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North Carolina vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-70
37-45 42-25
Position#19
Record22-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game70.4
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#94
Record17-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v NC State
09 Jan 2027
NORT v NC S
upcoming
19 Feb 2025
NORT97
NC S73
16 Mar 2024
NORT76
NC S84
02 Mar 2024
NORT79
NC S70
21 Jan 2023
NORT80
NC S69
29 Jan 2022
NORT100
NC S80
23 Jan 2021
NORT86
NC S76
25 Feb 2020
NORT85
NC S79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
52-30
36-41
39-27
37-37
36-37
45-35
48-49
34-43
42-37
40-41
35-31
42-42
37-44
50-39
46-42
26-16
28-28
37-32
38-39
150.5Avg total
78.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.570.4152.0+11.179%
Season at home (16)88.172.1160.1+16.088%
Season away (12)72.868.2141.1+4.667%
Last 10 (10)78.172.4150.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)75.870.8146.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)81.775.3157.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.967.9148.8+13.083%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
L
53-59 OT
53
59
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
15-27
32-20
22-38
43-39
33-29
41-39
35-36
47-40
30-38
34-29
45-39
34-44
39-35
39-42
40-55
43-32
38-26
43-44
33-41
50-49
149.6Avg total
74.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.272.1148.3+4.161%
Season at home (16)78.668.4147.0+10.175%
Season away (12)73.176.9150.0-3.842%
Last 10 (10)74.275.4149.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.881.4162.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.577.0145.5-8.50%
vs Similar (16)72.975.0147.9-2.144%
vs Weaker (10)81.066.2147.2+14.8100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +2.8+2.8
North CarolinaNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
NCAA
74.0Avg total
38.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.072.6+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.834.476.2+7.471%-
Last 30 away (13)34.433.567.8+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.074.0+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.733.572.2+5.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.633.772.3+4.961%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A28/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.069.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.933.270.1+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)33.334.968.2-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.035.068.0-2.025%-
vs Similar (16)33.635.469.0-1.844%-
vs Weaker (10)38.631.470.0+7.270%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
North Carolina wins
2
NC State wins
DateGameScore
11/01/24NC State v North Carolina54-67
19/02/23NC State v North Carolina77-69
21/01/23North Carolina v NC State80-69
26/02/22NC State v North Carolina74-84
29/01/22North Carolina v NC State100-80
23/01/21North Carolina v NC State86-76
23/12/20NC State v North Carolina79-76
26/02/20North Carolina v NC State85-79
28/01/20NC State v North Carolina65-75
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/24HMiami (FL)75-71
24/02/24AVirginia54-44
17/02/24HVirginia Tech96-81
14/02/24ASyracuse79-86
10/02/24AMiami (FL)75-72
07/02/24HClemson76-80
03/02/24HDuke93-84
31/01/24AGeorgia Tech73-74
27/01/24AFlorida State75-68
23/01/24HWake Forest85-64
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AFlorida State83-90
24/02/24HBoston College81-70
21/02/24HSyracuse83-87
18/02/24AClemson78-77
10/02/24AWake Forest79-83
08/02/24HPittsburgh64-67
03/02/24HGeorgia Tech82-76
31/01/24HMiami (FL)74-68
28/01/24ASyracuse65-77
25/01/24AVirginia53-59 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game81.588.172.8
Allowed / game70.472.168.2
Point differential+11.1+16.0+4.6
Avg total152.0160.1141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %61%75%42%
Points / game76.278.673.1
Allowed / game72.168.476.9
Point differential+4.1+10.1-3.8
Avg total148.3147.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2822679%80.567.4+13.1
2 North Carolina2822679%81.570.4+11.1
3 Virginia2921872%63.758.7+5.0
4 Clemson2820871%78.470.8+7.6
5 SMU Mustangs29191066%77.067.0+10.0
6 Syracuse29191066%76.674.9+1.7
7 Wake Forest28181064%79.069.7+9.3
8 Pittsburgh28181064%74.667.1+7.5
9 NC State28171161%76.272.1+4.1
10 Virginia Tech28151354%74.170.4+3.7
11 Boston College28151354%75.773.5+2.2
12 Florida State29151452%76.475.4+1.0
13 Miami (FL)30151550%76.473.2+3.1
14 California29131645%75.076.2-1.2
15 Georgia Tech29131645%71.275.2-4.0
16 Stanford28121643%76.576.9-0.4
17 Notre Dame28111739%63.465.6-2.2
18 Louisville2882029%72.178.8-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina374279
NC State452570
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