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Murray State vs Chicago State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#267
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Murray State v Chicago State
02 Dec 2026
MURR v CHIC
upcoming
13 Dec 2022
MURR66
CHIC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
94-64
94
64
+30
A02/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-21
31-51
39-24
31-63
28-36
33-42
37-36
51-39
35-36
43-51
32-50
47-42
46-35
48-29
42-39
51-32
51-30
43-27
50-38
49-40
159.1Avg total
83.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.067.5162.5+27.5100%
Season at home (3)95.368.7164.0+26.7100%
Season away (1)94.064.0158.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.076.1159.1+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.872.4164.2+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.489.7170.1-9.329%
vs Similar (14)81.377.8159.1+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.470.6158.0+16.9100%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
59-109
59
109
-50
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
33-32
28-25
42-26
31-32
25-41
24-42
37-38
33-40
42-39
30-56
29-53
34-22
32-32
33-53
34-29
39-26
42-36
29-46
38-41
139.8Avg total
66.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Season at home (1)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
Season away (4)68.278.0146.2-9.850%
Last 10 (10)66.173.7139.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)68.078.8146.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.675.2138.8-11.617%
vs Similar (4)76.273.2149.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (2)75.558.0133.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: -1.3-1.3
Murray StateChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A13/02
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A02/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#338
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
40.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.276.0+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.235.276.4+6.182%-
Last 30 away (13)37.837.575.4+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.574.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.482.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.157%-
vs Similar (14)37.936.274.1+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.033.378.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A28/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Texas
#2
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#378
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A06/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#136
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H10/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#321
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#129
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A14/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
30.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.866.7-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.032.766.7+1.364%-
Last 30 away (19)29.237.566.7-8.426%-
Last 10 (10)30.737.067.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.673.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.436.866.2-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.569.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker (2)40.528.068.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murray State wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateGameScore
14/12/22Murray State v Chicago State66-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTexas Southern99-78
11/11/26HAlcorn State94-57
08/11/26HNorthwestern St.93-71
02/11/26ATennessee State94-64
06/03/26HIllinois (Chi.)79-92
01/03/26ABradley78-87
21/02/26HEvansville88-75
19/02/26AIllinois State61-78
15/02/26HBelmont70-87
13/02/26AIndiana State74-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASan Diego Toreros67-87
12/11/26ACalifornia Baptist81-62
10/11/26HSouth Carolina St67-82
06/11/26AIncarnate Word66-54
03/11/26ATexas59-109
05/03/26ALIU Sharks75-79
28/02/26AWagner61-80
27/02/26ALIU Sharks56-73
21/02/26HCentral Connecticut State70-51
20/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson59-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.095.394.0
Allowed / game67.568.764.0
Point differential+27.5+26.7+30.0
Avg total162.5164.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game68.067.068.2
Allowed / game78.882.078.0
Point differential-10.8-15.0-9.8
Avg total146.8149.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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