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NC State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-82 (OT)
31-27 35-39 6-16
Position#297
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#23
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · NC State v Purdue
28 Nov 2024
NC S61
PURD71
12 Dec 2021
NC S72
PURD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A25/03
NIT
Bucknell
#328
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H10/11
NCAA
Colgate
#80
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#194
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H04/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H09/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-25
0-0
33-40
0-0
40-40
0-0
48-30
0-0
38-37
0-0
39-37
0-0
32-33
0-0
47-32
0-0
25-31
0-0
43-43
0-0
28-31
0-0
37-26
0-0
41-33
0-0
49-48
0-0
38-39
0-0
32-31
0-0
29-43
0-0
39-30
0-0
34-29
0-0
31-19
147.2Avg total
76.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.271.3149.6+6.978%
Season at home (8)79.571.0150.5+8.588%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)76.570.7147.2+5.870%
Last 5 (5)78.471.8150.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.173.7144.9-2.657%
vs Similar (13)71.773.3145.0-1.646%
vs Weaker (9)75.467.0142.4+8.478%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#95
L
69-78 OT
69
78
-9
H19/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H10/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H13/11
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H17/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A20/11
NCAA
Villanova
#20
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
97-40
97
40
+57
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-32
37-29
50-37
46-30
51-30
41-37
51-17
45-35
41-35
52-49
31-33
49-41
52-17
45-23
48-32
45-33
39-26
38-44
35-36
33-34
152.8Avg total
86.1Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.065.4153.4+22.689%
Season at home (7)90.162.1152.3+28.0100%
Season away (2)80.577.0157.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)86.166.7152.8+19.480%
Last 5 (5)83.063.8146.8+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.368.7124.0-13.30%
vs Similar (11)72.871.1143.9+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.664.2145.8+17.488%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +12.7+12.72nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +7.6+7.6
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +12.7+12.72nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: +7.6+7.6
NC StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#8
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A25/03
NIT
Bucknell
#328
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/11
NCAA
Colgate
#80
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#194
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H04/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H09/12
NCAA
67.4Avg total
33.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.969.4+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.933.267.1+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)37.434.972.3+2.569%-
Last 10 (10)33.334.167.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.034.365.3-3.343%-
vs Similar (13)35.536.271.7-0.654%-
vs Weaker (9)38.230.768.9+7.678%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#95
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H19/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#132
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Wright State
#123
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H17/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/11
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
52-17
52
17
+35
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H01/12
NCAA
Iowa
#48
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#157
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
42.2Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.867.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.829.966.8+6.971%-
Last 30 away (13)33.434.267.5-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)42.229.571.7+12.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.028.869.8+12.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)23.734.758.3-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)32.532.164.5+0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.531.070.5+8.581%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
Purdue wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21HBethune-Cookman65-48
04/12/21HLouisville68-73
02/12/21HNebraska104-100 OT
27/11/21HLouisiana Tech90-81
21/11/21HTexas Southern65-57
18/11/21AOklahoma State68-74
17/11/21HCentral Connecticut State79-65
13/11/21HColgate77-74
10/11/21HBucknell88-70
25/03/21AColorado State61-65
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/21ARutgers68-70
04/12/21HIowa77-70
01/12/21HFlorida State93-65
26/11/21HNebraska O.97-40
21/11/21HVillanova80-74
20/11/21ANorth Carolina93-84
17/11/21HWright State96-52
13/11/21HIndiana State92-67
10/11/21HBellarmine96-67
19/03/21HNorth Texas69-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %78%88%0%
Points / game78.279.568.0
Allowed / game71.371.074.0
Point differential+6.9+8.5-6.0
Avg total149.6150.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%12%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%100%50%
Points / game88.090.180.5
Allowed / game65.462.177.0
Point differential+22.6+28.0+3.5
Avg total153.4152.3157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest109190%81.565.6+15.9
2 Duke87188%83.165.4+17.8
3 North Carolina97278%81.172.0+9.1
4 NC State97278%78.271.3+6.9
5 SMU Mustangs118373%78.268.3+9.9
6 Miami (FL)118373%73.170.9+2.2
7 Virginia Tech107370%71.656.7+14.9
8 Louisville96367%69.064.8+4.2
9 Clemson106460%75.266.6+8.6
10 Boston College106460%68.361.7+6.6
11 Virginia106460%61.055.8+5.2
12 Stanford74357%69.670.1-0.6
13 Florida State95456%71.666.7+4.9
14 Georgia Tech95456%70.768.3+2.3
15 California116555%66.264.1+2.1
16 Notre Dame84450%68.666.1+2.5
17 Syracuse105550%77.577.9-0.4
18 Pittsburgh93633%61.466.2-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC990100%78.361.3+17.0
2 Purdue98189%88.065.4+22.6
3 UCLA98189%81.165.6+15.6
4 Minnesota98189%71.263.0+8.2
5 Michigan State119282%74.063.9+10.1
6 Indiana108280%78.362.3+16.0
7 Ohio State108280%75.767.5+8.2
8 Wisconsin108280%68.460.5+7.9
9 Northwestern86275%78.863.2+15.5
10 Iowa107370%86.470.4+16.0
11 Illinois107370%78.067.6+10.4
12 Michigan106460%72.165.9+6.2
13 Oregon95456%68.364.4+3.9
14 Maryland95456%68.666.7+1.9
15 Rutgers95456%66.166.1+0.0
16 Penn State105550%67.365.9+1.4
17 Washington84450%72.673.5-0.9
18 Nebraska115645%75.477.5-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
NC State3135672
Purdue27391682
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