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Trieste vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-62
19-12 16-23 14-14 30-13
Position#5
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.0
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A2Round 11· Allianz Dome
Other2023-24
Meetings · Trieste v Forli
24 May 2024
TRI85
FORL68
26 Nov 2023
TRI79
FORL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 71
H04/10
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
76-65
76
65
+11
72avg 71
A08/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
90avg 71
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A15/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
48avg 71
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 71
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
49avg 71
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
81-62
81
62
+19
73avg 71
A19/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
21-22
25-21
20-18
18-21
14-22
24-9
20-13
26-21
23-20
24-27
23-14
31-19
22-17
13-25
16-21
8-21
15-27
21-19
21-17
16-26
18-11
21-17
14-27
24-21
27-24
16-16
20-23
15-10
11-19
13-13
18-12
19-15
23-20
24-22
20-22
23-23
19-12
24-12
15-15
154.6Avg total
78.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.676.0154.6+2.670%
Season at home (5)76.874.8151.6+2.080%
Season away (5)80.477.2157.6+3.260%
Last 10 (10)78.676.0154.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)76.072.0148.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.582.6157.1-8.129%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.377.2157.5+3.267%
vs Weaker (4)85.279.0164.2+6.275%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 73
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
103avg 73
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
51avg 73
A11/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 73
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
76-68 OT
76
68
+8
no box
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 73
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 73
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
60avg 73
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
17-20
10-11
22-14
25-12
20-29
32-11
22-18
20-18
16-20
7-19
20-16
23-12
24-13
19-21
20-23
11-17
18-20
16-15
18-11
23-27
22-13
17-15
18-22
23-20
19-18
12-17
18-17
18-30
24-18
15-23
25-25
21-13
11-11
22-19
17-19
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
154.4Avg total
80.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.673.8154.4+6.880%
Season at home (5)86.473.8160.2+12.6100%
Season away (5)74.873.8148.6+1.060%
Last 10 (10)80.673.8154.4+6.880%
Last 5 (5)80.879.4160.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.573.4147.9+1.160%
vs Weaker (15)78.966.9145.7+12.093%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
TriesteForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H04/10
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A08/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A15/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A19/11
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
38.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.279.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.936.475.2+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.583.9-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.577.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.642.581.1-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.137.877.9+2.258%-
vs Weaker (4)42.239.081.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A11/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
39.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.973.8+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.735.473.1+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.374.4+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.876.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.337.874.1-1.553%-
vs Weaker (15)39.533.973.5+5.680%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.115.9
48.0%
50.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.9
32.9%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
74.2%12.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.2
51.6%
50.3%38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.3%
34.1%23.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.7
70.1%
74.2%13.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLLLWWW
Forli
WWLWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
+0.6
Net rating
+3.4
103.3
Offensive rating
110.2
102.8
Defensive rating
106.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
14.1%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
33.3%
55.0%
Assist %
47.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 110.2Defence102.8 · 106.7Shooting48.7% · 51.0%3-point %32.9% · 33.3%Ball care18.1% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Trieste   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
0
Forli wins
No previous meetings.
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ARimini81-62
12/11/23HCividale86-79
05/11/23HUdine57-54
01/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza87-84
29/10/23AVerona69-81
22/10/23HFortitudo Bologna65-84
15/10/23ACento89-94 OT
11/10/23HNardo96-82
08/10/23AChiusi76-65
04/10/23HOrzinuovi80-75
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
12/11/23AChiusi71-62
04/11/23AVerona82-96
01/11/23HCividale84-78 OT
29/10/23AAssigeco Piacenza80-77
22/10/23HRimini76-68 OT
15/10/23HOrzinuovi86-69
11/10/23AFortitudo Bologna63-73
08/10/23HNardo99-70
01/10/23ACento78-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game78.676.880.4
Allowed / game76.074.877.2
Point differential+2.6+2.0+3.2
Avg total154.6151.6157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game80.686.474.8
Allowed / game73.873.873.8
Point differential+6.8+12.6+1.0
Avg total154.4160.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %30%60%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani109190%93.381.2+12.1
2 Fortitudo Bologna109190%80.072.5+7.5
3 Cantu108280%90.580.5+10.0
4 Forli108280%80.673.8+6.8
5 Treviglio118373%86.083.7+2.3
6 Udine107370%81.271.9+9.3
7 Trieste107370%78.676.0+2.6
8 JuVi Cremona106460%89.582.9+6.6
9 Sebastiani Rieti106460%83.578.2+5.3
10 Verona106460%76.272.5+3.7
11 Basket Torino106460%84.180.8+3.3
12 Nardo106460%80.384.9-4.6
13 Urania Milano116555%85.585.3+0.3
14 Assigeco Piacenza104640%83.182.3+0.8
15 Cento104640%75.679.1-3.5
16 Cividale103730%75.277.0-1.8
17 Vigevano103730%79.284.8-5.6
18 Agrigento103730%74.680.4-5.8
19 Monferrato113827%81.686.1-4.5
20 Rimini102820%72.577.0-4.5
21 Orzinuovi102820%71.678.1-6.5
22 Latina102820%79.187.9-8.8
23 Chiusi102820%64.474.2-9.8
24 Luiss Roma112918%75.388.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1916143079
Forli1223141362
← all games of the day
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