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Forca Lleida vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-77
18-11 18-13 20-23 23-30
Position#16
Record10-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.4
Forca Lleida 🏆
Spain
vs
Murcia
Spain
Position#10
Record14-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.5
SpainACBRound 30· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Murcia
23 Jan 2027
FLL v MUR
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
FLL71
MUR107
04 May 2025
FLL79
MUR77
17 Nov 2010
FLL75
MUR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
75-91
75
91
-16
72avg 76
A02/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 76
H09/02
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 76
A01/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-91
97
91
+6
99avg 76
H09/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
72avg 76
A16/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 76
H23/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 76
A29/03
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 76
H05/04
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
48avg 76
H20/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
75avg 76
A27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
21-20
17-20
17-23
21-28
16-18
28-20
19-29
18-31
24-21
19-26
23-19
17-19
33-24
22-18
25-30
12-21
19-22
16-16
26-14
22-18
18-27
25-24
16-17
29-28
29-25
18-19
19-17
23-30
19-17
24-15
28-19
19-20
11-17
17-21
20-18
17-26
16-26
20-25
26-19
172.5Avg total
84.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.687.4171.0-3.836%
Season at home (14)84.282.1166.4+2.150%
Season away (14)83.192.6175.7-9.621%
Last 10 (10)84.188.4172.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)83.285.6168.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.388.3169.6-7.120%
vs Similar (15)85.984.6170.5+1.360%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#35
W
85-63
85
63
+22
80avg 72
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 72
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 72
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 72
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
46avg 72
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 72
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 72
A05/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
63avg 72
H12/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
105avg 72
H19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
76avg 72
A27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
20-17
27-14
24-15
19-22
14-15
15-16
16-23
20-16
9-21
17-27
25-12
29-26
11-11
23-21
23-12
19-12
11-22
14-27
16-15
14-19
22-29
25-19
18-18
21-9
20-24
21-23
24-15
20-28
18-15
20-24
24-24
17-20
30-26
31-19
22-18
17-16
20-16
23-10
16-34
156.7Avg total
79.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.581.5163.0+0.048%
Season at home (15)80.882.9163.7-2.140%
Season away (14)82.380.0162.3+2.357%
Last 10 (10)79.677.1156.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)86.082.0168.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.685.6169.2-2.020%
vs Similar (12)77.282.6159.8-5.325%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.976.3160.2+7.685%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
Forca LleidaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A01/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H09/03
ACB
Granada
#17
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A29/03
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H05/04
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A27/04
ACB
87.0Avg total
40.4Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.183.0-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.479.9-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)40.145.585.6-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.687.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.887.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.544.784.3-5.227%-
vs Similar (15)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A27/04
ACB
74.6Avg total
36.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.839.878.6-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)39.237.176.3+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.174.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
vs Similar (12)37.839.677.3-1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.636.275.8+3.462%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.9
51.0%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws28.022.4
80.0%
76.4%22.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.0
49.5%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.5
31.6%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.317.3
74.2%
76.4%17.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LLWWLWWLLL
Murcia
WWLWLLWLLW
#16
League position
#10
-5.8
Net rating
+3.6
107.4
Offensive rating
104.2
113.2
Defensive rating
100.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.2%
3-point %
31.6%
60.7%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 104.2Defence113.2 · 100.6Shooting49.2% · 48.6%3-point %31.2% · 31.6%Ball care18.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.45 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forca Lleida wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Murcia v Forca Lleida88-81
02/03/11Murcia v Forca Lleida82-66
17/11/10Forca Lleida v Murcia75-82
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AMoraBanc Andorra79-96
20/04/25HValencia67-76
05/04/25HBreogan94-81
29/03/25AManresa95-89
23/03/25HJoventut Badalona81-86
16/03/25AGranada85-82 OT
09/03/25HBasket Zaragoza97-91
01/03/25ALeyma Coruna84-97
09/02/25HReal Madrid84-95
02/02/25ABilbao75-91
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ABilbao83-80 OT
19/04/25HJoventut Badalona100-83
12/04/25HBaskonia82-91
05/04/25AValencia86-71
29/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra79-85
26/03/25HNymburk60-76
22/03/25ABreogan86-70
19/03/25ANanterre71-76
15/03/25HBasquet Girona64-76
12/03/25HSzombathely85-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLWWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%50%21%
Points / game83.684.283.1
Allowed / game87.482.192.6
Point differential-3.8+2.1-9.6
Avg total171.0166.4175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)17% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW48%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%40%57%
Points / game81.580.882.3
Allowed / game81.582.980.0
Point differential+0.0-2.1+2.3
Avg total163.0163.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %14%13%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2925486%87.778.0+9.7
2 Tenerife3124777%87.282.8+4.4
3 Valencia2921872%97.085.9+11.1
4 Unicaja31211068%89.684.3+5.3
5 Barcelona29181162%91.886.9+5.0
6 Joventut Badalona30171357%85.484.0+1.4
7 Gran Canaria29161355%84.484.0+0.4
8 Manresa30161453%88.585.7+2.8
9 Baskonia30161453%88.087.6+0.4
10 Murcia29141548%81.581.5+0.0
11 Breogan30131743%80.286.3-6.1
12 Basket Zaragoza30121840%88.989.8-0.9
13 MoraBanc Andorra30111937%86.991.3-4.4
14 Forca Lleida28101836%83.687.4-3.8
15 Bilbao30102033%81.283.7-2.5
16 Basquet Girona30102033%81.187.7-6.6
17 Granada3072323%81.087.7-6.7
18 Leyma Coruna2962321%86.095.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forca Lleida1818202379
Murcia1113233077
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