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Nardo vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-71
18-13 24-17 22-15 17-26
Position#19
Record3-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game81.9
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Sebastiani Rieti
Italy
Position#4
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game72.0
ItalySerie A2Round 8· PalaPentassuglia
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A02/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-69
71
69
+2
no box
H05/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 65
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
59avg 65
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 65
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 65
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 65
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 65
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 65
A27/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-21
14-18
18-16
21-11
20-28
25-13
5-17
16-31
16-17
23-17
19-23
16-12
11-33
28-30
23-11
17-30
16-21
20-23
14-21
15-14
15-26
27-26
15-31
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
156.4Avg total
75.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.081.9156.9-6.943%
Season at home (4)78.582.8161.2-4.250%
Season away (3)70.380.7151.0-10.333%
Last 10 (10)75.580.9156.4-5.450%
Last 5 (5)76.078.4154.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.579.5150.1-9.027%
vs Similar (19)76.576.7153.2-0.253%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
58-67
58
67
-9
50avg 71
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
43avg 71
A21/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
50avg 71
H24/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 71
H28/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
57avg 71
A02/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 71
H06/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
76avg 71
H12/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
59avg 71
A16/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
66avg 71
H21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 71
H27/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
29-24
13-14
3-15
17-24
11-16
15-17
16-18
20-19
9-14
19-15
10-12
21-17
22-19
21-20
16-16
14-13
17-19
22-12
14-17
20-18
9-18
27-18
12-20
24-20
17-17
21-20
24-23
18-22
17-14
21-16
15-14
15-18
12-21
22-17
25-17
28-24
21-17
33-14
15-23
142.4Avg total
71.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.672.0149.6+5.686%
Season at home (5)81.075.4156.4+5.680%
Season away (2)69.063.5132.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)71.870.6142.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)79.274.2153.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.577.0149.5-4.50%
vs Similar (18)76.074.7150.7+1.361%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.770.6149.3+8.190%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
NardoSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
35.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.377.1-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.278.1-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.641.576.1-6.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.077.3-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.074.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.841.274.0-8.418%-
vs Similar (19)39.039.878.8-0.853%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A21/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H28/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H06/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H12/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/10
Serie A2
72.2Avg total
35.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.173.4-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.439.274.5-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)35.236.872.0-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.872.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.874.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.530.561.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (18)34.439.473.8-4.928%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.4
54.9%
50.1%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.69.0
41.7%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.310.6
69.2%
74.4%10.6
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.612.6
44.1%
50.1%25.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.0
76.1%
74.4%14.0
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
WWLWLLLLWW
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWWLWWLLL
#19
League position
#4
-9.8
Net rating
+2.4
111.0
Offensive rating
105.6
120.8
Defensive rating
103.2
57.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.7%
3-point %
36.3%
30.7%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 105.6Defence120.8 · 103.2Shooting57.9% · 49.3%3-point %41.7% · 36.3%Ball care19.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Nardo   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Sebastiani Rieti v Nardo77-46
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
06/10/24HJuVi Cremona72-97
02/10/24AUdine67-95
29/09/24HPesaro78-86
09/06/24ACento74-88
05/06/24HChiusi71-69
02/06/24ALatina85-79 OT
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HLibertas Livorno97-78
21/10/24HBrindisi74-73
16/10/24AUrania Milano71-66
12/10/24HPesaro86-80
06/10/24HCantu68-74
02/10/24AAvellino Basket67-61
28/09/24HAssigeco Piacenza80-72
24/05/24HFortitudo Bologna58-60
21/05/24AFortitudo Bologna59-75
19/05/24AFortitudo Bologna58-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game75.078.570.3
Allowed / game81.982.880.7
Point differential-6.9-4.2-10.3
Avg total156.9161.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game77.681.069.0
Allowed / game72.075.463.5
Point differential+5.6+5.6+5.5
Avg total149.6156.4132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini87188%85.076.5+8.5
2 Sebastiani Rieti76186%77.672.0+5.6
3 Cantu86275%77.171.5+5.6
4 Cividale86275%79.577.8+1.8
5 Udine75271%83.071.7+11.3
6 Urania Milano74357%78.673.1+5.4
7 Verona74357%81.477.6+3.9
8 Orzinuovi74357%80.782.0-1.3
9 Forli84450%72.971.0+1.9
10 Fortitudo Bologna63350%77.877.0+0.8
11 JuVi Cremona84450%78.878.4+0.4
12 Avellino Basket63350%76.076.2-0.2
13 Vigevano73443%74.974.1+0.7
14 Nardo73443%75.081.9-6.9
15 Basket Torino83538%73.474.8-1.4
16 Libertas Livorno83538%72.677.2-4.6
17 Pesaro72529%69.777.4-7.7
18 Brindisi71614%68.375.1-6.9
19 Cento71614%70.680.9-10.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo1824221781
Sebastiani Rieti1317152671
← all games of the day
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