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Nardo vs Rimini Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-82
23-23 17-14 18-30 9-15
Position#19
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#3
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game76.5
ItalySerie A2Round 15· PalaPentassuglia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Rimini
08 Dec 2024
NARD67
RIMI82
12 Nov 2023
NARD72
RIMI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 63
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 63
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 63
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 63
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 63
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 63
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 63
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 63
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 63
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 63
A01/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
151.7Avg total
74.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.681.2154.8-7.531%
Season at home (6)77.279.3156.5-2.250%
Season away (7)70.682.7153.3-12.114%
Last 10 (10)74.077.7151.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)70.282.2152.4-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.280.5153.7-7.333%
vs Similar (18)76.678.7155.3-2.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 76
H13/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 76
A16/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
89-90
89
90
-1
84avg 76
H20/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
82avg 76
H27/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 76
A01/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 76
H06/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
86avg 76
A10/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 76
H13/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 76
A17/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
88avg 76
H01/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
10-19
17-17
30-16
36-26
22-20
17-15
23-20
26-13
18-27
19-23
26-27
17-20
20-27
22-9
22-17
19-11
19-20
21-15
21-22
15-26
21-9
20-12
24-30
21-12
18-17
18-24
25-23
25-21
17-19
16-19
22-19
25-19
14-14
18-17
21-24
17-21
24-19
24-20
26-18
161.4Avg total
84.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.976.5160.5+7.492%
Season at home (8)83.076.1159.1+6.988%
Season away (5)85.477.2162.6+8.2100%
Last 10 (10)84.377.1161.4+7.290%
Last 5 (5)82.276.6158.8+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.572.0153.5+9.5100%
vs Similar (16)79.976.6156.5+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.872.6156.4+11.2100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
NardoRimini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
75.1Avg total
36.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.478.0-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.477.8+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)35.243.078.2-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.775.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.475.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.239.674.8-4.333%-
vs Similar (18)39.240.980.2-1.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A16/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H27/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H13/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H01/12
Serie A2
79.5Avg total
41.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.976.6+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.735.475.1+4.371%-
Last 30 away (13)42.136.578.5+5.677%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.479.5+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.474.8+4.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.532.071.5+7.550%-
vs Similar (16)38.337.075.3+1.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.235.079.2+9.292%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.6
52.1%
50.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.810.5
66.5%
74.4%10.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.7
55.1%
50.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.810.2
42.9%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.7
73.1%
74.4%11.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLLLLWWWLW
Rimini
WWWWWWWLWW
#19
League position
#3
-5.6
Net rating
+10.8
101.2
Offensive rating
116.4
106.7
Defensive rating
105.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
58.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
20.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
42.9%
42.6%
Assist %
53.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 116.4Defence106.7 · 105.6Shooting52.3% · 58.6%3-point %35.1% · 42.9%Ball care20.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Nardo   ■ Rimini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nardo wins
1
Rimini wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Rimini v Nardo83-65
12/11/23Nardo v Rimini72-68
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HBrindisi91-78
17/11/24ALibertas Livorno78-74
13/11/24HAvellino Basket80-78
10/11/24APesaro82-76
06/11/24HCento80-77
01/11/24ABasket Torino80-68
27/10/24HForli81-73
20/10/24HCividale89-90
16/10/24AOrzinuovi98-81
13/10/24HUrania Milano84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game73.677.270.6
Allowed / game81.279.382.7
Point differential-7.5-2.2-12.1
Avg total154.8156.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rimini
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %92%88%100%
Points / game83.983.085.4
Allowed / game76.576.177.2
Point differential+7.4+6.9+8.2
Avg total160.5159.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1312192%83.976.5+7.4
2 Udine1411379%84.972.8+12.1
3 Cividale1411379%79.274.9+4.3
4 Cantu139469%78.273.3+4.9
5 Urania Milano149564%79.673.9+5.7
6 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
7 Forli159660%77.174.2+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%73.672.4+1.2
9 Avellino Basket147750%77.278.3-1.1
10 Basket Torino147750%74.175.4-1.4
11 Fortitudo Bologna157847%75.574.9+0.7
12 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
13 Brindisi156940%75.977.2-1.3
14 JuVi Cremona145936%79.682.5-2.9
15 Pesaro145936%73.878.8-5.0
16 Nardo134931%73.681.2-7.5
17 Vigevano1441029%76.580.7-4.2
18 Libertas Livorno1441029%73.077.5-4.5
19 Cento1441029%69.878.1-8.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza1531220%75.580.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo231718967
Rimini2314301582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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