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Nardo vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-77
25-21 10-21 27-19 22-16
Position#19
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game81.2
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record11-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game74.9
ItalySerie A2Round 13· PalaPentassuglia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Cividale
11 Dec 2024
NARD84
CIVI77
30 Dec 2023
NARD91
CIVI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 62
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 62
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 62
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 62
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 62
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 62
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 62
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 62
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 62
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 62
H08/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
151.3Avg total
72.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.181.2154.4-8.129%
Season at home (7)75.779.7155.4-4.043%
Season away (7)70.682.7153.3-12.114%
Last 10 (10)72.578.8151.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)68.680.0148.6-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.980.9155.8-6.033%
vs Similar (18)76.678.7155.3-2.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 72
H16/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
84avg 72
A20/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 72
H25/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 72
H01/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
66-62
66
62
+4
61avg 72
A06/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
67avg 72
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 72
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 72
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 72
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
67avg 72
H06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-19
22-19
16-12
13-26
27-18
23-19
27-26
16-10
14-18
22-19
21-21
20-16
15-16
26-23
19-17
15-18
15-11
16-12
20-21
16-22
11-17
25-14
25-10
26-21
14-14
15-20
25-20
23-10
19-20
21-23
23-22
25-13
26-10
16-23
12-16
13-22
19-22
20-17
25-16
152.0Avg total
79.1Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.274.9154.1+4.379%
Season at home (8)79.072.5151.5+6.588%
Season away (6)79.578.2157.7+1.367%
Last 10 (10)79.172.9152.0+6.290%
Last 5 (5)81.473.0154.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.475.6150.0-1.250%
vs Similar (14)81.178.1159.3+3.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.967.9148.8+13.0100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
NardoCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
75.6Avg total
36.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.578.5-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.477.7+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.579.3-7.827%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.375.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.239.876.0-3.542%-
vs Similar (18)39.240.980.2-1.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H25/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A06/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/12
Serie A2
71.0Avg total
36.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.975.7+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.935.472.4+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.038.679.6+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.671.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.240.977.1-4.625%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.074.9+0.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.132.875.9+10.4100%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.2
51.0%
50.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.4
34.9%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.09.8
65.3%
74.4%9.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.4
48.7%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
74.4%15.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLLLLLWWWL
Cividale
LWWWWWWWWW
#19
League position
#5
-9.5
Net rating
+9.5
99.5
Offensive rating
109.7
109.0
Defensive rating
100.2
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
34.9%
43.2%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 109.7Defence109.0 · 100.2Shooting51.5% · 50.2%3-point %34.9% · 34.9%Ball care19.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Nardo   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nardo wins
0
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Nardo v Cividale91-81
28/10/23Cividale v Nardo75-79
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HRimini67-82
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HAvellino Basket85-90 OT
29/11/24ACento79-62
16/11/24HFortitudo Bologna86-75
13/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza80-75
09/11/24HSebastiani Rieti77-63
06/11/24ALibertas Livorno66-62
01/11/24HCantu80-72
25/10/24HVigevano73-68
20/10/24ARimini90-89
16/10/24HUdine75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game73.175.770.6
Allowed / game81.279.782.7
Point differential-8.1-4.0-12.1
Avg total154.4155.4153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game79.279.079.5
Allowed / game74.972.578.2
Point differential+4.3+6.5+1.3
Avg total154.1151.5157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %14%12%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1413193%83.875.9+7.9
2 Cividale1411379%79.274.9+4.3
3 Udine1511473%83.273.6+9.6
4 Cantu1410471%78.471.7+6.7
5 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
6 Urania Milano159660%77.774.4+3.3
7 Forli159660%77.174.2+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%73.672.4+1.2
9 Avellino Basket147750%77.278.3-1.1
10 Fortitudo Bologna157847%75.574.9+0.7
11 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
12 Basket Torino157847%75.577.3-1.7
13 Brindisi156940%75.977.2-1.3
14 Pesaro156940%75.779.9-4.2
15 JuVi Cremona145936%79.682.5-2.9
16 Libertas Livorno1551033%73.876.3-2.5
17 Vigevano1441029%76.580.7-4.2
18 Nardo1441029%73.181.2-8.1
19 Cento1441029%69.878.1-8.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza1531220%75.580.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo2510272284
Cividale2121191677
← all games of the day
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