PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murray State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-61
33-25 30-36
Position#214
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#319
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Murray State v Evansville
09 Jan 2027
MURR v EVAN
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
MURR88
EVAN75
06 Mar 2025
MURR74
EVAN53
03 Dec 2024
MURR63
EVAN61
10 Feb 2024
MURR73
EVAN70
18 Feb 2023
MURR74
EVAN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
39-41
29-42
44-30
44-37
36-30
43-31
30-35
45-42
44-30
35-36
144.6Avg total
75.5Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.765.2148.8+18.567%
Season at home (4)86.560.2146.8+26.275%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.569.1144.6+6.450%
Last 5 (5)77.870.8148.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.879.3148.1-10.50%
vs Similar (16)69.465.5134.9+3.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A09/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#10
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A24/03
CBI
Seattle
#1
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H25/03
CBI
North Texas
#36
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A06/11
NCAA
Brescia
#599
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A14/11
NCAA
Radford
#125
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-80
30
80
-50
A20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H23/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-43
0-0
36-36
0-0
30-30
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-28
0-0
23-43
0-0
17-42
0-0
46-38
0-0
48-23
0-0
48-26
0-0
38-41
0-0
25-39
0-0
50-32
0-0
31-60
0-0
14-28
0-0
16-52
0-0
46-31
0-0
52-50
0-0
34-28
0-0
32-25
140.4Avg total
67.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.073.6144.6-2.643%
Season at home (4)85.268.8154.0+16.575%
Season away (3)52.080.0132.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)67.672.8140.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)67.677.2144.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)61.478.4139.8-16.912%
vs Similar (8)68.171.1139.2-3.038%
vs Weaker (4)83.866.8150.5+17.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -5.9-5.9
Murray StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.031.665.6+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)35.436.271.5-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.571.1+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.271.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.041.675.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (16)33.629.262.8+4.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.735.070.7+0.767%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A09/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#10
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/03
CBI
Seattle
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H25/03
CBI
North Texas
#36
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A06/11
NCAA
Brescia
#599
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Radford
#125
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
14-28
14
28
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H24/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
33.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.733.965.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.530.465.9+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)28.436.965.3-8.419%-
Last 10 (10)33.332.665.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.068.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.335.966.2-5.641%-
vs Similar (8)30.431.461.8-1.038%-
vs Weaker (4)41.031.072.0+10.075%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murray State wins
1
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
16/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.88-67
09/11/24APittsburgh68-83
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HCampbell66-53
23/11/24HWisc. Green Bay98-81
20/11/24AOhio State30-80
16/11/24HRadford81-92
14/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.63-80
09/11/24HBrescia96-49
06/11/24ANorth Texas63-80
25/03/24HSeattle57-71
24/03/24AQuinnipiac64-63
09/03/24ADrake58-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game83.786.578.0
Allowed / game65.260.275.0
Point differential+18.5+26.2+3.0
Avg total148.8146.8153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game71.085.252.0
Allowed / game73.668.880.0
Point differential-2.6+16.5-28.0
Avg total144.6154.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake770100%74.157.4+16.7
2 Bradley87188%83.666.9+16.8
3 Belmont86275%81.474.1+7.2
4 Murray State64267%83.765.2+18.5
5 Illinois (Chi.)85362%87.074.2+12.8
6 Valparaiso74357%79.470.3+9.1
7 Illinois State74357%78.670.4+8.1
8 Indiana State95456%83.176.8+6.3
9 Northern Iowa73443%71.767.6+4.1
10 Evansville73443%71.073.6-2.6
11 Southern Illinois83538%76.674.0+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State333063
Evansville253661
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.