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Neftchi IK vs Absheron Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-95
28-20 15-27 25-22 18-26
Position#17
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#27
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game87.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neftchi IK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Absheron Lions winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 82
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
94avg 82
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 82
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 82
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 82
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
174.6Avg total
87.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.287.4174.6-0.260%
Season at home (2)93.585.5179.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.088.7171.7-5.733%
Last 10 (5)87.287.4174.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)87.287.4174.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.388.3174.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
89-73
89
73
+16
85avg 77
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
60-77
60
77
-17
42avg 77
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 77
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
91avg 77
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
73avg 77
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 77
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 77
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
29-20
22-15
12-27
17-20
13-19
18-24
12-14
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
24-20
19-27
17-33
26-24
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
18-25
21-26
21-20
18-27
172.9Avg total
85.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.087.9172.9-2.929%
Season at home (4)89.092.2181.2-3.225%
Season away (3)79.782.0161.7-2.333%
Last 10 (7)85.087.9172.9-2.929%
Last 5 (5)89.293.0182.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.7100.3187.0-13.70%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Neftchi IKAbsheron Lions
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.0Avg total
40.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)40.444.685.0-4.220%-
Last 30 at home (2)41.045.586.5-4.50%-
Last 30 away (3)40.044.084.0-4.033%-
Last 10 (5)40.444.685.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.685.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.746.389.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (2)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Absheron Lions) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
88.0Avg total
44.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)44.443.688.0+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (4)47.544.291.8+3.250%-
Last 30 away (3)40.342.783.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (7)44.443.688.0+0.943%-
Last 5 (5)45.247.092.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.748.792.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.0
52.6%
52.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.0
38.5%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
73.4%17.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.9
53.2%
52.0%47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.3
32.1%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.1%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neftchi IK
LWWWL
Absheron Lions
LWLLLLW
#17
League position
#27
-0.8
Net rating
-3.2
111.2
Offensive rating
105.7
112.0
Defensive rating
108.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.5%
3-point %
32.1%
63.4%
Assist %
54.1%
60%
Form (last 5/7)
29%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 105.7Defence112.0 · 108.9Shooting54.9% · 51.5%3-point %38.5% · 32.1%Ball care15.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds23.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 5/7)60% · 29%
■ Neftchi IK   ■ Absheron Lions
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neftchi IK wins
0
Absheron Lions wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Absheron Lions v Neftchi IK86-104
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ATrefl Sopot78-98
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
29/10/25HNeftchi IK86-104
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
01/10/25AAnorthosis60-77
24/09/25HAnorthosis89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game87.293.583.0
Allowed / game87.485.588.7
Point differential-0.2+8.0-5.7
Avg total174.6179.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
Absheron Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game85.089.079.7
Allowed / game87.992.282.0
Point differential-2.9-3.2-2.3
Avg total172.9181.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Junior550100%93.477.0+16.4
2 Bilbao54180%100.072.2+27.8
3 Basket Zaragoza54180%93.274.8+18.4
4 Petkim Spor54180%89.072.4+16.6
5 Trefl Sopot54180%93.877.4+16.4
6 Murcia54180%85.469.8+15.6
7 Sassari54180%92.476.8+15.6
8 Peristeri54180%87.672.4+15.2
9 Rostock54180%87.877.8+10.0
10 CSM Oradea54180%85.679.0+6.6
11 Basketball Braunschweig54180%83.080.0+3.0
12 PAOK54180%87.885.2+2.6
13 Szombathely53260%85.479.6+5.8
14 Sporting CP53260%82.880.0+2.8
15 Neftchi IK53260%87.287.4-0.2
16 BC Prievidza74357%91.481.7+9.7
17 Vechta74357%87.381.3+6.0
18 KK Bosna74357%76.973.4+3.4
19 Cibona74357%83.384.6-1.3
20 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
21 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
22 Anwil Wloclawek73443%90.785.6+5.1
23 Brno73443%78.185.3-7.1
24 Reggiana52340%84.276.8+7.4
25 Bakken Bears52340%87.882.8+5.0
26 Antwerp Giants52340%82.679.0+3.6
27 Lublin52340%80.685.8-5.2
28 AEK Larnaca52340%79.285.0-5.8
29 FC Porto52340%77.683.8-6.2
30 Tartu Ulikool52340%83.290.6-7.4
31 BC Kalev/Cramo52340%78.891.2-12.4
32 Absheron Lions72529%85.087.9-2.9
33 Corona Brasov72529%77.683.6-6.0
34 Anorthosis72529%71.091.7-20.7
35 Rilski Sportist51420%69.679.8-10.2
36 Pelister51420%81.693.6-12.0
37 Keravnos51420%75.293.4-18.2
38 Valcea51420%72.294.4-22.2
39 Kutaisi51420%65.694.6-29.0
40 Trepca5050%75.284.6-9.4
41 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neftchi IK2815251886
Absheron Lions2027222695
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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