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Murcia vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-84
27-17 21-25 28-21 24-21
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Murcia 🏆
vs
Lublin
Position#51
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Arena SamElyon
European cup2025
Meetings · Murcia v Lublin
19 Nov 2025
MUR80
LUB75
20 Sep 2025
MUR100
LUB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 74
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 74
A05/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
63avg 74
H12/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
105avg 74
H19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
76avg 74
A27/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
59avg 74
A04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 74
H11/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
85avg 74
A18/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
96avg 74
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
73avg 74
A30/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
22-29
25-19
18-18
21-9
20-24
21-23
24-15
20-28
18-15
20-24
24-24
17-20
30-26
31-19
22-18
17-16
20-16
23-10
16-34
11-18
13-18
23-20
30-23
18-22
26-15
13-18
24-16
13-17
22-19
22-25
27-23
34-27
21-22
27-25
23-19
17-23
20-9
21-16
18-21
168.8Avg total
86.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.282.6168.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)86.483.2169.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.782.0165.7+1.733%
vs Similar (14)79.682.3161.9-2.736%
vs Weaker (13)85.879.2165.0+6.777%
LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 79
H02/06
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
80avg 79
H04/06
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 79
A07/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 79
H09/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
73avg 79
H11/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 79
A14/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 79
A16/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
97-82
97
82
+15
94avg 79
H18/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 79
A20/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 79
H22/06
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
16-17
22-23
25-22
17-19
21-30
23-18
25-19
26-23
18-13
18-17
17-19
17-18
22-20
24-21
19-22
24-20
15-34
23-15
16-15
27-29
29-23
17-17
13-21
26-16
23-19
11-24
17-12
20-19
32-25
26-13
19-25
27-19
20-28
15-21
21-19
18-23
19-19
24-22
21-28
168.7Avg total
84.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.983.8168.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)85.084.4169.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.585.9162.4-9.450%
vs Similar (17)85.583.4168.8+2.159%
vs Weaker (5)92.286.8179.0+5.460%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
MurciaLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/04
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A27/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A18/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H24/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/05
ACB
78.6Avg total
39.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.377.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.079.9-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.736.674.3+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.278.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.077.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.036.374.3+1.767%-
vs Similar (14)38.138.576.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (13)39.838.578.3+1.254%-
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/06
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H04/06
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H09/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H11/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A14/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A16/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H18/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H22/06
Energa Basket Liga
88.2Avg total
44.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.287.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.343.186.4+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.488.2+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.688.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.092.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.542.681.1-4.112%-
vs Similar (17)46.642.989.5+3.665%-
vs Weaker (5)44.445.289.6-0.860%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.2
53.9%
52.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
33.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
74.1%13.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.1
53.6%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
33.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
74.1%16.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWLWLWWLWL
Lublin
LLWWLLWWLW
#7
League position
#51
+4.4
Net rating
+1.5
110.2
Offensive rating
114.6
105.8
Defensive rating
113.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
35.0%
57.0%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 114.6Defence105.8 · 113.1Shooting53.1% · 53.2%3-point %34.6% · 35.0%Ball care16.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 25.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
Lublin wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25AGran Canaria76-69
24/05/25HLeyma Coruna105-93
18/05/25AUnicaja93-104 OT
11/05/25HManresa81-71
04/05/25AForca Lleida77-79
27/04/25ABilbao83-80 OT
19/04/25HJoventut Badalona100-83
12/04/25HBaskonia82-91
05/04/25AValencia86-71
29/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra79-85
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25HLegia82-92
20/06/25ALegia83-87
18/06/25HLegia97-82
16/06/25ALegia77-71
14/06/25ALegia86-90
11/06/25HLegia78-84
09/06/25HLegia82-81
07/06/25ATrefl Sopot79-72
04/06/25HTrefl Sopot93-95 OT
02/06/25HTrefl Sopot92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lublin
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chalon/Saone110100%107.080.0+27.0
2 Juventus110100%103.089.0+14.0
3 PAOK110100%79.067.0+12.0
4 Reggiana110100%99.087.0+12.0
5 Antwerp Giants110100%79.071.0+8.0
6 Bursaspor110100%81.074.0+7.0
7 FC Porto110100%83.079.0+4.0
8 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
10 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
11 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
12 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
13 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
14 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia27212824100
Lublin1725212184
← all games of the day
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