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Monferrato vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 67-86
11-27 22-26 20-21 14-12
Position#24
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#16
Record9-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.8
ItalySerie A2Round 17· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Meetings · Monferrato v Treviglio
30 Dec 2023
MONF67
TREV86
05 Mar 2023
MONF81
TREV72
28 Nov 2021
MONF88
TREV85
14 Mar 2021
MONF87
TREV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 69
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-112
98
112
-14
81avg 69
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 69
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 69
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 69
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 69
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 69
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
86-61
86
61
+25
85avg 69
H10/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
62avg 69
A23/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
15-20
14-9
20-29
25-32
19-28
27-19
27-33
17-28
10-21
28-16
16-21
19-26
12-23
16-14
27-27
21-12
22-25
25-25
29-21
18-22
17-22
24-17
15-18
14-26
20-23
12-15
21-14
18-14
23-14
19-13
26-20
18-25
15-17
20-17
13-24
20-15
20-19
13-20
18-18
158.8Avg total
77.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.982.5161.4-3.625%
Season at home (8)79.878.4158.1+1.450%
Season away (8)78.086.6164.6-8.60%
Last 10 (10)77.081.8158.8-4.820%
Last 5 (5)72.874.6147.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.089.2171.2-7.217%
vs Similar ◀ (24)78.978.1157.0+0.842%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 80
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 80
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
104avg 80
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
92-90
92
90
+2
81avg 80
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 80
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 80
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 80
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 80
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 80
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 80
H23/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
23-20
22-25
37-22
18-29
25-28
19-25
24-20
24-17
23-24
23-23
17-9
24-13
22-31
21-11
23-21
13-18
12-25
21-18
18-16
18-16
17-23
20-12
15-30
24-20
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
164.7Avg total
84.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.481.8165.1+1.656%
Season at home (9)84.882.3167.1+2.456%
Season away (7)81.681.0162.6+0.657%
Last 10 (10)84.080.7164.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)77.677.4155.0+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.486.6167.0-6.240%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.077.3160.3+5.760%
vs Weaker (10)80.775.4156.1+5.360%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
MonferratoTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A17/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/12
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
36.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.975.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.179.2-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.878.8-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.476.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.247.287.3-7.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)38.137.075.0+1.154%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
84.6Avg total
41.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.081.8+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.182.8+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)41.938.880.7+3.171%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.984.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.877.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.339.982.2+2.560%-
vs Weaker (10)41.538.980.4+2.650%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.7
47.1%
50.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.6
34.3%
34.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
74.2%13.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.8
54.1%
50.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.0
38.7%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.414.6
79.3%
74.2%14.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LLWLLWLLLL
Treviglio
WLLLLWWWLW
#24
League position
#16
-6.1
Net rating
+5.2
102.0
Offensive rating
110.5
108.1
Defensive rating
105.3
49.2%
Effective FG%
56.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
38.7%
51.7%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 110.5Defence108.1 · 105.3Shooting49.2% · 56.0%3-point %34.3% · 38.7%Ball care16.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds23.2% · 18.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Monferrato   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Monferrato wins
2
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Treviglio v Monferrato88-79
05/03/23Monferrato v Treviglio81-72
07/12/22Treviglio v Monferrato97-68
06/03/22Treviglio v Monferrato67-69
28/11/21Monferrato v Treviglio88-85
14/03/21Monferrato v Treviglio87-68
03/01/21Treviglio v Monferrato77-88
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ASebastiani Rieti71-72
17/12/23AAgrigento66-83
10/12/23HVigevano86-61
06/12/23HTrapani67-78
02/12/23ALuiss Roma74-79
25/11/23HUrania Milano97-83
19/11/23ACantu74-90
12/11/23HLatina71-86
05/11/23ABasket Torino98-112
01/11/23HJuVi Cremona66-74
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
10/12/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
06/12/23HCantu69-75
01/12/23AUrania Milano79-81
26/11/23HLuiss Roma87-69
19/11/23ALatina92-90
12/11/23HJuVi Cremona100-96
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.979.878.0
Allowed / game82.578.486.6
Point differential-3.6+1.4-8.6
Avg total161.4158.1164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%56%57%
Points / game83.484.881.6
Allowed / game81.882.381.0
Point differential+1.6+2.4+0.6
Avg total165.1167.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1615194%91.577.2+14.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna1613381%79.273.3+5.9
3 Forli1613381%80.874.9+5.9
4 Udine1713476%81.168.1+13.0
5 Cantu1612475%88.581.3+7.2
6 Basket Torino1612475%85.881.1+4.7
7 Trieste1511473%79.374.7+4.6
8 Verona1611569%77.273.5+3.7
9 Urania Milano1610662%83.583.5+0.0
10 Sebastiani Rieti1710759%81.979.1+2.9
11 Assigeco Piacenza169756%79.875.8+4.0
12 Treviglio169756%83.481.8+1.6
13 JuVi Cremona179853%86.584.5+2.0
14 Nardo167944%77.984.1-6.1
15 Cento1761135%72.478.0-5.6
16 Vigevano1651131%77.983.8-5.9
17 Agrigento1751229%76.180.0-3.9
18 Luiss Roma1751229%78.987.7-8.8
19 Rimini1641225%75.579.0-3.5
20 Monferrato1641225%78.982.5-3.6
21 Cividale1641225%71.976.9-5.0
22 Orzinuovi1631319%71.377.8-6.4
23 Chiusi1521313%62.974.3-11.3
24 Latina1621412%77.287.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato1122201467
Treviglio2726211286
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