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Nantes vs Caen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.9
FrancePro BRound 26· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nantes v Caen
12 Mar 2027
NANT v CAEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
NANT87
CAEN78
08 Apr 2025
NANT82
CAEN87
23 Apr 2019
NANT90
CAEN92
24 Apr 2018
NANT81
CAEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Caen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 80
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 80
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 80
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
65avg 80
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 80
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 80
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
99-90
99
90
+9
95avg 80
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 80
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-21
13-20
15-18
27-24
14-22
21-12
11-23
19-15
12-15
21-15
24-17
22-18
16-26
12-32
23-14
21-21
21-18
18-17
23-22
27-19
20-23
30-17
20-23
15-23
32-16
25-26
27-25
16-22
30-26
16-24
10-24
20-13
23-19
14-26
17-17
24-24
23-18
23-26
24-25
164.8Avg total
81.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.383.0165.3-0.756%
Season at home (4)83.076.2159.2+6.875%
Season away (5)81.888.4170.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)81.683.2164.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.287.2174.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.581.0166.6+4.562%
vs Weaker (6)93.779.8173.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 73
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 73
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
102avg 73
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 73
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 73
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 73
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 73
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 73
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
20-15
17-23
19-21
19-16
23-17
24-19
20-20
19-27
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.687.9173.4-2.344%
Season at home (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Season away (4)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.983.5158.4-8.628%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.486.0171.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
NantesCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/11
Pro B
83.8Avg total
42.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.936.981.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)44.743.488.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.983.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)43.440.183.5+3.357%-
vs Weaker (6)50.739.890.5+10.883%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.280.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.377.9-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.538.676.1-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.440.682.0+0.967%-
vs Weaker (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
53.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
74.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WLLWWWLWLL
Caen
WLLLLLWWWW
#9
League position
#12
-1.8
Net rating
-4.3
91.1
Offensive rating
92.4
92.9
Defensive rating
96.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.2%
3-point %
33.0%
65.8%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 92.4Defence92.9 · 96.7Shooting50.0% · 50.9%3-point %29.2% · 33.0%Ball care15.4% · 16.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Nantes   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nantes wins
3
Caen wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Caen v Nantes66-79
21/11/25Nantes v Caen87-78
08/04/25Nantes v Caen82-87
29/10/24Caen v Nantes89-77
23/04/19Nantes v Caen90-92 OT
11/01/19Caen v Nantes69-81
24/04/18Nantes v Caen81-74 OT
12/01/18Caen v Nantes91-95 OT
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAix Maurienne94-93
06/11/26HVichy74-75
30/10/26ADenain-Voltaire72-96
23/10/26HASA99-90
20/10/26AEvreux97-82
16/10/26HRouen83-78
09/10/26APoitiers73-90
02/10/26HQuimper76-62
26/09/26AAntibes73-81
09/06/26APoitiers75-85
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ADenain-Voltaire86-83
06/11/26HASA85-87 OT
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game82.383.081.8
Allowed / game83.076.288.4
Point differential-0.7+6.8-6.6
Avg total165.3159.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game87.983.094.0
Point differential-2.3+0.2-5.5
Avg total173.4166.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %33%40%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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