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Murray State vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-44
35-16 32-28
Position#4
Record12-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game66.9
vs
Position#241
Record6-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Tennessee State
13 Jan 2022
MURR67
TENN44
28 Jan 2021
MURR73
TENN53
25 Jan 2020
MURR76
TENN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#116
W
80-43
80
43
+37
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
118-48
118
48
+70
H16/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H19/12
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-16
37-27
25-30
49-32
49-29
49-32
44-40
49-47
26-40
48-32
53-25
65-23
34-37
53-39
27-37
31-34
59-40
47-41
42-27
32-42
153.2Avg total
86.2Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.666.9151.5+17.686%
Season at home (9)91.268.6159.8+22.789%
Season away (5)72.664.0136.6+8.680%
Last 10 (10)86.267.0153.2+19.290%
Last 5 (5)88.669.0157.6+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.675.2148.8-1.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.064.0141.9+14.078%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#314
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H28/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A04/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
70-44
70
44
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A17/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#552
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H21/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H07/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
32-41
32-33
48-49
20-25
29-34
33-17
37-27
39-28
34-37
34-41
44-34
29-46
46-29
49-29
59-37
34-49
44-45
42-30
53-54
153.0Avg total
79.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.673.2151.9+5.443%
Season at home (6)90.371.0161.3+19.367%
Season away (8)69.974.9144.8-5.025%
Last 10 (10)79.273.8153.0+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.481.8171.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.776.3142.0-10.70%
vs Similar (10)72.374.2146.5-1.930%
vs Weaker (9)73.072.8145.8+0.244%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +11.1+11.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +11.1+11.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
Murray StateTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#116
W
43-16
43
16
+27
A23/11
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A08/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
40.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.768.5+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.831.070.8+8.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.230.365.5+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)40.232.172.3+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.276.2+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.634.469.0+0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.329.366.6+7.970%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#314
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A04/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A12/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/12
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#552
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H21/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H08/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.667.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.632.168.7+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)29.436.866.2-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.668.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.036.065.0-7.022%-
vs Similar (10)32.134.766.8-2.640%-
vs Weaker (9)32.834.767.4-1.944%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murray State wins
0
Tennessee State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22ASiu Edwardsville74-69
31/12/21HSoutheast Missouri State106-81
22/12/21AAuburn58-71
19/12/21HChattanooga Mocs87-76
16/12/21HWesleyan Univ.118-48
11/12/21AMemphis74-72
05/12/21HMiddle Tenn. St.93-87
30/11/21HCampbellsville98-61
24/11/21HJames Madison74-62
23/11/21ALong Beach State80-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22HSoutheast Missouri State95-84
07/01/22HUT Martin78-94
21/12/21HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg108-66
18/12/21ASouth Carolina St88-90 OT
17/12/21ACharleston Southern78-75
12/12/21ALipscomb73-65
11/12/21HIUPUI70-44
04/12/21AChicago State49-59
28/11/21HSouthern Univ.80-82
24/11/21ANebraska73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %86%89%80%
Points / game84.691.272.6
Allowed / game66.968.664.0
Point differential+17.6+22.7+8.6
Avg total151.5159.8136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%78%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game78.690.369.9
Allowed / game73.271.074.9
Point differential+5.4+19.3-5.0
Avg total151.9161.3144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1412286%84.666.9+17.6
2 Belmont1512380%82.070.0+12.0
3 Drake1712571%75.264.6+10.6
4 Southern Illinois159660%65.760.8+4.9
5 Northern Iowa158753%75.069.5+5.5
6 Indiana State158753%75.771.0+4.7
7 Illinois State168850%80.178.4+1.6
8 Bradley178947%72.166.7+5.4
9 Valparaiso178947%73.269.2+4.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)135838%68.070.4-2.4
11 Evansville1541127%60.567.4-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State1611569%70.163.0+7.1
2 Western Illinois1610662%80.475.2+5.1
3 Tennessee State146843%78.673.2+5.4
4 Siu Edwardsville146843%69.166.5+2.6
5 UALR146843%70.972.6-1.8
6 UT Martin1661038%71.674.4-2.8
7 Southeast Missouri State1761135%74.482.1-7.6
8 Tennessee Tech1331023%73.272.5+0.8
9 Eastern Illinois1421214%56.770.1-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State353267
Tennessee State162844
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