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Nantes vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-81
23-17 19-25 23-12 8-27
Position#6
Record2-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#10
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game67.8
FrancePro BRound 6· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nantes v La Rochelle
22 Dec 2026
NANT v LRO
upcoming
19 May 2026
NANT107
LRO89
17 Oct 2025
NANT73
LRO81
03 Nov 2023
NANT60
LRO97
10 Jan 2023
NANT75
LRO61
20 Sep 2022
NANT57
LRO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
76avg 91
A02/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
57-75
57
75
-18
62avg 91
A09/05
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
96avg 91
H13/05
Pro B
Rennes
#35
W
92-91
92
91
+1
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Orleans
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
79avg 91
H19/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
108avg 91
A26/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
85avg 91
H30/09
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
78-71
78
71
+7
68avg 91
A03/10
Pro B
Quimper
#22
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
H07/10
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 91
H10/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
18-26
14-22
17-16
15-21
15-14
15-24
12-16
18-28
11-21
22-19
31-20
20-32
24-21
26-24
22-14
11-31
16-19
30-23
15-14
27-24
27-24
24-21
17-23
17-29
18-25
20-22
21-14
15-24
23-18
20-9
20-20
21-28
23-21
28-21
17-17
17-21
17-23
14-14
15-18
162.2Avg total
77.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.883.2160.0-6.440%
Season at home (3)70.384.3154.7-14.00%
Season away (2)86.581.5168.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.784.5162.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)80.283.2163.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.780.8159.5-2.150%
vs Similar (12)82.185.6167.7-3.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.777.0154.7+0.767%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
84avg 84
A19/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
63-71
63
71
-8
77avg 84
A25/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
L
59-75
59
75
-16
67avg 84
A09/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
48-86
48
86
-38
59avg 84
H13/05
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
109avg 84
H17/05
LNB
Rouen
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
77avg 84
A19/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
80avg 84
H26/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
89-63
89
63
+26
88avg 84
H03/10
Pro B
Challans
#27
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
A07/10
French Cup
Challans
#21
W
81-62
81
62
+19
78avg 84
H10/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-16
23-14
21-10
20-13
16-20
16-21
11-17
20-11
16-20
9-21
14-23
16-23
13-15
7-22
12-26
18-26
15-27
27-22
28-13
16-23
19-25
25-17
17-20
25-18
8-11
16-21
20-11
29-16
27-21
20-6
13-20
27-13
12-19
35-19
24-27
23-13
11-17
26-17
21-15
150.2Avg total
75.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.067.8146.8+11.275%
Season at home (3)79.762.0141.7+17.7100%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.874.4150.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.869.8152.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)73.085.0158.0-12.09%
vs Similar (5)78.673.0151.6+5.660%
vs Weaker (2)89.570.0159.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.7-7.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
NantesLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A02/05
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A09/05
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H13/05
Pro B
Rennes
#35
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A13/09
French Cup
Orleans
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H19/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H30/09
Pro B
Challans
#21
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/10
Pro B
Quimper
#22
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H07/10
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H10/10
Pro B
85.1Avg total
37.7Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.884.8-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.947.287.1-7.419%-
Last 30 away (14)40.042.182.1-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.747.485.1-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)41.047.488.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.342.181.4-2.936%-
vs Similar (12)41.246.888.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.746.783.3-10.00%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A19/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A25/04
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H13/05
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H17/05
LNB
Rouen
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H26/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H03/10
Pro B
Challans
#27
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/10
French Cup
Challans
#21
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H10/10
Pro B
73.3Avg total
36.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.978.8-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.240.380.6-0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)35.241.576.7-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.073.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.274.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.442.279.6-4.835%-
vs Similar (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker (2)36.531.067.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.5
56.9%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.9
29.7%
32.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws24.415.1
61.9%
71.4%15.1
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.0
44.5%
53.1%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
32.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.316.5
74.0%
71.4%16.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
LWWLWLWLLL
La Rochelle
WWWWLLLLLW
#6
League position
#10
-9.0
Net rating
-1.4
103.7
Offensive rating
98.9
112.8
Defensive rating
100.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.7%
3-point %
34.1%
62.5%
Assist %
75.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 98.9Defence112.8 · 100.3Shooting51.9% · 47.4%3-point %29.7% · 34.1%Ball care17.6% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 23.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nantes   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nantes wins
2
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24La Rochelle v Nantes75-76
03/11/23Nantes v La Rochelle60-97
31/01/23La Rochelle v Nantes59-65
10/01/23Nantes v La Rochelle75-61
20/09/22Nantes v La Rochelle57-68
11/09/15La Rochelle v Nantes48-85
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HVichy63-76
07/10/25HQuimper89-87
03/10/25AChallans78-71
30/09/25HPau-Orthez76-90
26/09/25ASt. Chamond95-92
19/09/25HOrleans72-87
13/09/25ARennes92-91
13/05/25HPoitiers82-88
09/05/25AASA57-75
02/05/25ARoanne73-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HChallans81-62
07/10/25AChallans98-78
03/10/25HAda Blois89-63
26/09/25HChalons-Reims69-61
19/09/25ARouen77-85
17/05/25HLe Mans98-100 OT
13/05/25HMonaco48-86
09/05/25ASaint Quentin59-75
25/04/25AStrasbourg63-71
19/04/25ANanterre76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%0%100%
Points / game76.870.386.5
Allowed / game83.284.381.5
Point differential-6.4-14.0+5.0
Avg total160.0154.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Rochelle
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game79.079.777.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+11.2+17.7-8.0
Avg total146.8141.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pau-Orthez54180%82.473.0+9.4
2 Ada Blois54180%79.073.6+5.4
3 Roanne54180%85.279.8+5.4
4 Vichy54180%77.673.4+4.2
5 La Rochelle43175%79.067.8+11.2
6 Orleans43175%82.280.2+2.0
7 Denain-Voltaire53260%78.874.6+4.2
8 Chalons-Reims53260%82.882.2+0.6
9 Antibes42250%84.282.5+1.8
10 Quimper42250%77.879.8-2.0
11 Aix Maurienne42250%77.079.8-2.8
12 Poitiers52340%84.082.6+1.4
13 Hyeres-Toulon52340%79.281.0-1.8
14 Rouen52340%77.280.2-3.0
15 Evreux52340%76.883.2-6.4
16 Nantes52340%76.883.2-6.4
17 Caen41325%77.581.8-4.2
18 St. Chamond51420%88.090.6-2.6
19 ASA51420%76.680.8-4.2
20 Challans5050%72.083.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes231923873
La Rochelle1725122781
← all games of the day
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