Napredak vs Smederevo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 76-63

15-15 26-14 12-15 23-19

Position#7

Record6-5

FormLWLWW

Points / game70.9

Allowed / game69.5

Napredak 🏆

Smederevo

Position#11

Record8-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game75.9

First LeagueRound 12

Other2015-16

Meetings · Napredak v Smederevo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Napredak winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Smederevo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Napredak

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

OKK Beograd

#12

68-78

-10

A10/10

First League

Beovuk

83-71

+12

H17/10

First League

FMP Beograd

63-76

-13

H21/10

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

#13

65-74

-9

A23/10

First League

Sloga

62-48

+14

H30/10

First League

Spartak Subotica

67-73 OT

-6

A07/11

First League

Borac Mozzart

79-74

H13/11

First League

Konstantin

54-70

-16

A20/11

First League

Jagodina

#14

90-69

+21

H28/11

First League

Vrsac

#10

71-69

A05/12

First League

12-16

12-26

28-18

16-18

22-10

20-27

29-17

12-17

19-21

18-26

14-7

12-22

13-24

20-17

13-15

19-18

14-11

14-15

24-11

10-11

14-15

21-13

15-24

10-8

20-19

19-19

18-20

22-16

9-25

16-9

14-16

15-20

17-15

18-22

30-15

25-17

16-20

16-16

21-19

18-14

140.4Avg total

70.2Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	70.9	69.5	140.4	+1.5	55%
Season at home (6)	75.8	66.7	142.5	+9.2	83%
Season away (5)	65.0	72.8	137.8	-7.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	70.2	70.2	140.4	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	71.0	143.2	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	64.8	73.2	138.1	-8.4	30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	68.6	69.9	138.4	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker (3)	72.3	63.7	136.0	+8.7	67%

This opponent (Smederevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Smederevo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sloga

89-65

+24

H10/10

First League

Spartak Subotica

85-74

+11

A17/10

First League

Borac Mozzart

86-72

+14

H21/10

First League

Konstantin

84-93

-9

A24/10

First League

Jagodina

#14

97-67

+30

H30/10

First League

Vrsac

#10

83-66

+17

A06/11

First League

Beovuk

68-73

-5

A14/11

First League

Mladost Admiral

90-79

+11

H20/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

69-84

-15

A28/11

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

89-86

H04/12

First League

25-18

17-17

20-11

27-19

26-23

20-23

24-13

15-15

21-17

26-15

22-20

17-20

24-21

20-23

18-24

22-25

26-14

18-21

28-14

25-18

20-21

17-21

26-10

20-14

21-14

15-17

17-23

15-19

29-21

17-13

15-25

29-20

10-28

18-16

22-28

19-12

23-15

21-26

30-26

15-19

159.9Avg total

84.0Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	83.4	75.9	159.3	+7.5	73%
Season at home (5)	90.2	73.8	164.0	+16.4	100%
Season away (6)	77.7	77.7	155.3	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	75.9	159.9	+8.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	77.6	157.4	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	74.2	80.2	154.4	-5.9	38%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	83.6	78.1	161.7	+5.4	67%
vs Weaker (5)	74.8	69.8	144.6	+5.0	60%

This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NapredakSmederevo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.2	18.7	33.9	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.7	19.2	34.9	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.7	18.0	32.7	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	17.6	33.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	15.3	19.6	34.9	-4.2	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.1	17.0	32.1	-1.9	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.7	16.7	31.3	-2.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.3	17.7	34.0	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	18.4	34.9	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	15.7	18.2	33.9	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.1	18.4	33.5	-3.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.9	18.6	34.6	-2.7	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	22%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.4	16.8	33.2	-0.4	20%	-

NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

OKK Beograd

#12

24-42

-18

A10/10

First League

Beovuk

42-37

H17/10

First League

FMP Beograd

37-47

-10

H21/10

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

#13

33-41

-8

A23/10

First League

Sloga

28-26

H30/10

First League

Spartak Subotica

35-28

A07/11

First League

Borac Mozzart

39-38

H13/11

First League

Konstantin

25-34

-9

A20/11

First League

Jagodina

#14

35-37

-2

H28/11

First League

Vrsac

#10

32-36

-4

A05/12

First League

69.6Avg total

33.0Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.6	36.7	68.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.0	36.9	68.9	-4.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.2	36.4	67.6	-5.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.0	36.6	69.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	34.6	67.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	31.0	37.8	68.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	33.3	34.6	67.9	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	32.0	34.7	66.7	-2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Smederevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SmederevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sloga

42-35

H10/10

First League

Spartak Subotica

46-46

A17/10

First League

Borac Mozzart

47-32

+15

H21/10

First League

Konstantin

44-44

A24/10

First League

Jagodina

#14

44-35

H30/10

First League

Vrsac

#10

37-42

-5

A06/11

First League

Beovuk

36-31

A14/11

First League

Mladost Admiral

46-34

+12

H20/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

28-44

-16

A28/11

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

44-41

H04/12

First League

79.8Avg total

41.4Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	37.8	74.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	36.4	75.9	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.3	39.1	72.4	-5.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	38.4	79.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	33.4	37.8	71.2	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.8	40.3	82.1	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.4	33.4	68.8	+2.0	40%	-

This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	14.8	33.9	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.2	36.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.0	16.7	33.7	+0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	13.7	36.0	+8.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.2	20.8	41.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.5	17.4	33.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	17.8	33.6	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	16.1	32.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	16.9	18.8	35.6	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	13.6	15.1	28.7	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	15.3	33.3	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.3	40.6	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	34.3	68.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.7	32.1	67.8	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	36.9	70.2	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	32.3	68.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	33.8	71.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	33.9	35.5	69.3	-1.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.3	33.4	67.7	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	29.0	69.3	+11.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.7	80.3	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	39.1	81.4	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	40.2	79.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	37.5	80.1	+5.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.2	41.9	82.1	-1.7	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.8	37.8	79.6	+4.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.4	36.4	75.8	+3.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Napredak wins

Smederevo wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/15	Napredak v Smederevo	71-60
12/12/14	Smederevo v Napredak	64-68
01/02/14	Smederevo v Napredak	80-75
02/11/13	Napredak v Smederevo	67-51
13/03/12	Napredak v Smederevo	81-83
14/12/11	Smederevo v Napredak	114-104

Napredaklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/15	A	Vrsac	71-69
28/11/15	H	Jagodina	90-69
20/11/15	A	Konstantin	54-70
13/11/15	H	Borac Mozzart	79-74
07/11/15	A	Spartak Subotica	67-73 OT
30/10/15	H	Sloga	62-48
23/10/15	A	Vojvodina Srbijagas	65-74
21/10/15	H	FMP Beograd	63-76
17/10/15	H	Beovuk	83-71
10/10/15	A	OKK Beograd	68-78

Smederevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/15	H	OKK Beograd	89-86
28/11/15	A	Tamis Petrohemija	69-84
20/11/15	H	Mladost Admiral	90-79
14/11/15	A	Beovuk	68-73
06/11/15	A	Vrsac	83-66
30/10/15	H	Jagodina	97-67
24/10/15	A	Konstantin	84-93
21/10/15	H	Borac Mozzart	86-72
17/10/15	A	Spartak Subotica	85-74
10/10/15	H	Sloga	89-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Napredak

First League 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	55%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	83%	20%
Points / game	70.9	75.8	65.0
Allowed / game	69.5	66.7	72.8
Point differential	+1.5	+9.2	-7.8
Avg total	140.4	142.5	137.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

Smederevo

First League 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	73%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	100%	50%
Points / game	83.4	90.2	77.7
Allowed / game	75.9	73.8	77.7
Point differential	+7.5	+16.4	+0.0
Avg total	159.3	164.0	155.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	80%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FMP Beograd	11	10	1	91%	83.5	66.8	+16.6
2	Konstantin	11	9	2	82%	81.8	76.7	+5.1
3	Smederevo	11	8	3	73%	83.4	75.9	+7.5
4	Borac Mozzart	11	7	4	64%	82.3	73.6	+8.6
5	Napredak	11	6	5	55%	70.9	69.5	+1.5
6	Sloga	11	6	5	55%	68.0	70.5	-2.5
7	Mladost Admiral	12	6	6	50%	74.9	71.8	+3.2
8	OKK Beograd	12	5	7	42%	82.7	80.0	+2.7
9	Tamis Petrohemija	11	4	7	36%	70.2	70.7	-0.5
10	Vrsac	11	4	7	36%	76.5	77.7	-1.2
11	Beovuk	11	4	7	36%	76.6	81.8	-5.2
12	Spartak Subotica	11	4	7	36%	73.2	79.0	-5.8
13	Vojvodina Srbijagas	11	4	7	36%	72.9	81.5	-8.5
14	Jagodina	11	1	10	9%	73.3	95.1	-21.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Napredak	15	26	12	23	76
Smederevo	15	14	15	19	63

← all games of the day

Napredak vs Smederevo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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