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Nacional vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-79
32-23 14-24 17-21 21-11
Position#3
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game71.0
Nacional 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Malvin
Uruguay
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game82.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Malvin
23 Mar 2026
NACI88
MALV90
03 Feb 2026
NACI79
MALV53
31 Mar 2025
NACI82
MALV85
04 Nov 2024
NACI84
MALV67
09 Nov 2023
NACI84
MALV79
27 Oct 2022
NACI67
MALV82
14 Feb 2022
NACI80
MALV81
22 Apr 2021
NACI89
MALV81
10 Mar 2020
NACI98
MALV81
28 Jan 2020
NACI98
MALV88
19 Mar 2019
NACI75
MALV73
15 Dec 2018
NACI80
MALV69
23 Mar 2018
NACI68
MALV75
05 Dec 2017
NACI79
MALV81
08 Jan 2013
NACI75
MALV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Bigua
#1
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H13/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
A16/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 88
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
94avg 88
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
95-67
95
67
+28
92avg 88
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-20
22-17
29-19
17-18
15-21
21-18
22-25
26-16
22-20
19-19
21-24
24-16
20-17
12-14
25-17
18-23
13-22
18-17
23-22
23-15
13-26
15-23
21-21
26-14
16-23
11-22
18-25
23-20
27-22
22-20
11-19
21-16
18-15
31-19
28-15
26-10
23-23
24-14
22-20
159.3Avg total
82.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
Season at home (2)89.074.0163.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)98.065.0163.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.377.0159.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)83.876.4160.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.882.9162.8-3.146%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.179.6156.8-2.543%
vs Weaker (3)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#8
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
89-66
89
66
+23
no box
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 76
H26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
81avg 76
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 76
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
19-26
23-17
18-21
13-18
32-12
17-34
15-24
28-22
24-25
24-17
23-19
22-21
25-16
28-12
14-17
24-12
19-18
16-29
23-29
23-25
15-29
13-13
13-17
17-23
11-18
27-26
21-20
25-21
30-9
13-23
20-20
19-22
21-24
29-18
27-25
20-30
21-21
20-11
12-22
167.4Avg total
84.0Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.782.0167.7+3.767%
Season at home (2)80.578.5159.0+2.050%
Season away (1)96.089.0185.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.083.4167.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.483.4162.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.384.7164.0-5.429%
vs Similar ◀ (19)86.384.5170.8+1.753%
vs Weaker (4)86.283.2169.5+3.050%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
NacionalMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H13/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/05
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H27/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
78.8Avg total
40.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.8+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.881.4+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.178.1-2.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.880.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.741.381.0-1.646%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.738.678.3+1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)46.035.381.3+10.7100%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
84.0Avg total
43.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.985.8+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.942.186.9+2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.984.5-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.084.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.484.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.143.485.6-1.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.042.985.9+0.147%-
vs Weaker (4)43.841.885.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.725.0
56.0%
51.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.3
28.6%
33.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.3
77.3%
71.7%19.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.723.3
61.9%
51.0%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.2%
33.3%29.0
🏀 Free throws13.310.0
75.0%
71.7%10.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWLLLWWLW
Malvin
LWWLLLWWLW
#3
League position
#5
+25.7
Net rating
+5.6
108.3
Offensive rating
110.0
82.6
Defensive rating
104.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.19
28.6%
3-point %
30.2%
61.9%
Assist %
50.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 110.0Defence82.6 · 104.5Shooting51.2% · 54.3%3-point %28.6% · 30.2%Ball care16.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 27.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nacional wins
5
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
04/12/21Malvin v Nacional90-88
23/04/21Nacional v Malvin89-81
10/03/20Nacional v Malvin98-81
28/01/20Nacional v Malvin98-88
16/11/19Malvin v Nacional91-86 OT
20/03/19Nacional v Malvin75-73
15/12/18Nacional v Malvin80-69
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HLarre Borges95-67
31/10/23ACordon98-65
27/10/23HTrouville83-81
30/05/23HHebraica y Macabi71-84
23/05/23AHebraica y Macabi72-85
18/05/23HHebraica y Macabi72-84
16/05/23AHebraica y Macabi81-64
13/05/23HHebraica y Macabi88-79
10/05/23AHebraica y Macabi75-82
06/05/23ABigua88-79
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HBigua73-84
31/10/23ALarre Borges96-89
26/10/23HUrupan88-73
02/05/23HHebraica y Macabi76-87
25/04/23AHebraica y Macabi64-84
21/04/23HHebraica y Macabi82-88
18/04/23AHebraica y Macabi89-66
15/04/23HUrupan99-83
12/04/23AUrupan77-88
04/04/23HUrupan96-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.089.098.0
Allowed / game71.074.065.0
Point differential+21.0+15.0+33.0
Avg total163.0163.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game85.780.596.0
Allowed / game82.078.589.0
Point differential+3.7+2.0+7.0
Avg total167.7159.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional330100%92.071.0+21.0
2 Defensor43175%78.570.0+8.5
3 Aguada43175%79.275.0+4.2
4 Penarol32167%86.080.0+6.0
5 Malvin32167%85.782.0+3.7
6 Trouville42250%83.280.2+3.0
7 Hebraica y Macabi42250%77.576.5+1.0
8 Urupan31233%74.781.7-7.0
9 Goes41325%78.585.2-6.8
10 Bigua41325%78.085.5-7.5
11 Larre Borges41325%79.888.2-8.5
12 Cordon41325%74.586.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional3214172184
Malvin2324211179
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