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USC vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 68-74
28-31 40-43
Position#153
Record14-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game75.8
USC
USA
vs
Northwestern 🏆
USA
Position#251
Record8-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
51-80
51
80
-29
A06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H14/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
28-54
38-38
56-43
33-26
35-35
40-31
57-39
45-26
57-37
31-49
35-47
17-33
34-47
35-30
28-33
42-41
46-30
32-38
32-31
152.0Avg total
77.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.475.8159.2+7.678%
Season at home (11)89.174.5163.5+14.682%
Season away (7)74.477.9152.3-3.471%
Last 10 (10)77.674.4152.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)67.877.0144.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.781.5155.2-7.838%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.377.0157.3+3.355%
vs Weaker (6)97.871.5169.3+26.3100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-40
38-46
41-24
52-29
39-30
47-40
23-29
35-32
31-28
49-32
34-34
44-50
35-28
31-48
35-33
32-34
33-38
35-41
29-34
29-43
146.7Avg total
74.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.371.9149.3+5.444%
Season at home (12)80.169.5149.6+10.658%
Season away (6)71.876.8148.7-5.017%
Last 10 (10)74.472.3146.7+2.130%
Last 5 (5)69.078.6147.6-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.776.2145.9-6.59%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.168.2142.2+5.962%
vs Weaker (6)82.766.0148.7+16.767%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
USCNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.872.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.133.673.7+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)33.837.971.7-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.134.270.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.269.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.336.869.1-4.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.435.273.5+3.255%-
vs Weaker (6)44.534.779.2+9.883%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H17/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
34.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.667.3+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.830.467.2+6.482%-
Last 30 away (13)32.035.467.4-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)34.431.866.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.233.466.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.235.568.7-2.445%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.630.965.5+3.769%-
vs Weaker (6)37.830.768.5+7.283%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
USC wins
1
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Northwestern v USC77-75
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HPurdue64-69
14/01/26HMaryland88-71
10/01/26AMinnesota70-69 OT
06/01/26AMichigan State51-80
03/01/26AMichigan66-96
21/12/25HUC Santa Cruz102-63
18/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-70
15/12/25HWashington State68-61
10/12/25ASan Diego Toreros94-81
06/12/25HWashington76-84
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HNebraska58-77
15/01/26HIllinois68-79
11/01/26ARutgers75-77 OT
08/01/26AMichigan State66-76
03/01/26HMinnesota78-84
30/12/25HHoward80-60
20/12/25AButler58-61
17/12/25HValparaiso86-70
13/12/25HJackson State93-53
06/12/25HOhio State82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL78%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%82%71%
Points / game83.489.174.4
Allowed / game75.874.577.9
Point differential+7.6+14.6-3.4
Avg total159.2163.5152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %11%9%14%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL58%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %44%58%17%
Points / game77.380.171.8
Allowed / game71.969.576.8
Point differential+5.4+10.6-5.0
Avg total149.3149.6148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska19190100%81.265.4+15.8
2 Michigan1817194%92.769.0+23.7
3 Purdue1917289%84.168.1+16.0
4 Michigan State1917289%78.563.5+14.9
5 Illinois1916384%85.367.6+17.7
6 USC1814478%83.475.8+7.6
7 Iowa1914574%77.962.4+15.5
8 Ohio State1813572%83.272.2+11.1
9 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
10 UCLA1913668%77.769.4+8.3
11 Indiana1912763%81.169.9+11.2
12 Washington1910953%79.474.1+5.3
13 Minnesota1910953%72.868.1+4.7
14 Penn State189950%76.876.3+0.6
15 Rutgers1991047%70.374.1-3.8
16 Northwestern1881044%77.371.9+5.4
17 Oregon1981142%73.974.3-0.3
18 Maryland1981142%74.378.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC284068
Northwestern314374
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