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NC State vs Oakland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:10
Final 79-73 (OT)
32-29 34-37 13-7
Position#94
Record23-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#76
Record24-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oakland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H12/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
73-65 OT
73
65
+8
A16/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A17/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A22/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
50-49
45-37
25-42
30-33
34-46
29-39
44-42
45-46
49-39
35-32
48-33
35-32
39-37
29-29
29-29
39-40
45-36
37-33
43-34
153.4Avg total
77.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)76.572.5149.0+3.962%
Season at home (18)78.669.9148.6+8.772%
Season away (19)74.475.0149.4-0.653%
Last 10 (10)77.875.6153.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.868.4147.2+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.174.6143.8-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.773.0149.7+3.760%
vs Weaker (7)82.470.4152.9+12.0100%
This opponent (Oakland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#160
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A11/02
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A15/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
107-59
107
59
+48
H17/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A23/02
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H25/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H02/03
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
38-36
34-24
37-39
51-24
56-35
29-19
34-24
38-37
37-59
31-35
44-35
38-27
37-38
38-38
36-33
37-33
46-43
38-35
42-41
145.6Avg total
77.7Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)76.573.0149.5+3.569%
Season at home (17)79.974.4154.4+5.576%
Season away (18)73.371.7144.9+1.661%
Last 10 (10)77.767.9145.6+9.890%
Last 5 (5)77.471.6149.0+5.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.477.3152.7-1.971%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.877.4154.2-0.660%
vs Weaker (8)80.061.8141.8+18.2100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
NC StateOakland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A10/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A14/03
NCAA
Virginia
#66
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A16/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/03
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.835.270.0-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.035.471.4+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)33.635.068.6-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.271.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.268.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.435.468.8-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.335.069.3-0.753%-
vs Weaker (7)37.635.473.0+2.143%-
This opponent (Oakland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OaklandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#160
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A11/02
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A15/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H17/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A23/02
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H02/03
NCAA
IPFW
#89
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H08/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
37.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.467.3+2.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.332.468.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)33.532.465.9+1.173%-
Last 10 (10)37.029.666.6+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.670.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.335.469.7-1.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.533.568.0+0.973%-
vs Weaker (8)36.127.663.8+8.588%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
Oakland wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ATexas Tech80-67
17/03/24ANorth Carolina84-76
16/03/24AVirginia73-65 OT
14/03/24ADuke74-69
13/03/24ASyracuse83-65
12/03/24HLouisville94-85
10/03/24APittsburgh73-81
05/03/24HDuke64-79
02/03/24ANorth Carolina70-79
28/02/24AFlorida State83-90
Oaklandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24AKentucky80-76
12/03/24HWisc. Milwaukee83-76
11/03/24HCleveland State74-71
08/03/24HIPFW75-65
02/03/24HDetroit75-70
25/02/24HWright State75-96
23/02/24ARobert Morris63-43
17/02/24HIUPUI107-59
15/02/24AIPFW71-63
11/02/24AWright State74-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLLWLW72%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %62%72%53%
Points / game76.578.674.4
Allowed / game72.569.975.0
Point differential+3.9+8.7-0.6
Avg total149.0148.6149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%16%
Oakland
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayLWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %69%76%61%
Points / game76.579.973.3
Allowed / game73.074.471.7
Point differential+3.5+5.5+1.6
Avg total149.5154.4144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)83% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %9%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3629781%81.870.0+11.8
2 Duke3325876%79.466.8+12.5
3 Virginia34231168%62.959.8+3.1
4 Pittsburgh33221167%75.667.6+8.0
5 Clemson33221167%77.470.8+6.5
6 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
7 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
8 NC State37231462%76.572.5+3.9
9 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
10 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
11 Boston College34191556%74.672.1+2.5
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Youngstown State32221069%81.270.9+10.3
2 Oakland35241169%76.573.0+3.5
3 IPFW33211264%80.971.4+9.5
4 Cleveland State34201459%76.272.9+3.3
5 Wisc. Milwaukee35201557%79.578.7+0.8
6 Wright State32181456%86.581.2+5.2
7 Wisc. Green Bay32181456%69.069.0+0.1
8 Northern Kentucky33181555%74.873.2+1.6
9 Robert Morris32102231%72.775.8-3.1
10 IUPUI3262619%65.979.8-13.9
11 Detroit321313%66.080.2-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
NC State32341379
Oakland2937773
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