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Nebraska vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-49
28-27 40-22
Position#21
Record21-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#251
Record10-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nebraska v Northwestern
14 Feb 2026
NEBR68
NORT49
20 Jan 2024
NEBR75
NORT69
25 Jan 2023
NEBR63
NORT78
05 Feb 2022
NEBR63
NORT87
01 Mar 2020
NEBR76
NORT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H01/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
34-38
30-39
53-38
42-30
48-25
34-29
43-29
41-28
35-38
30-36
46-21
50-48
22-27
39-33
30-45
41-27
39-41
24-40
44-28
145.5Avg total
77.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.866.7146.5+13.288%
Season at home (16)80.665.2145.8+15.388%
Season away (8)78.469.5147.9+8.988%
Last 10 (10)77.268.3145.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)74.871.6146.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar (12)75.875.0150.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)80.564.3144.8+16.294%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H17/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A22/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
44-84
44
84
-40
A05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
32-34
33-38
35-41
29-34
29-43
31-28
43-40
31-41
33-30
45-40
49-33
27-39
35-37
19-47
25-37
35-39
35-37
44-35
31-52
145.2Avg total
68.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.073.2148.2+1.840%
Season at home (15)79.571.3150.8+8.153%
Season away (10)68.376.0144.3-7.720%
Last 10 (10)68.476.8145.2-8.420%
Last 5 (5)69.079.2148.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.977.2145.1-9.37%
vs Similar (11)73.968.8142.7+5.164%
vs Weaker (5)88.866.0154.8+22.880%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -3.7-3.7
NebraskaNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A07/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H11/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
36.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.568.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.331.766.9+3.658%-
Last 30 away (11)35.536.672.1-1.245%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.171.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.873.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (12)33.235.969.1-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.030.966.9+5.171%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H17/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A22/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
32.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.569.6+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.832.670.4+5.276%-
Last 30 away (13)31.537.168.6-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)32.937.470.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.074.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.137.770.8-4.636%-
vs Similar (11)34.832.267.0+2.664%-
vs Weaker (5)41.230.872.0+10.4100%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nebraska wins
7
Northwestern wins
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HPurdue77-80 OT
07/02/26ARutgers80-68
01/02/26HIllinois69-78
28/01/26AMichigan72-75
24/01/26AMinnesota76-57
22/01/26HWashington76-66
17/01/26ANorthwestern77-58
14/01/26HOregon90-55
10/01/26AIndiana83-77
05/01/26AOhio State72-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HMichigan75-87
08/02/26AIowa70-76
05/02/26AIllinois44-84
01/02/26HWashington62-76
30/01/26HPenn State94-73
24/01/26AUCLA64-71
22/01/26AUSC74-68
17/01/26HNebraska58-77
15/01/26HIllinois68-79
11/01/26ARutgers75-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL88%
HomeWWWLL88%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game79.880.678.4
Allowed / game66.765.269.5
Point differential+13.2+15.3+8.9
Avg total146.5145.8147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLWLL53%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %40%53%20%
Points / game75.079.568.3
Allowed / game73.271.376.0
Point differential+1.8+8.1-7.7
Avg total148.2150.8144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2524196%90.668.3+22.3
2 Nebraska2421388%79.866.7+13.2
3 Purdue2420483%82.869.1+13.8
4 Illinois2520580%84.768.9+15.8
5 Michigan State2520580%78.866.7+12.1
6 Iowa2418675%77.864.3+13.5
7 Wisconsin2518772%83.775.6+8.1
8 USC2518772%81.375.8+5.4
9 Indiana2517868%81.571.4+10.2
10 UCLA2517868%77.970.5+7.4
11 Ohio State2416867%81.673.7+7.9
12 Washington25121348%77.273.0+4.1
13 Minnesota24111346%71.568.9+2.6
14 Penn State25111444%75.678.8-3.3
15 Maryland24101442%72.078.6-6.6
16 Northwestern25101540%75.073.2+1.8
17 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
18 Oregon2481633%71.875.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nebraska284068
Northwestern272249
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