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Murray State vs Chattanooga Mocs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-76
34-37 53-39
Position#4
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#30
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game60.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A17/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
80-43
80
43
+37
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
118-48
118
48
+70
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
55-45
54-32
29-26
49-33
41-25
36-40
29-32
29-34
43-16
37-27
25-30
49-32
49-29
49-32
44-40
49-47
26-40
48-32
53-25
65-23
149.9Avg total
85.9Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.964.0149.9+21.990%
Season at home (7)89.765.7155.4+24.086%
Season away (3)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.964.0149.9+21.990%
Last 5 (5)91.466.0157.4+25.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.574.0144.5-3.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)75.562.9138.4+12.768%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#180
W
75-45
75
45
+30
H14/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H17/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Covenant
#598
W
100-39
100
39
+61
H23/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A01/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A05/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A08/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
104-55
104
55
+49
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-18
40-27
31-32
38-30
27-23
29-31
48-16
52-23
34-25
32-43
35-41
47-24
38-18
47-46
39-26
39-47
53-25
51-30
23-39
45-37
138.4Avg total
78.3Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.060.5138.5+17.582%
Season at home (5)82.853.8136.6+29.080%
Season away (6)74.066.0140.0+8.083%
Last 10 (10)78.360.1138.4+18.280%
Last 5 (5)83.466.6150.0+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)71.071.5142.5-0.550%
vs Similar (15)69.970.2140.1-0.347%
vs Weaker (13)77.662.6140.2+15.092%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +13.3+13.32nd half: +8.2+8.2
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +13.3+13.32nd half: +8.2+8.2
Murray StateChattanooga Mocs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A17/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
43-16
43
16
+27
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H16/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
39.4Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.367.0+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.330.468.7+7.969%-
Last 30 away (14)35.030.165.1+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)39.430.870.2+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.872.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.033.066.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.428.965.3+7.573%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#180
W
35-18
35
18
+17
H14/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Covenant
#598
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H23/11
NCAA
Charleston
#182
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A05/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A08/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A15/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
36.3Scored
26.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.062.7+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.629.365.9+7.369%-
Last 30 away (17)31.628.760.3+2.959%-
Last 10 (10)36.326.362.6+10.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.629.867.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (15)32.929.061.9+3.973%-
vs Weaker (13)34.628.362.9+6.354%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21HWesleyan Univ.118-48
11/12/21AMemphis74-72
05/12/21HMiddle Tenn. St.93-87
30/11/21HCampbellsville98-61
24/11/21HJames Madison74-62
23/11/21ALong Beach State80-43
22/11/21HEast Tennessee St58-66
17/11/21AIllinois State77-65
14/11/21HBellarmine78-59
10/11/21HCumberland University (TN)109-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21ABelmont68-76
12/12/21HWesleyan Univ.104-55
08/12/21AUNC Asheville78-73
05/12/21ALipscomb85-64
01/12/21ATennessee Tech82-65
27/11/21HCharleston66-68
23/11/21HCovenant100-39
20/11/21AVCU Rams56-54
17/11/21HTennessee Tech69-62
14/11/21HUNC Asheville75-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %90%86%100%
Points / game85.989.777.0
Allowed / game64.065.760.0
Point differential+21.9+24.0+17.0
Avg total149.9155.4137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%71%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game78.082.874.0
Allowed / game60.553.866.0
Point differential+17.5+29.0+8.0
Avg total138.5136.6140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State109190%85.964.0+21.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake117464%75.367.9+7.4
4 Southern Illinois117464%65.458.5+6.9
5 Illinois State127558%80.377.9+2.4
6 Valparaiso115645%73.567.5+6.0
7 Bradley115645%70.566.8+3.7
8 Indiana State115645%72.872.2+0.6
9 Northern Iowa94544%71.367.9+3.4
10 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
11 Illinois (Chi.)103730%68.470.0-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs119282%78.060.5+17.5
2 Samford119282%76.872.0+4.8
3 Citadel96367%85.670.3+15.2
4 Wofford128467%78.164.3+13.8
5 NC Greensboro128467%64.464.1+0.3
6 Mercer117464%73.970.1+3.8
7 VMI127558%79.465.7+13.8
8 Furman127558%80.575.2+5.3
9 East Tennessee St127558%69.768.7+1.0
10 Western Carolina116555%76.175.0+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State345387
Chattanooga Mocs373976
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