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Nanterre vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-64
23-14 18-12 14-18 23-20
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nanterre 🏆
France
vs
Pau-Orthez
France
Position#14
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceLNBRound 1· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nanterre v Pau-Orthez
26 Sep 2026
NAN78
POR64
28 Mar 2023
NAN85
POR64
08 Jan 2022
NAN101
POR77
20 May 2021
NAN115
POR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 84
A19/04
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
87-69
87
69
+18
88avg 84
H02/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
78avg 84
A09/05
LNB
Cholet
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
58avg 84
H16/05
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
88avg 84
H25/05
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
64-55
64
55
+9
60avg 84
A27/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
78avg 84
A01/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
97avg 84
A03/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
51avg 84
H06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
67avg 84
H08/06
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
20-31
12-21
22-19
28-22
21-18
13-18
25-11
19-16
16-17
20-20
15-17
23-14
15-21
15-27
13-17
26-15
22-21
23-23
19-15
15-12
15-15
16-10
18-18
27-24
23-25
21-26
17-28
19-23
22-30
21-18
36-18
20-20
8-23
18-21
15-19
24-17
13-32
19-18
22-22
161.4Avg total
79.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.681.8161.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)77.883.8161.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.589.5185.0+6.050%
vs Similar (15)82.583.3165.8-0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.879.5170.4+11.385%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 85
A30/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
72-62
72
62
+10
72avg 85
H10/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 85
A15/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
83avg 85
H25/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
83avg 85
A28/05
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
92avg 85
H03/06
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
92avg 85
A06/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
82-106
82
106
-24
68avg 85
H12/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 85
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 85
H18/06
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
31-14
23-22
28-22
20-18
22-21
13-15
17-8
22-27
18-28
22-26
20-27
14-15
24-18
15-19
21-22
17-11
20-18
21-20
21-29
15-20
23-16
27-25
25-11
29-24
23-17
10-25
28-19
21-28
19-34
22-23
20-21
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
168.1Avg total
84.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.883.3168.1+1.580%
Last 5 (5)85.881.6167.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.0100.5185.5-15.50%
vs Similar (9)86.679.9166.4+6.789%
vs Weaker (19)87.078.7165.7+8.379%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
NanterrePau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#13
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A19/04
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H02/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A09/05
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/05
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H25/05
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A27/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A01/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A03/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H08/06
LNB
82.3Avg total
40.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.584.8+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.984.4+2.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.241.985.1+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.282.3-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.281.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.543.597.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (15)40.741.882.5-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.840.885.6+4.177%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A15/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H25/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A28/05
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A06/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
40-62
40
62
-22
H12/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
84.1Avg total
41.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.183.6+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.682.9+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.684.3-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.584.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.687.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.551.094.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (9)42.943.786.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker (19)42.238.881.1+3.474%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
55.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.2
29.9%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.816.2
77.9%
74.2%16.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.325.2
58.2%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.0
28.0%
34.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.516.2
68.9%
74.2%16.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
LLWLWWLWWL
Pau-Orthez
WWLWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#14
-0.2
Net rating
+1.7
91.8
Offensive rating
93.5
92.1
Defensive rating
91.8
47.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.9%
3-point %
28.0%
70.1%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 93.5Defence92.1 · 91.8Shooting47.5% · 52.9%3-point %29.9% · 28.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Nanterre   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nanterre wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
28/03/23Nanterre v Pau-Orthez85-64
04/12/22Pau-Orthez v Nanterre71-80
19/04/22Pau-Orthez v Nanterre75-78
08/01/22Nanterre v Pau-Orthez101-77
20/05/21Nanterre v Pau-Orthez115-77
27/03/21Pau-Orthez v Nanterre86-79
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/26HMonaco78-89
06/06/26HMonaco61-83
03/06/26AMonaco98-89
01/06/26AMonaco88-103
27/05/26ALe Mans64-55
25/05/26HLe Mans90-74
16/05/26HCholet66-79
09/05/26AGravelines-Dunkerque85-80 OT
02/05/26HDijon87-69
19/04/26ALimoges79-97
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72
12/06/26HPoitiers82-106
06/06/26AOrleans90-85
03/06/26HOrleans90-72
28/05/26AChalons-Reims79-78
25/05/26HChalons-Reims89-87 OT
15/05/26ARoanne82-108
10/05/26HVichy72-62
30/04/26APoitiers97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon110100%81.072.0+9.0
2 Chalon/Saone110100%82.074.0+8.0
3 Le Mans110100%103.097.0+6.0
4 Saint Quentin110100%106.0103.0+3.0
5 Roanne110100%81.079.0+2.0
6 Boulazac1010%79.081.0-2.0
7 JL Bourg1010%103.0106.0-3.0
8 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%97.0103.0-6.0
9 Limoges1010%74.082.0-8.0
10 Strasbourg1010%72.081.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre2318142378
Pau-Orthez1412182064
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