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Nanterre vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-79
23-14 15-21 15-27 13-17
Position#3
Record21-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Cholet 🏆
France
Position#5
Record18-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game84.4
FranceLNBRound 30· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Nanterre v Cholet
24 Oct 2026
NAN86
CHO69
16 May 2026
NAN66
CHO79
11 Feb 2025
NAN84
CHO97
21 Dec 2024
NAN97
CHO104
03 Feb 2024
NAN91
CHO87
07 Jan 2023
NAN78
CHO84
12 Mar 2022
NAN79
CHO71
19 Dec 2020
NAN76
CHO80
23 Dec 2019
NAN86
CHO101
23 Apr 2019
NAN89
CHO70
28 Apr 2018
NAN77
CHO73
21 Jan 2017
NAN86
CHO57
19 Apr 2016
NAN91
CHO81
03 Feb 2015
NAN84
CHO71
08 Feb 2014
NAN84
CHO74
02 Feb 2013
NAN84
CHO77
17 Mar 2012
NAN68
CHO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A07/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H10/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
102-88
102
88
+14
H15/03
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
90-59
90
59
+31
A21/03
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H28/03
LNB
Paris
#2
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A04/04
LNB
Nancy
#10
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H10/04
LNB
Limoges
#13
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A19/04
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H02/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
A09/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
18-22
24-13
10-22
19-24
20-21
22-26
22-17
24-19
23-27
26-16
29-26
25-20
22-8
24-16
19-15
19-20
27-18
18-22
16-15
25-20
35-26
15-27
17-23
17-12
23-16
19-21
27-23
25-26
20-31
12-21
22-19
28-22
21-18
13-18
25-11
19-16
16-17
20-20
15-17
165.8Avg total
85.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.381.1168.4+6.272%
Season at home (14)89.180.5169.6+8.686%
Season away (15)85.781.7167.3+4.060%
Last 10 (10)85.580.3165.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)85.882.8168.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.589.5185.0+6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.383.0167.3+1.350%
vs Weaker (18)90.677.5168.1+13.183%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H13/02
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A07/03
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
105-58
105
58
+47
H14/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A21/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H28/03
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
94-89
94
89
+5
A04/04
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
111-74
111
74
+37
H11/04
LNB
Paris
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H19/04
LNB
Boulazac
#12
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A02/05
LNB
Nancy
#10
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
H10/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
13-30
22-27
31-13
17-24
29-25
14-19
19-21
26-13
34-20
21-9
24-16
28-25
12-22
19-24
30-23
20-17
24-22
22-18
27-28
28-20
27-29
19-18
20-22
23-15
29-24
29-21
30-14
27-24
29-20
18-24
19-31
16-22
23-16
17-13
21-17
23-21
20-30
22-22
17-9
175.8Avg total
92.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.084.4172.4+3.662%
Season at home (15)92.283.1175.3+9.173%
Season away (14)83.585.8169.3-2.350%
Last 10 (10)92.683.2175.8+9.470%
Last 5 (5)93.884.2178.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.092.7177.7-7.729%
vs Similar ◀ (6)91.586.3177.8+5.250%
vs Weaker (16)90.182.3172.4+7.875%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
NanterreCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A07/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H15/03
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A21/03
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/03
LNB
Paris
#2
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A04/04
LNB
Nancy
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/04
LNB
Limoges
#13
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A19/04
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H02/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A09/05
LNB
85.0Avg total
44.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.885.1+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.040.285.2+4.885%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.385.1+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.585.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.543.597.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.341.783.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker (18)45.040.085.0+5.078%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/02
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A07/03
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H14/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A21/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H28/03
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/04
LNB
Dijon
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H11/04
LNB
Paris
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H19/04
LNB
Boulazac
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A02/05
LNB
Nancy
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H10/05
LNB
90.7Avg total
47.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.387.8+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.642.590.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.843.985.8-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)47.343.490.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.044.293.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.148.093.1-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.544.791.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (16)43.640.484.1+3.250%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.5
50.9%
54.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.9
36.6%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
75.1%15.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.3
55.3%
54.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws28.421.0
73.9%
75.1%21.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
WWLWLWWWLL
Cholet
WWLWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+3.5
Net rating
+9.6
96.6
Offensive rating
101.5
93.1
Defensive rating
91.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.44
36.6%
3-point %
35.1%
77.1%
Assist %
71.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 101.5Defence93.1 · 91.8Shooting52.7% · 54.1%3-point %36.6% · 35.1%Ball care15.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Nanterre   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nanterre wins
5
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Cholet v Nanterre76-78
12/04/25Cholet v Nanterre88-78
11/02/25Nanterre v Cholet84-97
21/12/24Nanterre v Cholet97-104
03/02/24Nanterre v Cholet91-87
29/10/23Cholet v Nanterre70-67
01/04/23Cholet v Nanterre80-86
07/01/23Nanterre v Cholet78-84
12/03/22Nanterre v Cholet79-71
20/11/21Cholet v Nanterre71-86
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26AGravelines-Dunkerque85-80 OT
02/05/26HDijon87-69
19/04/26ALimoges79-97
10/04/26HNancy86-72
04/04/26AParis92-96
28/03/26HSaint Quentin80-75
21/03/26ALe Portel90-59
15/03/26HStrasbourg102-88
10/03/26HMonaco83-88
07/03/26ALe Mans71-79
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26HNancy94-91 OT
02/05/26ABoulazac77-68
19/04/26HParis93-99
11/04/26HDijon111-74
04/04/26ALe Mans94-89
28/03/26HLyon-Villeurbanne93-85
21/03/26AStrasbourg89-94
14/03/26HLe Portel105-58
07/03/26AMonaco79-89
13/02/26HGravelines-Dunkerque91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW72%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %72%86%60%
Points / game87.389.185.7
Allowed / game81.180.581.7
Point differential+6.2+8.6+4.0
Avg total168.4169.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Cholet
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game88.092.283.5
Allowed / game84.483.185.8
Point differential+3.6+9.1-2.3
Avg total172.4175.3169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2923679%95.087.2+7.8
2 Paris2921872%99.586.2+13.3
3 Nanterre2921872%87.381.1+6.2
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne2920969%87.979.7+8.2
5 Le Mans29181162%89.885.6+4.2
6 Cholet29181162%88.084.4+3.6
7 JL Bourg29171259%87.184.0+3.1
8 Strasbourg29171259%86.486.4+0.0
9 Chalon/Saone29151452%86.485.0+1.4
10 Nancy29121741%85.887.4-1.7
11 Dijon29111838%88.991.1-2.2
12 Boulazac29111838%82.184.5-2.3
13 Limoges29111838%83.587.9-4.4
14 Saint Quentin2982128%81.286.6-5.4
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque2982128%82.890.1-7.4
16 Le Portel291283%72.296.6-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre2315151366
Cholet1421271779
← all games of the day
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