PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC State vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-73
29-43 39-30
Position#297
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game74.4
NC State
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#265
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · NC State v Louisville
12 Feb 2025
NC S66
LOUI91
12 Mar 2024
NC S94
LOUI85
22 Dec 2022
NC S76
LOUI64
04 Dec 2021
NC S68
LOUI73
01 Feb 2020
NC S57
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#96
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A10/03
NCAA
Davidson
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A18/03
NIT
Colorado State
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A25/03
NIT
Bucknell
#328
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H10/11
NCAA
Colgate
#80
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#194
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-43
0-0
30-46
0-0
40-32
0-0
35-29
0-0
28-25
0-0
33-40
0-0
40-40
0-0
48-30
0-0
38-37
0-0
39-37
0-0
32-33
0-0
47-32
0-0
25-31
0-0
43-43
0-0
28-31
0-0
37-26
0-0
41-33
0-0
49-48
0-0
38-39
0-0
32-31
151.1Avg total
77.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.674.4156.0+7.186%
Season at home (6)83.874.5158.3+9.3100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)77.573.6151.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)81.275.4156.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.974.5145.4-3.650%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.675.6148.3-3.045%
vs Weaker (10)76.966.2143.1+10.780%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
80-73 OT
80
73
+7
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
29-39
21-28
37-40
29-30
27-40
33-31
39-29
39-35
28-32
45-33
32-27
42-35
31-32
41-25
31-33
32-27
31-28
28-36
36-37
135.1Avg total
68.7Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.464.7135.1+5.771%
Season at home (4)73.566.8140.2+6.875%
Season away (3)66.362.0128.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)68.766.4135.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)69.862.6132.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.068.0139.0+3.056%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.166.8131.9-1.767%
vs Weaker (6)71.060.0131.0+11.067%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -1.6-1.6
NC StateLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#96
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Davidson
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/03
NIT
Colorado State
#8
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A25/03
NIT
Bucknell
#328
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/11
NCAA
Colgate
#80
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#194
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#133
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H02/12
NCAA
69.2Avg total
34.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.169.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.831.966.8+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)37.234.571.7+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.469.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.466.2-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.533.665.1-2.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.336.272.5+0.155%-
vs Weaker (10)38.729.568.2+9.280%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#154
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/12
NCAA
65.2Avg total
34.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.963.6+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.130.464.5+3.671%-
Last 30 away (13)31.131.562.5-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.665.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.268.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.732.467.1+2.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.031.363.3+0.773%-
vs Weaker (6)31.827.559.3+4.350%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
01/02/20NC State v Louisville57-77
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21HNebraska104-100 OT
27/11/21HLouisiana Tech90-81
21/11/21HTexas Southern65-57
18/11/21AOklahoma State68-74
17/11/21HCentral Connecticut State79-65
13/11/21HColgate77-74
10/11/21HBucknell88-70
25/03/21AColorado State61-65
18/03/21ADavidson75-61
10/03/21ASyracuse68-89
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21AMichigan State64-73
27/11/21AMaryland63-55
26/11/21AMississippi St.72-58
20/11/21HDetroit73-67
16/11/21HNavy77-60
13/11/21HFurman72-80 OT
10/11/21HSouthern Univ.72-60
10/03/21HDuke56-70
06/03/21HVirginia58-68
27/02/21ADuke80-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%100%0%
Points / game81.683.868.0
Allowed / game74.474.574.0
Point differential+7.1+9.3-6.0
Avg total156.0158.3142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %14%17%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game70.473.566.3
Allowed / game64.766.862.0
Point differential+5.7+6.8+4.3
Avg total135.1140.2128.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke87188%83.165.4+17.8
2 Wake Forest87188%82.067.8+14.2
3 NC State76186%81.674.4+7.1
4 Virginia Tech86275%70.253.4+16.9
5 Georgia Tech75271%74.466.7+7.7
6 Florida State75271%74.167.3+6.9
7 North Carolina75271%81.674.7+6.9
8 Louisville75271%70.464.7+5.7
9 SMU Mustangs96367%77.767.8+9.9
10 Boston College96367%68.359.8+8.6
11 Virginia96367%62.356.2+6.1
12 Miami (FL)96367%72.972.8+0.1
13 Syracuse74357%83.481.9+1.6
14 Stanford74357%69.670.1-0.6
15 Clemson95456%73.665.1+8.4
16 California84450%65.866.6-0.9
17 Notre Dame73443%69.066.7+2.3
18 Pittsburgh82625%60.266.0-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State293968
Louisville433073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.