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Nardo vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-80
25-18 16-26 30-18 29-18
Position#15
Record10-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game80.8
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#24
Record6-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.3
ItalySerie A2Round 27· PalaPentassuglia
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H30/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A07/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
79-86 OT
79
86
-7
no box
H14/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
65-83
65
83
-18
no box
A21/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
57-69
57
69
-12
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
58-60
58
60
-2
no box
A04/02
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
H11/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A15/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H25/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
46-77
46
77
-31
no box
A03/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
29-22
19-23
29-11
19-19
16-17
15-22
14-23
14-13
16-24
19-14
22-20
13-27
13-20
23-16
16-20
15-18
13-21
12-19
17-11
13-13
18-20
7-9
20-18
18-18
17-20
14-17
21-13
20-13
19-19
15-19
27-20
12-21
20-20
23-26
20-13
22-17
6-18
6-20
12-22
144.2Avg total
68.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.380.8155.2-6.538%
Season at home (13)78.781.3160.0-2.646%
Season away (13)70.080.3150.3-10.331%
Last 10 (10)68.675.6144.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)66.071.2137.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.782.5156.2-8.828%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.977.0152.9-1.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 69
H30/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
no box
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 69
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 69
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 69
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 69
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 69
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 69
H03/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
22-26
20-21
14-12
22-23
23-26
22-23
22-17
25-24
13-21
17-13
16-24
24-19
29-19
22-26
28-30
17-21
16-26
20-21
18-24
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
17-16
20-24
19-17
17-22
12-21
16-18
33-10
28-18
18-18
20-22
17-21
21-28
14-15
18-21
24-25
23-19
167.8Avg total
80.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.684.3163.8-4.723%
Season at home (13)78.179.5157.6-1.538%
Season away (13)81.189.0170.1-7.98%
Last 10 (10)80.787.1167.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)78.481.4159.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.885.9165.7-6.118%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.681.1160.6-1.537%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
NardoMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A07/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A21/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H28/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H11/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H25/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A03/03
Serie A2
71.2Avg total
32.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.239.574.7-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.939.275.2-3.331%-
Last 30 away (13)34.439.874.2-5.515%-
Last 10 (10)32.738.571.2-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.868.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.940.575.4-5.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.637.473.0-1.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H30/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/03
Serie A2
80.2Avg total
36.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.278.9-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.440.476.8-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.081.0-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.380.2-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)33.440.273.6-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.344.581.8-7.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.939.377.2-1.337%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.9
50.3%
50.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
74.2%12.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
0
Monferrato wins
No previous meetings.
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ASebastiani Rieti46-77
25/02/24HCantu75-80
15/02/24AUrania Milano81-71
11/02/24HLatina70-68
04/02/24AChiusi58-60
28/01/24HVerona57-69
21/01/24ARimini65-83
14/01/24HCento79-86 OT
07/01/24AOrzinuovi64-81
30/12/23HCividale91-81
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HVerona79-80
24/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza76-89
18/02/24HFortitudo Bologna89-67
10/02/24ACento73-79
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
26/01/24HCantu71-92
21/01/24ALatina103-94
14/01/24HBasket Torino71-82
06/01/24AJuVi Cremona103-110 OT
30/12/23HTreviglio67-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLLWL46%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%46%31%
Points / game74.378.770.0
Allowed / game80.881.380.3
Point differential-6.5-2.6-10.3
Avg total155.2160.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %15%15%15%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%38%8%
Points / game79.678.181.1
Allowed / game84.379.589.0
Point differential-4.7-1.5-7.9
Avg total163.8157.6170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2523292%89.676.6+13.0
2 Forli2622485%79.772.7+7.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna2519676%76.971.8+5.1
4 Cantu2619773%88.380.4+7.9
5 Udine2518772%79.470.0+9.4
6 Basket Torino2518772%85.181.0+4.2
7 Verona2617965%75.973.0+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%81.378.1+3.2
9 Trieste26151158%79.577.9+1.6
10 Urania Milano26131350%82.083.3-1.2
11 JuVi Cremona25121348%85.886.0-0.2
12 Cento26121446%74.177.9-3.8
13 Assigeco Piacenza27121544%77.175.9+1.2
14 Rimini25111444%77.677.1+0.5
15 Treviglio25111444%79.880.2-0.4
16 Cividale26111542%74.776.3-1.6
17 Vigevano26101638%77.981.3-3.3
18 Nardo26101638%74.380.8-6.5
19 Luiss Roma2691735%79.185.3-6.2
20 Orzinuovi2681831%74.176.9-2.8
21 Chiusi2561924%65.373.9-8.6
22 Monferrato2662023%79.684.3-4.7
23 Agrigento2762122%73.780.6-6.9
24 Latina2652119%77.185.6-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo25163029100
Monferrato1826181880
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