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Sebastiani Rieti vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-80
24-20 17-17 21-20 24-23
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.3
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaSojourner
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Pesaro
28 Feb 2027
SEBA v PES
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SEBA112
PES90
12 Oct 2024
SEBA86
PES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 71
H21/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 71
H04/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
65avg 71
H06/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
77-64
77
64
+13
64avg 71
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
58-67
58
67
-9
50avg 71
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
43avg 71
A21/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
50avg 71
H24/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 71
H28/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
67-61
67
61
+6
57avg 71
A02/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 71
H06/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
20-24
23-19
31-29
13-21
11-6
19-17
31-29
15-30
22-17
17-7
19-15
15-15
13-12
26-22
23-15
13-14
29-24
13-14
3-15
17-24
11-16
15-17
16-18
20-19
9-14
19-15
10-12
21-17
22-19
21-20
16-16
14-13
17-19
22-12
14-17
20-18
9-18
27-18
12-20
140.8Avg total
70.1Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.769.0140.7+2.767%
Season at home (2)74.073.0147.0+1.050%
Season away (1)67.061.0128.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.170.7140.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)66.468.4134.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.577.0149.5-4.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.975.5150.5-0.647%
vs Weaker (13)80.172.1152.2+8.092%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 72
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 72
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 72
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 72
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 72
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 72
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
63avg 72
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 72
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 72
H02/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 72
H06/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
29-16
21-24
22-24
17-18
22-21
11-23
21-24
22-26
22-26
21-23
23-19
25-18
20-27
24-15
11-35
24-14
12-16
33-11
30-28
11-23
16-26
24-22
13-17
14-15
21-22
17-12
22-22
22-21
168.3Avg total
82.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.378.3156.7+0.067%
Season at home (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
Season away (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.485.9168.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)81.082.4163.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.389.2168.4-9.933%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.887.3172.1-2.540%
vs Weaker (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
Sebastiani RietiPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H21/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H04/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H06/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A21/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H28/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H06/10
Serie A2
68.4Avg total
32.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.474.5-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.138.773.8-3.631%-
Last 30 away (14)37.438.175.4-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.068.4-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.467.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.530.561.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.740.375.0-5.527%-
vs Weaker (13)38.637.576.1+1.246%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
41.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.982.8-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.542.481.9-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.483.9-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.683.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.944.383.2-5.428%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.441.482.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker (2)42.537.580.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.014.2
44.4%
50.1%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.712.4
74.3%
74.4%12.4
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.0
55.3%
50.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.6
34.5%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.312.6
77.3%
74.4%12.6
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWLLLWWWL
Pesaro
WLWLWLWWLL
#4
League position
#9
-0.3
Net rating
-6.1
101.1
Offensive rating
110.8
101.4
Defensive rating
116.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.1%
3-point %
34.5%
53.2%
Assist %
49.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 110.8Defence101.4 · 116.9Shooting48.1% · 53.8%3-point %35.1% · 34.5%Ball care17.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 25.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
0
Pesaro wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24HCantu68-74
02/10/24AAvellino Basket67-61
28/09/24HAssigeco Piacenza80-72
24/05/24HFortitudo Bologna58-60
21/05/24AFortitudo Bologna59-75
19/05/24AFortitudo Bologna58-67
09/05/24ARimini77-64
06/05/24HRimini73-69
04/05/24HRimini74-73
21/04/24HTrieste87-92
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24HAvellino Basket82-77
02/10/24HVigevano67-80
29/09/24ANardo86-78
05/05/24AVenezia79-91
28/04/24HCremona91-86
20/04/24ATortona76-94
13/04/24HPistoia89-82
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93
24/03/24HReggiana69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game71.774.067.0
Allowed / game69.073.061.0
Point differential+2.7+1.0+6.0
Avg total140.7147.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game78.374.586.0
Allowed / game78.378.578.0
Point differential+0.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total156.7153.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Urania Milano330100%85.774.0+11.7
2 Rimini330100%82.774.7+8.0
3 Udine43175%84.269.8+14.5
4 JuVi Cremona43175%86.278.5+7.8
5 Cantu32167%75.067.3+7.7
6 Forli32167%78.774.0+4.7
7 Cividale32167%82.079.3+2.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti32167%71.769.0+2.7
9 Pesaro32167%78.378.3+0.0
10 Orzinuovi32167%79.380.0-0.7
11 Avellino Basket42250%75.075.2-0.2
12 Fortitudo Bologna42250%75.878.2-2.5
13 Verona31233%84.385.7-1.3
14 Basket Torino31233%74.778.7-4.0
15 Libertas Livorno31233%68.075.7-7.7
16 Vigevano41325%74.876.8-2.0
17 Cento41325%73.880.0-6.2
18 Assigeco Piacenza3030%77.385.0-7.7
19 Brindisi3030%66.377.0-10.7
20 Nardo3030%72.392.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2417212486
Pesaro2017202380
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