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Nagasaki vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 May 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 72-64
17-10 19-13 19-22 17-19
Position#1
Record52-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#3
Record47-19
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.5
JapanB LeagueB.League - Final· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · Nagasaki v Ryukyu
26 Oct 2026
NAGA101
RYUK84
26 May 2026
NAGA72
RYUK64
24 May 2026
NAGA66
RYUK60
23 May 2026
NAGA69
RYUK71
02 Mar 2025
NAGA89
RYUK85
01 Mar 2025
NAGA74
RYUK93
27 Mar 2024
NAGA68
RYUK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A25/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-69
91
69
+22
A26/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H02/05
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H03/05
B League
Alvark
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H07/05
B League
Alvark
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H08/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H24/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
26-20
10-17
25-18
29-17
21-17
29-20
12-15
25-19
34-31
17-29
29-15
20-19
9-22
18-26
16-17
22-20
14-22
30-15
27-21
23-15
22-12
25-17
26-12
23-22
18-27
24-11
17-14
36-24
20-22
24-20
22-27
9-20
21-16
21-18
18-17
20-14
11-15
21-9
14-22
160.2Avg total
85.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)90.679.0169.6+11.679%
Season at home (36)90.478.8169.2+11.681%
Season away (30)90.979.2170.1+11.777%
Last 10 (10)85.075.2160.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)83.070.8153.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.880.6168.5+7.271%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H25/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H26/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A03/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A08/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A09/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H15/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H16/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A23/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A24/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
25-17
21-24
23-14
26-22
17-23
29-19
24-27
19-24
25-20
19-21
19-18
17-19
25-24
23-13
27-14
20-20
16-5
18-25
25-15
24-18
18-25
22-15
18-21
18-17
27-24
16-10
24-14
17-14
24-20
21-13
28-27
20-9
16-21
18-21
17-18
14-20
15-11
9-21
22-14
156.9Avg total
82.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)81.874.5156.3+7.271%
Season at home (32)81.776.3157.9+5.466%
Season away (34)81.972.9154.8+9.076%
Last 10 (10)82.974.0156.9+8.980%
Last 5 (5)77.670.6148.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
vs Similar (10)82.977.4160.3+5.560%
vs Weaker (16)84.473.5157.9+10.994%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
NagasakiRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A26/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H02/05
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H03/05
B League
Alvark
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H07/05
B League
Alvark
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H08/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H24/05
B League
81.7Avg total
42.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.084.6+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.342.586.8+1.853%-
Last 30 away (13)42.639.281.8+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.281.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.041.185.1+2.961%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H26/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A03/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A24/05
B League
78.2Avg total
40.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.577.6+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.237.579.6+4.765%-
Last 30 away (13)39.735.274.9+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.678.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.034.069.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (10)42.138.280.3+3.960%-
vs Weaker (16)42.036.178.1+5.975%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.2
56.8%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.1
32.8%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.416.3
79.9%
73.1%16.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.9
53.2%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
73.1%17.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLWWWWLWWW
Ryukyu
LWWWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#3
+11.3
Net rating
+10.6
97.6
Offensive rating
99.6
86.4
Defensive rating
88.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.8%
3-point %
32.4%
65.9%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 99.6Defence86.4 · 88.9Shooting53.2% · 51.3%3-point %32.8% · 32.4%Ball care15.2% · 13.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nagasaki wins
6
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
24/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu66-60
23/05/26Nagasaki v Ryukyu69-71
15/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki58-68
14/03/26Ryukyu v Nagasaki95-81
20/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki87-66
19/04/25Ryukyu v Nagasaki90-80
02/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu89-85
01/03/25Nagasaki v Ryukyu74-93
21/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki84-91
20/04/24Ryukyu v Nagasaki98-67
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26HRyukyu66-60
23/05/26HRyukyu69-71
16/05/26HChiba102-93
15/05/26HChiba82-74
08/05/26HAlvark96-56
07/05/26HAlvark93-78
03/05/26HKyoto63-84
02/05/26HKyoto105-94
26/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles91-69
25/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-73
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26ANagasaki60-66
23/05/26ANagasaki71-69
16/05/26HDiamond Dolphins90-74
15/05/26HDiamond Dolphins85-65
09/05/26ASeaHorses Mikawa82-79
08/05/26ASeaHorses Mikawa79-65
03/05/26AUtsunomiya Brex92-70
02/05/26AUtsunomiya Brex82-83
26/04/26HSaga96-91
25/04/26HSaga92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663630
Win %79%81%77%
Points / game90.690.490.9
Allowed / game79.078.879.2
Point differential+11.6+11.6+11.7
Avg total169.6169.2170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%58%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Ryukyu
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWW66%
AwayWWWWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %71%66%76%
Points / game81.881.781.9
Allowed / game74.576.372.9
Point differential+7.2+5.4+9.0
Avg total156.3157.9154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)67% (6)67% (12)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki66521479%90.679.0+11.6
2 Utsunomiya Brex62451773%85.180.1+5.0
3 Ryukyu66471971%81.874.5+7.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa62431969%83.577.9+5.5
5 Gunma63432068%82.973.1+9.8
6 Chiba65442168%83.977.4+6.5
7 Diamond Dolphins64432167%82.475.4+7.0
8 Alvark62412166%81.078.1+2.9
9 Hokkaido60372362%88.386.7+1.6
10 NeoPhoenix60362460%85.983.1+2.8
11 Sendai60352558%82.879.8+3.0
12 Saga60322853%82.381.7+0.6
13 Hiroshima D.60312952%86.084.1+1.9
14 Shimane60283247%79.581.1-1.6
15 Yokohama60263443%79.481.7-2.4
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya60253542%76.580.1-3.6
17 Osaka60233738%81.183.1-2.0
18 Shiga60233738%80.385.0-4.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas60213935%75.782.1-6.4
20 Kyoto60204033%74.781.2-6.6
21 Ibaraki Robots60194132%76.281.4-5.2
22 Altiri Chiba60194132%78.984.2-5.3
23 Nagoya Fighting Eagles60184230%80.084.5-4.5
24 Toyama60184230%81.888.6-6.8
25 Brave Thunders60164427%75.984.0-8.1
26 Akita60105017%73.385.5-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1719191772
Ryukyu1013221964
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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