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NC State vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-79
30-33 34-46
Position#94
Record17-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.3
NC State
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record23-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · NC State v Duke
02 Mar 2026
NC S64
DUKE93
04 Mar 2024
NC S64
DUKE79
04 Jan 2023
NC S84
DUKE60
13 Feb 2021
NC S53
DUKE69
19 Feb 2020
NC S88
DUKE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#110
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-38
43-39
33-29
41-39
35-36
47-40
30-38
34-29
45-39
34-44
39-35
39-42
40-55
43-32
38-26
43-44
33-41
50-49
45-37
25-42
153.3Avg total
75.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.072.3148.3+3.759%
Season at home (16)78.668.4147.0+10.175%
Season away (13)72.877.1149.9-4.238%
Last 10 (10)75.977.4153.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.080.6159.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)68.877.4146.2-8.60%
vs Similar (15)74.274.7148.9-0.547%
vs Weaker (10)81.066.2147.2+14.8100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-55
84
55
+29
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H29/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
33-25
38-28
36-32
44-33
29-27
48-42
44-34
32-33
40-23
44-32
38-36
41-47
36-23
48-36
40-18
33-30
144.4Avg total
78.5Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.366.8147.0+13.579%
Season at home (18)82.665.2147.7+17.489%
Season away (11)76.569.4145.9+7.264%
Last 10 (10)78.565.9144.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)79.262.4141.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.065.0117.0-13.00%
vs Similar (3)78.380.3158.7-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.565.2145.7+15.385%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +5.2+5.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +5.2+5.2
NC StateDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#110
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/03
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.969.4+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.933.270.1+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)33.934.868.7-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.473.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.435.470.8+0.040%-
vs Similar (15)33.535.168.6-1.747%-
vs Weaker (10)38.631.470.0+7.270%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H02/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
36.6Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.730.467.1+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.330.467.7+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)35.830.566.2+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)36.629.265.8+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)39.626.866.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.027.048.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (3)34.039.373.3-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.629.567.2+8.181%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NC State wins
4
Duke wins
DateGameScore
01/03/23Duke v NC State71-67
05/01/23NC State v Duke84-60
15/01/22Duke v NC State88-73
13/02/21NC State v Duke53-69
03/03/20Duke v NC State88-69
20/02/20NC State v Duke88-66
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ANorth Carolina70-79
28/02/24AFlorida State83-90
24/02/24HBoston College81-70
21/02/24HSyracuse83-87
18/02/24AClemson78-77
10/02/24AWake Forest79-83
08/02/24HPittsburgh64-67
03/02/24HGeorgia Tech82-76
31/01/24HMiami (FL)74-68
28/01/24ASyracuse65-77
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HVirginia73-48
29/02/24HLouisville84-59
24/02/24AWake Forest79-83
22/02/24AMiami (FL)84-55
17/02/24AFlorida State76-67
13/02/24HWake Forest77-69
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
08/02/24HNotre Dame71-53
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %59%75%38%
Points / game76.078.672.8
Allowed / game72.368.477.1
Point differential+3.7+10.1-4.2
Avg total148.3147.0149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%15%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %79%89%64%
Points / game80.382.676.5
Allowed / game66.865.269.4
Point differential+13.5+17.4+7.2
Avg total147.0147.7145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2923679%80.366.8+13.5
2 North Carolina2923679%81.470.4+11.0
3 Virginia3021970%63.259.2+4.0
4 Clemson2920969%77.870.7+7.1
5 Syracuse30201067%76.774.9+1.8
6 SMU Mustangs29191066%77.067.0+10.0
7 Pittsburgh29191066%75.267.1+8.1
8 Wake Forest29181162%78.970.3+8.6
9 NC State29171259%76.072.3+3.7
10 Virginia Tech29161355%74.670.6+3.9
11 Boston College29151452%75.374.0+1.3
12 Florida State29151452%76.475.4+1.0
13 Miami (FL)30151550%76.473.2+3.1
14 Georgia Tech29131645%71.275.2-4.0
15 California30131743%74.476.6-2.2
16 Stanford29121741%76.377.0-0.7
17 Notre Dame29121741%63.665.4-1.9
18 Louisville2982128%72.278.9-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State303464
Duke334679
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