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Murray State vs Loyola Chicago Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-68
34-36 37-32
Position#214
Record6-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#75
Record9-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Loyola Chicago winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
A24/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
44-37
36-30
43-31
30-35
45-42
44-30
35-36
33-25
30-36
33-33
40-20
39-33
28-34
26-41
48-43
14-34
35-32
29-38
42-33
145.6Avg total
74.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.269.2146.4+8.150%
Season at home (7)75.960.1136.0+15.771%
Season away (5)79.281.8161.0-2.620%
Last 10 (10)74.671.0145.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)72.475.6148.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.673.6142.2-5.012%
vs Similar ◀ (17)68.867.4136.2+1.547%
vs Weaker (4)78.071.0149.0+7.075%
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Loyola ChicagoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eureka
#607
W
105-53
105
53
+52
H10/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H04/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H07/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H15/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H19/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-29
57-24
43-38
30-30
35-32
41-40
42-27
47-26
39-26
37-28
35-38
39-34
28-24
38-52
36-26
36-34
27-33
44-39
34-37
34-40
142.7Avg total
77.0Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.066.2144.2+11.875%
Season at home (10)79.265.4144.6+13.880%
Season away (2)72.070.0142.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.065.7142.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)70.271.4141.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.770.1141.8+1.760%
vs Weaker (14)78.163.6141.6+14.593%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +5.6+5.6
Murray StateLoyola Chicago
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A19/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
14-34
14
34
-20
H23/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
32.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.465.5+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.930.262.1+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)34.434.969.4-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)32.832.965.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.235.864.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.538.470.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.029.961.9+2.159%-
vs Weaker (4)33.534.267.8-0.850%-
This opponent (Loyola Chicago) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Loyola ChicagoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eureka
#607
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H10/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H07/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H15/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A22/12
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.7Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.031.866.8+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.330.166.4+6.274%-
Last 30 away (11)32.734.867.5-2.155%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.067.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.663.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.832.666.4+1.260%-
vs Weaker (14)37.430.768.1+6.779%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Loyola Chicago wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24ACharlotte90-94 OT
23/12/24HNebraska49-66
19/12/24AIndiana State74-84
14/12/24AWestern Kentucky76-81 OT
08/12/24HSoutheast Missouri State73-53
04/12/24HEvansville63-61
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
16/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.88-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HCharleston68-77
22/12/24AOakland71-72
19/12/24HCanisius72-60
15/12/24HSan Francisco66-76
07/12/24HSouth Florida74-72
04/12/24HEastern Michigan76-54
23/11/24HTulsa89-53
20/11/24HSouthern Utah76-72
16/11/24APrinceton73-68
10/11/24HEureka105-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game77.275.979.2
Allowed / game69.260.181.8
Point differential+8.1+15.7-2.6
Avg total146.4136.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%40%
Loyola Chicago
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL75%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %75%80%50%
Points / game78.079.272.0
Allowed / game66.265.470.0
Point differential+11.8+13.8+2.0
Avg total144.2144.6142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake11110100%74.557.2+17.4
2 Bradley1210283%82.066.8+15.2
3 Belmont129375%84.178.9+5.2
4 Indiana State128467%84.474.6+9.8
5 Illinois (Chi.)128467%81.473.5+7.9
6 Illinois State128467%80.172.2+7.8
7 Northern Iowa127558%78.066.3+11.7
8 Valparaiso127558%80.471.7+8.8
9 Murray State126650%77.269.2+8.1
10 Southern Illinois125742%74.374.9-0.6
11 Evansville123925%65.674.3-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Bonaventure1312192%72.159.6+12.5
2 Rhode Island1211192%85.771.6+14.1
3 George Washington1311285%79.867.5+12.4
4 VCU Rams1310377%77.661.3+16.3
5 Dayton1310377%77.267.2+10.0
6 Loyola Chicago129375%78.066.2+11.8
7 Davidson129375%77.069.9+7.1
8 George Mason128467%76.662.7+13.9
9 Saint Josephs Hawks128467%76.468.4+8.0
10 La Salle138562%78.773.4+5.3
11 Fordham138562%76.974.5+2.5
12 St. Louis Billikens126650%77.273.2+4.0
13 Richmond Spiders125742%72.874.6-1.8
14 Duquesne124833%65.766.2-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State343771
Loyola Chicago363268
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