23
23-20
14-22
19-18
10-24
30-14
23-22
15-18
21-23
23-20
25-15
30-11
27-24
167.0Avg total
86.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.580.5167.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)85.279.2164.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)93.981.1175.0+12.885%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
MurciaRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A18/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/05
ACB
Lublin
#51
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/09
Champions League
Juventus
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/09
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H05/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A11/10
ACB
78.2Avg total
41.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.077.6+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.481.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.735.673.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.978.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.879.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.036.374.3+1.767%-
vs Similar (13)39.338.277.5+1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.737.977.6+1.854%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A14/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A31/05
NBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#19
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A21/09
Champions League
Cherno More
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/09
Super Cup
Minyor
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H04/10
NBL
Levski
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H11/10
NBL
81.5Avg total
42.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.741.187.8+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.041.890.8+7.282%-
Last 30 away (13)43.640.283.8+3.546%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.481.5+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.281.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.042.082.0-2.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)47.840.788.6+7.177%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.3
57.3%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.2
32.5%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.216.9
72.8%
73.4%16.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.8
56.6%
52.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.0
38.1%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.617.6
71.5%
73.4%17.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWLWWWWLWL
Rilski Sportist
WWLLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#37
+11.6
Net rating
+8.8
114.7
Offensive rating
119.7
103.1
Defensive rating
110.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
56.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.5%
3-point %
38.1%
58.4%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 119.7Defence103.1 · 110.9Shooting53.3% · 56.8%3-point %32.5% · 38.1%Ball care16.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.9% · 36.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
Rilski Sportist wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ABasquet Girona93-71
05/10/25HMoraBanc Andorra95-64
24/09/25HChalon/Saone88-96
22/09/25AJuventus81-71
20/09/25HLublin100-84
30/05/25AGran Canaria76-69
24/05/25HLeyma Coruna105-93
18/05/25AUnicaja93-104 OT
11/05/25HManresa81-71
04/05/25AForca Lleida77-79
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HLevski105-70
04/10/25HMinyor89-77
28/09/25HCherno More66-84
21/09/25ABC Kalev/Cramo84-93
31/05/25ACherno More82-72
29/05/25ACherno More85-89
26/05/25HCherno More88-87 OT
24/05/25HCherno More91-68
16/05/25ASpartak Pleven82-68
14/05/25ASpartak Pleven93-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rilski Sportist
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trefl Sopot110100%92.063.0+29.0
2 Cedevita Junior110100%94.076.0+18.0
3 Rostock110100%100.082.0+18.0
4 Basket Zaragoza110100%97.082.0+15.0
5 CSM Oradea110100%89.075.0+14.0
6 Vechta330100%85.371.3+14.0
7 Brno330100%82.770.0+12.7
8 PAOK110100%85.074.0+11.0
9 Petkim Spor110100%85.074.0+11.0
10 Lublin110100%90.080.0+10.0
11 Reggiana110100%96.088.0+8.0
12 Peristeri110100%84.081.0+3.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig110100%98.097.0+1.0
14 FC Porto110100%80.079.0+1.0
15 Corona Brasov32167%84.072.7+11.3
16 BC Prievidza32167%88.784.3+4.3
17 Anorthosis32167%84.081.0+3.0
18 Cibona21150%92.592.0+0.5
19 Absheron Lions21150%74.575.0-0.5
20 Bashkimi21150%75.584.0-8.5
21 Anwil Wloclawek31233%88.383.0+5.3
22 KK Bosna31233%81.376.3+5.0
23 Antwerp Giants1010%79.080.0-1.0
24 Bilbao1010%81.084.0-3.0
25 Bakken Bears1010%94.0102.0-8.0
26 Dijon1010%88.096.0-8.0
27 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
28 Trepca1010%74.085.0-11.0
29 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
30 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
31 AEK Larnaca1010%75.089.0-14.0
32 Keravnos1010%68.082.0-14.0
33 Szombathely1010%82.097.0-15.0
34 Kutaisi1010%66.084.0-18.0
35 Pelister1010%76.094.0-18.0
36 Tartu Ulikool1010%82.0100.0-18.0
37 Valcea1010%72.091.0-19.0
38 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
39 Neftchi IK1010%63.092.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 39 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1910212777
Rilski Sportist919211463
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