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Murray State vs Utah Valley State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-77
30-35 45-42
Position#214
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#32
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-48
43-47
29-41
39-31
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
39-41
29-42
44-30
44-37
36-30
43-31
145.6Avg total
74.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.062.0149.0+25.075%
Season at home (2)96.049.0145.0+47.0100%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)74.171.5145.6+2.640%
Last 5 (5)76.661.6138.2+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.179.6147.7-11.40%
vs Similar (17)67.865.4133.2+2.547%
vs Weaker (3)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#320
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H23/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
63-74 OT
63
74
-11
H14/03
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H05/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H09/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
40-36
31-32
39-27
37-24
34-38
29-38
36-40
30-40
33-20
35-38
39-29
30-28
30-32
42-23
50-34
43-28
46-32
34-33
37-44
140.5Avg total
73.6Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.064.7148.7+19.367%
Season at home (2)90.558.5149.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)71.077.0148.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)73.666.9140.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)77.867.0144.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.372.4137.7-7.130%
vs Similar (12)70.966.8137.7+4.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)75.366.4141.7+8.957%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
Murray StateUtah Valley State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.567.6+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.631.565.1+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.635.570.1-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.971.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.429.466.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.442.376.8-7.922%-
vs Similar (17)32.529.561.9+3.053%-
vs Weaker (3)35.735.070.7+0.767%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#320
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Western Colorado
#447
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H05/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H09/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A14/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
34.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.865.7+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.129.664.6+5.562%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.567.0-6.021%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.367.2+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.066.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.937.969.8-6.020%-
vs Similar (12)32.132.064.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)34.128.162.3+6.057%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Utah Valley State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
16/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.88-67
09/11/24APittsburgh68-83
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
22/02/24ASouthern Illinois68-72
18/02/24ADrake72-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24ANorth Dakota71-77
09/11/24HUTEP89-60
05/11/24HWestern Colorado92-57
14/03/24HCalifornia Baptist63-74 OT
09/03/24AAbilene Christian74-67
08/03/24ATarleton63-60
02/03/24HUT Arlington65-78
24/02/24HStephen F. Austin71-62
23/02/24HUTRGV70-59
18/02/24ASouthern Utah78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.096.078.0
Allowed / game62.049.075.0
Point differential+25.0+47.0+3.0
Avg total149.0145.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Valley State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.090.571.0
Allowed / game64.758.577.0
Point differential+19.3+32.0-6.0
Avg total148.7149.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake550100%75.457.0+18.4
2 Bradley65183%80.370.8+9.5
3 Belmont54180%83.275.2+8.0
4 Murray State43175%87.062.0+25.0
5 Illinois (Chi.)64267%91.774.3+17.3
6 Illinois State53260%80.467.6+12.8
7 Northern Iowa53260%79.667.4+12.2
8 Indiana State53260%84.073.4+10.6
9 Valparaiso42250%79.567.0+12.5
10 Southern Illinois52340%76.275.2+1.0
11 Evansville51420%66.676.2-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah54180%86.869.2+17.6
2 Utah Valley State32167%84.064.7+19.3
3 Abilene Christian53260%82.870.4+12.4
4 California Baptist53260%79.677.6+2.0
5 UT Arlington52340%85.078.4+6.6
6 Utah Tech51420%66.476.8-10.4
7 Tarleton61517%59.082.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State304575
Utah Valley State354277
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