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NC Greensboro vs USC Upstate Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 83-66
Projected total 149.6
Scheduled
Position#201
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game70.8
Vs
93%
■ NC G 93%■ USC 7%
Pythia win probability
Position#333
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC Greensboro v USC Upstate
21 Nov 2026
NC G v USC
upcoming
15 Dec 2020
NC G65
USC 57
Sections
Game preview & prediction
NC Greensboro host USC Upstate in the NCAA. Pythia makes NC Greensboro the favourite at 93% and projects 83-66, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. NC Greensboro are 2-2 this season (81.0 scored, 70.8 allowed a game), form LWLLW; USC Upstate are 1-4 this season (75.4 scored, 73.6 allowed a game), form LLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Greensboro win
93.3%fair 1.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
USC Upstate win
6.7%fair 14.83
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H21/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H07/03
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Milligan
#499
W
96-43
96
43
+53
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#232
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Lees-McRae
#350
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
39-48
38-37
47-43
41-50
37-37
39-27
45-43
36-32
39-40
38-27
37-54
47-21
49-22
22-39
43-35
32-33
40-49
46-48
45-36
155.6Avg total
79.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.070.8151.8+10.250%
Season at home (2)93.563.5157.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)68.578.0146.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)79.676.0155.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.872.8152.6+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.185.5160.6-10.420%
vs Similar (11)77.879.0156.8-1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.870.7160.5+19.283%
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#62
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A03/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#180
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H06/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#231
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A10/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#522
W
104-49
104
49
+55
H11/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
37-38
47-34
29-40
30-29
29-42
31-24
40-37
30-29
34-36
32-44
38-39
35-32
35-46
25-29
31-36
62-28
42-21
30-44
47-49
141.8Avg total
71.1Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.473.6149.0+1.820%
Season at home (2)87.063.5150.5+23.550%
Season away (3)67.780.3148.0-12.70%
Last 10 (10)71.170.7141.8+0.430%
Last 5 (5)75.473.6149.0+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.179.0143.1-14.90%
vs Similar (14)73.776.5150.2-2.843%
vs Weaker (8)79.967.1147.0+12.862%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
58.7%
Under 146
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
46.1%
Under 151
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
33.9%
Under 156
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

NC Greensboro total 80.5
Over 80.5
61.8%
Under 80.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC Greensboro total 84.5
Over 84.5
45.8%
Under 84.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NC Greensboro total 88.5
Over 88.5
30.5%
Under 88.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USC Upstate total 62
Over 62
66.1%
Under 62
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USC Upstate total 66
Over 66
49.9%
Under 66
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
USC Upstate total 70
Over 70
33.8%
Under 70
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread NC Greensboro -3
NC G -3
90.5%
USC +3
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
NC G
No market prices yet.
USC
No market prices yet.
Spread NC Greensboro 0
NC G 0
93.3%
USC 0
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
NC G
No market prices yet.
USC
No market prices yet.
Spread NC Greensboro +3
NC G +3
95.6%
USC -3
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
NC G
No market prices yet.
USC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: -2.2-2.2
NC GreensboroUSC Upstate
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A08/03
NCAA
Milligan
#499
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Elon
#232
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A10/11
NCAA
Lees-McRae
#350
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H12/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
37.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.173.3+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.473.5+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.337.773.0-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.372.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.670.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.938.374.2-2.430%-
vs Similar (11)34.237.271.4-3.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.530.772.2+10.883%-
This opponent (USC Upstate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USC UpstateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#62
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A19/02
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#370
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#180
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#231
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A10/11
NCAA
Bob Jones
#522
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H11/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A14/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
34.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.466.5-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.067.5+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)30.834.765.5-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.367.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.838.267.0-9.50%-
vs Similar (14)32.233.065.2-0.836%-
vs Weaker (8)39.129.168.2+10.088%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC Greensboro wins
0
USC Upstate wins
DateGameScore
16/12/20NC Greensboro v USC Upstate65-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLees-McRae91-84
10/11/26AIllinois (Chi.)72-82
07/11/26AElon65-74
04/11/26HMilligan96-43
08/03/26AFurman75-81
07/03/26AWofford75-72
07/03/26HVMI84-70
28/02/26ASamford78-87
27/02/26AChattanooga Mocs85-80
21/02/26HEast Tennessee St75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACampbell77-93
11/11/26HBob Jones104-49
10/11/26ACoastal Carolina56-65
06/11/26HSouth Carolina St70-78
03/11/26AEast Carolina70-83
05/03/26HGardner Webb64-65
28/02/26HGardner Webb71-61
27/02/26ARadford59-71
21/02/26HPresbyterian76-74
19/02/26AWinthrop64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Greensboro
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.093.568.5
Allowed / game70.863.578.0
Point differential+10.2+30.0-9.5
Avg total151.8157.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC Upstate
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game75.487.067.7
Allowed / game73.663.580.3
Point differential+1.8+23.5-12.7
Avg total149.0150.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point440100%76.559.0+17.5
2 Longwood53260%90.269.8+20.4
3 Charleston Southern42250%78.274.2+4.0
4 UNC Asheville52340%80.080.4-0.4
5 Radford41325%70.273.2-3.0
6 Gardner Webb41325%61.582.2-20.8
7 USC Upstate51420%75.473.6+1.8
8 Winthrop4040%84.890.0-5.2
9 Presbyterian3030%71.790.7-19.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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