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NeoPhoenix vs Ibaraki Robots Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 87-64
17-15 21-13 28-17 21-19
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#22
Record1-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.6
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium (Toyohashi)
Other2023-24
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Ibaraki Robots
27 Oct 2024
NEOP100
IBAR89
26 Oct 2024
NEOP87
IBAR73
12 Nov 2023
NEOP96
IBAR62
11 Nov 2023
NEOP87
IBAR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
88-70
88
70
+18
75avg 76
H14/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
no box
H15/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
91avg 76
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 76
H22/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
79avg 76
H25/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
77avg 76
A28/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 76
A29/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
89-73
89
73
+16
82avg 76
A04/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
52avg 76
A05/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
H08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
24-19
24-11
10-14
23-28
19-20
32-18
15-23
24-21
29-14
26-11
14-22
25-18
25-27
25-17
20-16
27-20
22-13
20-26
20-21
14-19
29-18
24-18
21-19
20-26
25-17
18-16
18-20
23-16
17-18
28-16
21-23
15-18
30-18
14-21
14-18
23-24
19-15
25-20
18-26
167.6Avg total
89.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.378.7166.0+8.783%
Season at home (6)93.380.7174.0+12.7100%
Season away (6)81.376.7158.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)89.178.5167.6+10.690%
Last 5 (5)85.078.8163.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.779.1151.8-6.430%
vs Similar (4)80.880.2161.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.982.4167.3+2.469%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
72avg 73
H14/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 73
H15/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
83-100
83
100
-17
80avg 73
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
85-93
85
93
-8
82avg 73
H22/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-96
80
96
-16
80avg 73
A25/10
B League
Gunma
#13
L
72-79
72
79
-7
61avg 73
A28/10
B League
Gunma
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
63avg 73
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
81-98
81
98
-17
81avg 73
H04/11
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
92-88
92
88
+4
94avg 73
H05/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
60-79
60
79
-19
49avg 73
A08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
20-22
15-20
14-23
27-20
13-15
15-20
19-28
17-33
20-25
25-25
21-17
24-19
23-27
13-25
25-22
21-28
17-21
24-24
18-23
17-19
14-21
15-17
26-22
18-19
16-10
15-23
17-15
19-18
20-25
20-31
22-24
15-16
31-29
22-21
24-22
15-19
17-19
9-27
19-14
163.4Avg total
77.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.786.6164.2-8.98%
Season at home (6)82.090.5172.5-8.517%
Season away (6)73.382.7156.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)77.086.4163.4-9.410%
Last 5 (5)74.282.2156.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.585.6162.1-9.17%
vs Similar (14)83.579.2162.7+4.350%
vs Weaker (2)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
NeoPhoenixIbaraki Robots
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H14/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H21/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H22/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A28/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
B League
85.8Avg total
46.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.479.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.639.078.6+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.879.6+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.585.8+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.880.8+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.135.971.0-0.840%-
vs Similar (4)38.239.878.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.041.584.5+1.556%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A25/10
B League
Gunma
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A28/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/11
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A08/11
B League
81.3Avg total
39.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.476.8-2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.780.6-0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)34.938.072.9-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.181.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.075.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.641.678.2-4.943%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.975.8-0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)39.534.073.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.4
52.9%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.210.0
29.2%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.3
76.2%
72.0%17.3
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.8
50.5%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.6
30.3%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.913.8
81.7%
72.0%13.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WLWWWWWWWW
Ibaraki Robots
LWLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#22
+11.9
Net rating
-12.3
110.2
Offensive rating
101.6
98.2
Defensive rating
113.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
22.3%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.2%
3-point %
30.3%
63.0%
Assist %
67.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 101.6Defence98.2 · 113.9Shooting48.4% · 48.5%3-point %29.2% · 30.3%Ball care13.9% · 22.3%Off. rebounds31.7% · 35.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Ibaraki Robots
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NeoPhoenix wins
2
Ibaraki Robots wins
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HYokohama94-93 OT
05/11/23AUtsunomiya Brex73-75
04/11/23AUtsunomiya Brex89-73
29/10/23AAkita81-79
28/10/23AAkita88-74
25/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles89-80
22/10/23HGunma95-78
21/10/23HGunma93-68
15/10/23HKyoto101-95 OT
14/10/23HKyoto88-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23AAlvark60-79
05/11/23HNagasaki92-88
04/11/23HNagasaki81-98
29/10/23AGunma66-67
28/10/23AGunma72-79
25/10/23AUtsunomiya Brex80-96
22/10/23HOsaka85-93
21/10/23HOsaka83-100
15/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-83
14/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.393.381.3
Allowed / game78.780.776.7
Point differential+8.7+12.7+4.7
Avg total166.0174.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Ibaraki Robots
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game77.782.073.3
Allowed / game86.690.582.7
Point differential-8.9-8.5-9.3
Avg total164.2172.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1312192%80.760.5+20.2
2 NeoPhoenix1210283%87.378.7+8.7
3 Brave Thunders1210283%81.074.4+6.6
4 Osaka129375%85.478.8+6.6
5 Ryukyu129375%81.975.7+6.2
6 Utsunomiya Brex129375%76.570.4+6.1
7 Diamond Dolphins129375%84.279.2+4.9
8 Nagasaki128467%88.584.5+4.0
9 Shimane128467%80.977.2+3.7
10 Chiba127558%85.584.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.126650%78.973.2+5.7
12 SeaHorses Mikawa126650%81.978.6+3.3
13 Sendai126650%81.579.2+2.2
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles126650%72.674.7-2.1
15 Saga125742%70.473.6-3.2
16 Yokohama125742%77.282.4-5.2
17 Gunma125742%76.382.3-6.0
18 Shinshu124833%77.883.6-5.8
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya123925%75.280.2-4.9
20 Hokkaido123925%72.279.6-7.4
21 Akita1331023%68.578.5-10.0
22 Ibaraki Robots121118%77.786.6-8.9
23 Kyoto121118%72.284.1-11.9
24 Toyama120120%72.487.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix1721282187
Ibaraki Robots1513171964
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