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NC Greensboro vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 89-82
43-35 46-47
Position#252
Record5-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#149
Record8-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC Greensboro v Samford
03 Jan 2026
NC G89
SAMF82
01 Mar 2025
NC G108
SAMF100
08 Feb 2024
NC G69
SAMF78
07 Jan 2023
NC G68
SAMF70
22 Jan 2022
NC G61
SAMF58
09 Feb 2020
NC G95
SAMF67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Greensboro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#116
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H23/11
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A06/12
NCAA
William Peace
#459
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H13/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
131-53
131
53
+78
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-51
55-50
25-43
43-19
29-27
31-46
42-34
29-48
39-36
38-46
41-33
41-45
39-37
51-25
20-38
45-33
62-32
69-21
33-34
44-38
155.1Avg total
81.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.378.6156.9-0.336%
Season at home (7)83.468.7152.1+14.757%
Season away (7)73.188.4161.6-15.314%
Last 10 (10)81.573.6155.1+7.950%
Last 5 (5)89.067.2156.2+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.580.8147.2-14.225%
vs Similar (13)72.878.2150.9-5.431%
vs Weaker (12)77.463.5140.9+13.975%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#83
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
106-51
106
51
+55
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
38-27
33-41
29-36
32-40
40-41
37-32
41-31
14-42
31-47
31-34
26-49
42-50
51-40
60-18
46-33
41-17
44-32
34-36
44-22
147.8Avg total
76.0Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.374.6151.9+2.757%
Season at home (5)85.667.8153.4+17.880%
Season away (9)72.778.3151.0-5.744%
Last 10 (10)76.071.8147.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.866.2150.0+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.083.7142.7-24.70%
vs Similar (14)74.677.9152.5-3.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.769.5156.2+17.292%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +3.2+3.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +3.2+3.2
NC GreensboroSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#116
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H23/11
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/12
NCAA
William Peace
#459
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
62-32
62
32
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.668.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.833.869.5+2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)33.333.466.7-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.573.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.839.272.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (13)33.635.869.5-2.238%-
vs Weaker (12)35.929.064.9+6.975%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.972.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.334.673.9+4.842%-
Last 30 away (18)33.338.571.8-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.170.5+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.072.6+10.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.740.367.0-13.70%-
vs Similar (14)32.338.270.5-5.914%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.933.976.8+9.075%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NC Greensboro wins
7
Samford wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HChattanooga Mocs77-72
21/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg131-53
17/12/25HN. Carolina A&T65-71
13/12/25HWilliam Peace90-62
06/12/25AEast Carolina82-78
03/12/25AUNC Asheville77-82
26/11/25AMiami (Ohio)71-82
25/11/25ADelaware60-73
23/11/25HYoungstown State68-62
21/11/25AQueens Royals94-101
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26AVMI78-58
19/12/25HReinhardt85-49
15/12/25HBryan106-51
08/12/25HCornell93-90
06/12/25AVCU Rams57-83
26/11/25AUtah Valley State45-89
25/11/25AGeorgia State78-63
22/11/25ANew Mexico State72-81
20/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast62-77
16/11/25ACentral Arkansas84-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Greensboro
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW36%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game78.383.473.1
Allowed / game78.668.788.4
Point differential-0.3+14.7-15.3
Avg total156.9152.1161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %57%80%44%
Points / game77.385.672.7
Allowed / game74.667.878.3
Point differential+2.7+17.8-5.7
Avg total151.9153.4151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1410471%78.370.5+7.8
2 Wofford1510567%76.974.3+2.7
3 East Tennessee St149564%78.266.2+12.0
4 Mercer148657%82.973.5+9.4
5 Samford148657%77.374.6+2.7
6 Chattanooga Mocs156940%76.972.2+4.7
7 VMI156940%76.876.0+0.8
8 NC Greensboro145936%78.378.6-0.3
9 Western Carolina124833%77.081.2-4.2
10 Citadel1541127%71.875.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Greensboro434689
Samford354782
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