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Neftchi IK vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-87
26-26 21-23 30-22 15-16
Position#17
Record2-1
FormLWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#26
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game72.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neftchi IK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 82
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
94avg 82
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 82
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
174.7Avg total
87.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.387.3174.7+0.067%
Season at home (1)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)83.589.0172.5-5.550%
Last 10 (3)87.387.3174.7+0.067%
Last 5 (3)87.387.3174.7+0.067%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)83.589.0172.5-5.550%
vs Weaker (1)95.084.0179.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Legia
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
84avg 79
A27/09
Super Cup
Lublin
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
76avg 79
H28/09
Super Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
93-81
93
81
+12
95avg 79
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 79
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
92-63
92
63
+29
98avg 79
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Krosno
#16
W
105-85
105
85
+20
103avg 79
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Absheron Lions
#27
W
99-96
99
96
+3
95avg 79
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
74avg 79
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
93-58
93
58
+35
89avg 79
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
97-61
97
61
+36
101avg 79
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-21
27-18
19-21
25-18
21-14
11-27
20-23
26-18
20-24
28-23
19-16
15-19
31-16
16-18
24-27
27-14
20-20
21-13
24-16
25-20
30-24
31-17
19-24
25-20
23-29
25-27
26-20
19-15
20-14
19-19
26-29
27-14
18-14
20-22
28-8
31-13
24-13
20-22
22-13
168.7Avg total
92.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.772.3167.0+22.3100%
Season at home (2)92.560.5153.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)99.096.0195.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.276.5168.7+15.790%
Last 5 (5)95.675.4171.0+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)87.181.0168.1+6.163%
vs Weaker (9)93.179.2172.3+13.978%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
Neftchi IKTrefl Sopot
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.7Avg total
38.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)38.744.082.7-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (1)35.042.077.0-7.00%-
Last 30 away (2)40.545.085.5-4.550%-
Last 10 (3)38.744.082.7-5.333%-
Last 5 (3)38.744.082.7-5.333%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.545.085.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (1)35.042.077.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A27/09
Super Cup
Lublin
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/09
Super Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Krosno
#16
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Absheron Lions
#27
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
83.9Avg total
47.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.785.0+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.038.982.9+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)46.840.687.4+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)47.736.283.9+11.590%-
Last 5 (5)48.435.283.6+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)44.241.685.8+2.663%-
vs Weaker (9)47.036.283.2+10.889%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.3
47.6%
52.0%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.3
40.5%
34.9%34.0
🏀 Free throws26.719.3
72.5%
73.4%19.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.6
54.7%
52.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.8
39.7%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
73.4%15.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neftchi IK
WWL
Trefl Sopot
WWWWWWWWLW
#17
League position
#26
-0.8
Net rating
+21.0
107.9
Offensive rating
119.2
108.7
Defensive rating
98.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.5%
3-point %
39.7%
65.1%
Assist %
67.6%
67%
Form (last 3/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 119.2Defence108.7 · 98.2Shooting53.5% · 56.7%3-point %40.5% · 39.7%Ball care15.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds21.4% · 37.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.33Form (last 3/10)67% · 90%
■ Neftchi IK   ■ Trefl Sopot
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neftchi IK wins
1
Trefl Sopot wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Trefl Sopot v Neftchi IK92-63
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HGTK Gliwice97-61
29/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo93-58
26/10/25HGornik Walbrzych84-77
22/10/25AAbsheron Lions99-96
19/10/25AKrosno105-85
15/10/25HNeftchi IK92-63
11/10/25ADziki Warszawa86-80
04/10/25HSlask Wroclaw93-81
28/09/25HLublin77-82
27/09/25ALegia96-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.395.083.5
Allowed / game87.384.089.0
Point differential+0.0+11.0-5.5
Avg total174.7179.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%100%0%
Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.792.599.0
Allowed / game72.360.596.0
Point differential+22.3+32.0+3.0
Avg total167.0153.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trefl Sopot330100%94.772.3+22.3
2 Peristeri330100%91.074.3+16.7
3 Cedevita Junior330100%95.781.0+14.7
4 Vechta54180%89.680.2+9.4
5 Murcia43175%85.071.5+13.5
6 Sassari43175%91.279.8+11.5
7 Basketball Braunschweig43175%83.882.5+1.2
8 Bilbao32167%99.765.7+34.0
9 Basket Zaragoza32167%95.779.7+16.0
10 Szombathely32167%87.776.3+11.3
11 Rostock32167%90.083.0+7.0
12 AEK Larnaca32167%84.078.3+5.7
13 Petkim Spor32167%82.377.0+5.3
14 CSM Oradea32167%84.081.3+2.7
15 PAOK32167%86.085.0+1.0
16 Cibona64267%83.083.0+0.0
17 Neftchi IK32167%87.387.3+0.0
18 FC Porto32167%81.782.7-1.0
19 KK Bosna53260%79.271.4+7.8
20 Reggiana42250%86.276.8+9.5
21 Anwil Wloclawek63350%89.882.5+7.3
22 Sporting CP42250%84.081.2+2.8
23 Dijon42250%80.880.5+0.2
24 Brno63350%74.580.3-5.8
25 Corona Brasov52340%81.080.2+0.8
26 BC Prievidza52340%86.886.2+0.6
27 Anorthosis52340%75.090.6-15.6
28 Antwerp Giants31233%89.782.7+7.0
29 Bakken Bears31233%86.787.7-1.0
30 Lublin31233%85.792.3-6.7
31 Keravnos31233%83.091.0-8.0
32 Pelister31233%84.092.0-8.0
33 Bashkimi62433%76.385.5-9.2
34 BC Kalev/Cramo31233%78.391.0-12.7
35 Tartu Ulikool31233%83.096.0-13.0
36 Rilski Sportist41325%68.880.8-12.0
37 Kutaisi41325%68.893.0-24.2
38 Absheron Lions51420%83.289.2-6.0
39 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
40 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
41 Trepca3030%77.088.7-11.7
42 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
43 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
44 Valcea3030%68.795.7-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neftchi IK2621301592
Trefl Sopot2623221687
← all games of the day
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