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Orzinuovi vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-87
15-28 15-22 18-18 21-19
Position#21
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game74.7
ItalySerie A2Round 12· PalaBertocchi
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 61
H08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 61
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
53avg 61
A15/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 61
H22/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 61
A29/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 61
A01/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 61
H05/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
46avg 61
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
56-67
56
67
-11
49avg 61
H19/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
54-57
54
57
-3
42avg 61
A26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
10-22
17-21
21-16
24-18
18-20
12-19
20-13
12-23
13-24
21-19
23-20
15-19
21-20
23-21
13-13
19-21
21-26
19-31
18-11
24-26
21-25
18-16
25-23
22-13
19-19
19-18
16-21
18-18
16-33
13-12
14-19
13-13
9-18
12-15
22-21
19-17
7-15
16-2
12-23
145.3Avg total
69.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.076.2146.2-6.218%
Season at home (5)69.270.8140.0-1.640%
Season away (6)70.780.7151.3-10.00%
Last 10 (10)69.575.8145.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)67.073.4140.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)70.685.1155.6-14.512%
vs Similar (5)68.471.6140.0-3.220%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
W
76-65
76
65
+11
72avg 71
A08/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
90avg 71
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A15/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
48avg 71
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 71
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
49avg 71
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
81-62
81
62
+19
73avg 71
A19/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
14-22
24-9
20-13
26-21
23-20
24-27
23-14
31-19
22-17
13-25
16-21
8-21
15-27
21-19
21-17
16-26
18-11
21-17
14-27
24-21
27-24
16-16
20-23
15-10
11-19
13-13
18-12
19-15
23-20
24-22
20-22
23-23
19-12
24-12
15-15
19-12
16-23
14-14
30-13
153.2Avg total
78.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.674.7153.4+3.973%
Season at home (6)77.272.7149.8+4.583%
Season away (5)80.477.2157.6+3.260%
Last 10 (10)78.574.7153.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)78.068.2146.2+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.681.0153.6-8.431%
vs Similar (13)80.276.0156.2+4.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.279.0164.2+6.275%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
OrzinuoviTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A01/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H19/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
74.5Avg total
34.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.743.578.1-8.817%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.441.677.1-6.221%-
Last 30 away (16)34.045.179.1-11.112%-
Last 10 (10)34.140.474.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.473.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.044.979.9-9.816%-
vs Similar (5)32.836.469.2-3.620%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#18
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A08/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A15/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H22/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A01/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H05/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A19/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H26/11
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
38.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.879.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.636.374.9+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.543.383.8-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.477.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.642.280.8-3.538%-
vs Similar (13)39.737.677.3+2.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.239.081.2+3.250%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.014.2
47.3%
50.3%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.312.1
74.2%
74.2%12.1
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.3
48.7%
50.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.8
31.4%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.811.8
74.7%
74.2%11.8
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LLLWLLLLWL
Trieste
WWWWWLLLWW
#21
League position
#5
-9.9
Net rating
+1.8
95.4
Offensive rating
102.1
105.3
Defensive rating
100.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.5%
3-point %
31.4%
57.1%
Assist %
54.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 102.1Defence105.3 · 100.3Shooting48.0% · 47.9%3-point %32.5% · 31.4%Ball care20.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds22.9% · 33.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orzinuovi wins
1
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
04/10/23Trieste v Orzinuovi80-75
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza54-57
19/11/23HCento56-67
11/11/23AUdine61-82
05/11/23HChiusi76-71
01/11/23ANardo88-90
29/10/23AFortitudo Bologna77-89
22/10/23HVerona72-73
15/10/23AForli69-86
11/10/23HRimini74-70
08/10/23HCividale68-73
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HForli79-62
19/11/23ARimini81-62
12/11/23HCividale86-79
05/11/23HUdine57-54
01/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza87-84
29/10/23AVerona69-81
22/10/23HFortitudo Bologna65-84
15/10/23ACento89-94 OT
11/10/23HNardo96-82
08/10/23AChiusi76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game70.069.270.7
Allowed / game76.270.880.7
Point differential-6.2-1.6-10.0
Avg total146.2140.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game78.677.280.4
Allowed / game74.772.777.2
Point differential+3.9+4.5+3.2
Avg total153.4149.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1211192%93.479.2+14.2
2 Fortitudo Bologna119282%78.972.7+6.2
3 Udine129375%81.971.9+10.0
4 Forli129375%79.273.2+5.9
5 Cantu118373%89.782.2+7.5
6 Trieste118373%78.674.7+3.9
7 Basket Torino128467%85.080.6+4.4
8 Verona128467%76.472.0+4.4
9 Treviglio128467%85.483.5+1.9
10 Urania Milano127558%85.284.8+0.4
11 Nardo127558%77.683.1-5.5
12 JuVi Cremona116555%88.684.1+4.5
13 Sebastiani Rieti116555%82.479.7+2.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza115645%80.779.7+1.0
15 Cento125742%74.778.3-3.7
16 Agrigento114736%75.880.1-4.3
17 Vigevano124833%79.885.2-5.4
18 Cividale123925%74.277.3-3.2
19 Monferrato123925%81.085.5-4.5
20 Luiss Roma123925%75.687.7-12.1
21 Rimini112918%73.878.4-4.5
22 Orzinuovi112918%70.076.2-6.2
23 Chiusi112918%64.873.9-9.1
24 Latina1221017%78.987.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi1515182169
Trieste2822181987
← all games of the day
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