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Nardo vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-83
14-17 23-16 15-22 23-28
Position#15
Record7-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game74.2
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaPentassuglia
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
no box
H15/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H22/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A28/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
90-88
90
88
+2
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A05/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
no box
A20/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-69
71
69
+2
no box
H26/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
57-79
57
79
-22
no box
A02/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
no box
H06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-26
18-23
26-30
25-14
16-16
20-17
17-23
28-22
13-14
17-17
21-22
26-24
25-21
16-18
23-25
16-20
21-25
22-13
22-23
19-15
22-24
12-14
19-15
19-18
19-20
19-19
14-14
14-13
13-20
23-14
21-22
13-17
17-27
20-20
7-15
21-27
16-23
23-22
31-19
163.9Avg total
80.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.885.5165.3-5.654%
Season at home (7)82.384.3166.6-2.057%
Season away (6)77.086.8163.8-9.850%
Last 10 (10)80.783.2163.9-2.570%
Last 5 (5)77.481.8159.2-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.386.1164.4-7.840%
vs Similar (3)85.083.3168.3+1.7100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Nardo
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
90avg 71
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A15/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
48avg 71
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 71
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
49avg 71
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
81-62
81
62
+19
73avg 71
A19/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
87-69
87
69
+18
83avg 71
A03/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
23-20
24-27
23-14
31-19
22-17
13-25
16-21
8-21
15-27
21-19
21-17
16-26
18-11
21-17
14-27
24-21
27-24
16-16
20-23
15-10
11-19
13-13
18-12
19-15
23-20
24-22
20-22
23-23
19-12
24-12
15-15
19-12
16-23
14-14
30-13
28-15
22-15
18-18
19-21
154.7Avg total
79.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.374.2153.6+5.175%
Season at home (6)77.272.7149.8+4.583%
Season away (6)81.575.8157.3+5.767%
Last 10 (10)79.675.1154.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)78.065.2143.2+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.582.1154.6-9.625%
vs Similar (13)80.276.0156.2+4.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.677.0162.6+8.680%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
NardoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H15/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H22/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H01/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H26/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/12
Serie A2
78.2Avg total
37.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)37.740.978.6-3.231%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.439.376.7-1.943%-
Last 30 away (6)38.042.880.8-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.875.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.540.978.4-3.430%-
vs Similar (3)38.341.079.3-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A15/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A19/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H26/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
40.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.579.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.236.174.3+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.6-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.177.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.871.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.242.480.6-4.233%-
vs Similar (13)39.737.677.3+2.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.837.281.0+6.660%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.4
49.7%
50.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.5
32.1%
34.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.4
73.5%
74.2%11.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Trieste v Nardo96-82
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HForli107-114 OT
02/12/23AUdine57-79
26/11/23HChiusi71-69
20/11/23AVerona80-79 OT
12/11/23HRimini72-68
05/11/23ACento94-93 OT
01/11/23HOrzinuovi90-88
28/10/23ACividale79-75
22/10/23HAssigeco Piacenza78-70
15/10/23HFortitudo Bologna79-97
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AOrzinuovi87-69
26/11/23HForli79-62
19/11/23ARimini81-62
12/11/23HCividale86-79
05/11/23HUdine57-54
01/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza87-84
29/10/23AVerona69-81
22/10/23HFortitudo Bologna65-84
15/10/23ACento89-94 OT
11/10/23HNardo96-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game79.882.377.0
Allowed / game85.584.386.8
Point differential-5.6-2.0-9.8
Avg total165.3166.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %23%14%33%
Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game79.377.281.5
Allowed / game74.272.775.8
Point differential+5.1+4.5+5.7
Avg total153.6149.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1312192%92.278.2+14.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna1311285%79.573.2+6.3
3 Cantu1310377%89.181.9+7.2
4 Forli1310377%81.875.8+6.0
5 Trieste129375%79.374.2+5.1
6 Udine139469%80.871.7+9.1
7 Verona139469%77.172.5+4.6
8 Basket Torino139469%85.180.8+4.2
9 Treviglio138562%84.282.8+1.3
10 Urania Milano138562%83.683.1+0.5
11 JuVi Cremona148657%89.284.7+4.5
12 Sebastiani Rieti137654%82.780.5+2.2
13 Nardo137654%79.885.5-5.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza136746%79.679.0+0.6
15 Cento135838%74.978.8-3.9
16 Agrigento134931%75.579.3-3.8
17 Vigevano134931%78.484.2-5.8
18 Luiss Roma1441029%76.286.1-9.9
19 Cividale1331023%73.977.2-3.2
20 Rimini1331023%74.878.8-4.0
21 Monferrato1331023%79.984.9-5.0
22 Orzinuovi1331023%70.376.6-6.3
23 Chiusi1221017%65.774.6-8.9
24 Latina1321115%78.787.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo1423152375
Trieste1716222883
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