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Nagasaki vs Kobe Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 85-69
19-13 20-13 23-26 23-17
Position#16
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#24
Record2-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game84.3
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#18
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H23/09
B League
Shimane
#18
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
20-22
24-20
22-27
9-20
21-16
21-18
18-17
20-14
11-15
21-9
14-22
17-10
19-13
19-22
17-19
16-17
22-28
12-22
14-22
22-23
19-17
16-27
21-18
21-10
11-16
12-25
30-23
2-21
22-20
21-31
20-18
19-22
16-24
15-10
24-15
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
150.2Avg total
73.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.279.7150.8-8.533%
Season at home (4)71.576.0147.5-4.550%
Season away (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)73.676.6150.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)72.677.8150.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.377.7148.0-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.081.7153.7-9.733%
vs Weaker (24)87.878.7166.5+9.179%
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
107-58
107
58
+49
A12/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A13/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H20/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
H21/04
B2.League
Osaka
#26
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H26/09
B League
Osaka
#26
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H27/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A02/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A04/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H08/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
26-17
28-25
33-2
12-16
8-13
19-13
20-20
23-7
21-13
19-23
24-24
18-20
19-26
31-14
8-16
12-30
29-15
15-20
13-14
19-24
22-26
23-12
20-16
12-26
26-20
19-23
16-27
16-15
14-30
10-16
32-22
19-22
24-29
18-18
33-17
20-27
12-17
26-15
19-25
159.9Avg total
81.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.284.3162.5-6.233%
Season at home (4)81.081.8162.8-0.850%
Season away (2)72.589.5162.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)81.178.8159.9+2.340%
Last 5 (5)80.085.4165.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.983.1162.0-4.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.880.4160.2-0.638%
vs Weaker (9)83.675.8159.3+7.878%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.5+3.5
NagasakiKobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/09
B League
Shimane
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/10
B League
Gunma
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
73.2Avg total
36.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.481.9+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.140.583.6+2.660%-
Last 30 away (10)41.337.178.4+4.270%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.773.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.672.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.734.066.7-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.043.781.7-5.733%-
vs Weaker (24)44.339.583.8+4.867%-
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A12/04
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A13/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H20/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H21/04
B2.League
Osaka
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
B League
Osaka
#26
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H27/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
B League
Chiba
#20
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H08/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H10/10
B League
77.9Avg total
37.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.678.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.141.781.8-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)36.339.475.6-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.777.9-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.284.0-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.642.279.9-4.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.941.578.5-4.631%-
vs Weaker (9)41.037.878.8+3.256%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.8
50.5%
53.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.3
31.4%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.7
70.3%
73.7%13.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.7
50.4%
53.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.3
33.0%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.113.4
66.7%
73.7%13.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWLLLLWWLW
Kobe
LWLLWLLWLW
#16
League position
#24
-4.0
Net rating
+2.8
86.3
Offensive rating
98.2
90.3
Defensive rating
95.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.4%
3-point %
33.0%
61.8%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 98.2Defence90.3 · 95.4Shooting48.9% · 50.0%3-point %31.4% · 33.0%Ball care14.9% · 16.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
0
Kobe wins
No previous meetings.
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HGunma70-59
08/10/26HShinshu74-71
04/10/26AKyoto65-90
03/10/26AKyoto76-84 OT
25/09/26HShimane78-85
23/09/26HShimane64-89
26/05/26HRyukyu72-64
24/05/26HRyukyu66-60
23/05/26HRyukyu69-71
16/05/26HChiba102-93
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HSaga77-84
08/10/26HChiba94-86
04/10/26AHiroshima D.72-83
02/10/26AHiroshima D.73-96
27/09/26HOsaka84-78
26/09/26HOsaka69-79
21/04/25HKagoshima Rebnise89-95 OT
20/04/25HKagoshima Rebnise87-67
13/04/25ANara59-62
12/04/25ANara107-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game71.271.570.5
Allowed / game79.776.087.0
Point differential-8.5-4.5-16.5
Avg total150.8147.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%50%
Kobe
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.281.072.5
Allowed / game84.381.889.5
Point differential-6.2-0.8-17.0
Avg total162.5162.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark76186%97.084.9+12.1
5 Gunma76186%76.068.1+7.9
6 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%88.580.5+8.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers74357%87.680.9+6.7
9 Sendai74357%86.381.4+4.9
10 Toyama74357%85.985.0+0.9
11 Utsunomiya Brex63350%81.077.8+3.2
12 Levanga Hokkaido63350%96.295.5+0.7
13 Yokohama63350%76.776.2+0.5
14 Shimane63350%81.881.7+0.2
15 Ryukyu63350%79.881.3-1.5
16 Shiga73443%92.188.1+4.0
17 Kobe62433%78.284.3-6.2
18 Chiba62433%95.5103.0-7.5
19 Brave Thunders62433%80.388.5-8.2
20 Nagasaki62433%71.279.7-8.5
21 Akita62433%72.081.3-9.3
22 Shinshu72529%82.785.9-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba72529%78.786.3-7.6
24 Osaka71614%70.985.1-14.3
25 Saga71614%73.988.3-14.4
26 Ibaraki Robots7070%78.385.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1920232385
Kobe1313261769
← all games of the day
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