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Sebastiani Rieti vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-74
20-18 9-18 27-18 12-20
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaSojourner
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu
29 May 2025
SEBA77
KAN84
06 Oct 2024
SEBA68
KAN74
21 Jan 2024
SEBA74
KAN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
W
89-66
89
66
+23
82avg 72
A13/04
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 72
H21/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 72
H04/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
65avg 72
H06/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
77-64
77
64
+13
64avg 72
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
58-67
58
67
-9
50avg 72
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
43avg 72
A21/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
50avg 72
H24/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 72
H28/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
57avg 72
A02/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
12-19
29-16
25-10
13-20
20-24
23-19
31-29
13-21
11-6
19-17
31-29
15-30
22-17
17-7
19-15
15-15
13-12
26-22
23-15
13-14
29-24
13-14
3-15
17-24
11-16
15-17
16-18
20-19
9-14
19-15
10-12
21-17
22-19
21-20
16-16
14-13
17-19
22-12
14-17
142.1Avg total
72.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.566.5140.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.269.9142.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)64.467.0131.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
vs Similar (15)74.975.5150.5-0.647%
vs Weaker (13)80.172.1152.2+8.092%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 74
A12/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
64-61
64
61
+3
53avg 74
H19/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 74
H21/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
60-76
60
76
-16
44avg 74
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
79avg 74
A26/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 74
H04/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
65avg 74
H06/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
58avg 74
A10/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 74
A12/06
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
62avg 74
A29/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
16-14
20-22
19-21
21-18
19-15
10-18
14-10
23-13
15-14
18-18
20-21
16-20
14-17
16-22
14-17
22-20
23-15
15-21
18-22
15-25
17-21
20-9
13-17
12-24
23-15
21-19
17-25
20-20
16-16
23-9
15-28
14-20
14-20
19-23
25-20
21-21
24-21
16-11
9-17
147.8Avg total
72.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.077.0153.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.077.0153.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)72.675.2147.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)72.077.6149.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.071.0138.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)77.975.3153.2+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.475.8155.2+3.654%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
Sebastiani RietiCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A13/04
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H04/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H06/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A21/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H28/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Serie A2
69.4Avg total
33.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.674.9-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.538.974.3-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.375.5-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.469.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (15)34.740.375.0-5.527%-
vs Weaker (13)38.637.576.1+1.246%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H19/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A26/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A10/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A12/06
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A29/09
Serie A2
72.8Avg total
36.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.476.1+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.375.5+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.336.576.7+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.472.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.675.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (16)39.236.375.5+2.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.036.377.3+4.769%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.014.4
43.6%
50.1%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
74.4%13.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.8
48.6%
50.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
74.4%12.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWLLLWWWLW
Cantu
LLWLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#2
+3.3
Net rating
-4.0
102.9
Offensive rating
102.7
99.6
Defensive rating
106.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.6%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
29.5%
54.5%
Assist %
52.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 102.7Defence99.6 · 106.7Shooting48.5% · 46.6%3-point %36.3% · 29.5%Ball care16.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 31.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cantu74-96
12/11/23Cantu v Sebastiani Rieti81-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24AAvellino Basket67-61
28/09/24HAssigeco Piacenza80-72
24/05/24HFortitudo Bologna58-60
21/05/24AFortitudo Bologna59-75
19/05/24AFortitudo Bologna58-67
09/05/24ARimini77-64
06/05/24HRimini73-69
04/05/24HRimini74-73
21/04/24HTrieste87-92
13/04/24AUdine89-66
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24AOrzinuovi76-77 OT
12/06/24ATrieste72-83
10/06/24ATrieste74-73
06/06/24HTrieste73-83
04/06/24HTrieste65-72
26/05/24AUdine92-89 OT
24/05/24AUdine60-76
21/05/24HUdine76-66
19/05/24HUdine64-61
12/05/24ACividale74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.580.067.0
Allowed / game66.572.061.0
Point differential+7.0+8.0+6.0
Avg total140.0152.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Urania Milano330100%85.774.0+11.7
2 Rimini220100%87.079.0+8.0
3 JuVi Cremona220100%89.081.5+7.5
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%73.566.5+7.0
5 Orzinuovi110100%77.076.0+1.0
6 Basket Torino21150%83.076.0+7.0
7 Udine21150%83.076.0+7.0
8 Forli21150%72.068.0+4.0
9 Vigevano21150%76.573.0+3.5
10 Verona21150%83.582.5+1.0
11 Avellino Basket21150%69.069.5-0.5
12 Cividale21150%83.584.0-0.5
13 Cento21150%71.073.5-2.5
14 Pesaro21150%76.579.0-2.5
15 Cantu1010%76.077.0-1.0
16 Brindisi1010%72.077.0-5.0
17 Assigeco Piacenza3030%77.385.0-7.7
18 Fortitudo Bologna1010%78.094.0-16.0
19 Libertas Livorno2020%64.080.5-16.5
20 Nardo2020%72.590.5-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti209271268
Cantu1818182074
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