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Ibaraki Robots vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 81-98
19-18 20-25 20-31 22-24
Position#22
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#17
Record7-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Adastria Mito Arena (Mito)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ibaraki Robots v Nagasaki
28 Apr 2027
IBAR v NAGA
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
IBAR103
NAGA109
18 Apr 2026
IBAR69
NAGA90
22 Dec 2024
IBAR85
NAGA97
21 Dec 2024
IBAR75
NAGA91
05 Nov 2023
IBAR92
NAGA88
04 Nov 2023
IBAR81
NAGA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Osaka
#15
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A07/05
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
no box
A07/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
83-91
83
91
-8
74avg 72
A08/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
72avg 72
H14/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 72
H15/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
83-100
83
100
-17
80avg 72
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
85-93
85
93
-8
82avg 72
H22/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-96
80
96
-16
80avg 72
A25/10
B League
Gunma
#13
L
72-79
72
79
-7
61avg 72
A28/10
B League
Gunma
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
63avg 72
A29/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-22
19-24
28-25
19-21
20-22
15-15
21-17
14-27
18-22
23-21
28-21
28-16
20-22
15-20
14-23
27-20
13-15
15-20
19-28
17-33
20-25
25-25
21-17
24-19
23-27
13-25
25-22
21-28
17-21
24-24
18-23
17-19
14-21
15-17
26-22
18-19
16-10
15-23
17-15
164.9Avg total
78.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.786.0163.7-8.30%
Season at home (4)79.889.2169.0-9.50%
Season away (5)76.083.4159.4-7.40%
Last 10 (10)78.086.9164.9-8.90%
Last 5 (5)77.287.0164.2-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.485.5161.8-9.10%
vs Similar (15)82.778.5161.2+4.353%
vs Weaker (2)81.581.0162.5+0.550%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
83avg 81
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
90avg 81
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 81
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 81
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 81
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 81
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 81
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 81
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 81
H29/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-24
14-18
27-24
26-18
18-23
25-23
20-22
25-25
17-26
28-15
26-18
32-20
24-21
16-27
22-15
29-26
22-14
13-25
14-20
30-23
24-18
16-23
21-10
23-11
19-25
22-16
13-21
20-31
22-17
13-23
27-26
25-25
19-15
25-23
12-13
168.8Avg total
86.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.682.2168.8+4.378%
Season at home (5)84.082.8166.8+1.280%
Season away (4)89.881.5171.2+8.275%
Last 10 (9)86.682.2168.8+4.378%
Last 5 (5)81.881.0162.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.082.8166.8+1.280%
vs Similar (2)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)95.083.5178.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
Ibaraki RobotsNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/05
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A08/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H21/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A25/10
B League
Gunma
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A28/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/10
B League
81.3Avg total
38.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.975.4-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.340.578.9-2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.737.372.0-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.043.381.3-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.481.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.241.676.8-6.438%-
vs Similar (15)37.237.374.5-0.153%-
vs Weaker (2)39.534.073.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/10
B League
89.2Avg total
47.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)47.242.089.2+5.278%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.441.085.4+3.480%-
Last 30 away (4)50.843.294.0+7.575%-
Last 10 (9)47.242.089.2+5.278%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.087.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.441.085.4+3.480%-
vs Similar (2)52.540.593.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)49.046.095.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.6
47.6%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.0%
33.5%25.1
🏀 Free throws18.014.1
78.5%
72.0%14.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
55.0%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.1
38.2%
33.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.611.9
67.7%
72.0%11.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibaraki Robots
LLLLLLLLLL
Nagasaki
WLWWLWWWW
#22
League position
#17
-12.1
Net rating
+5.8
102.9
Offensive rating
108.4
115.0
Defensive rating
102.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
38.2%
66.7%
Assist %
61.7%
0%
Form (last 10/9)
78%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 108.4Defence115.0 · 102.6Shooting48.9% · 56.0%3-point %34.0% · 38.2%Ball care20.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/9)0% · 78%
■ Ibaraki Robots   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ibaraki Robots wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AGunma66-67
28/10/23AGunma72-79
25/10/23AUtsunomiya Brex80-96
22/10/23HOsaka85-93
21/10/23HOsaka83-100
15/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-83
14/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles77-81
08/10/23AShinshu83-91
07/10/23AShinshu79-84 OT
07/05/23AOsaka81-95
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa81-76
28/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-97
25/10/23HShimane77-73
22/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya91-74
21/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya78-85
15/10/23AToyama94-83
14/10/23AToyama96-84
09/10/23HChiba89-86
08/10/23HChiba91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibaraki Robots
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.779.876.0
Allowed / game86.089.283.4
Point differential-8.3-9.5-7.4
Avg total163.7169.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game86.684.089.8
Allowed / game82.282.881.5
Point differential+4.3+1.2+8.2
Avg total168.8166.8171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark109190%79.560.6+18.9
2 Osaka109190%87.577.0+10.5
3 NeoPhoenix98189%88.078.1+9.9
4 Brave Thunders108280%81.275.3+5.9
5 Utsunomiya Brex97278%77.371.0+6.3
6 Nagasaki97278%86.682.2+4.3
7 Ryukyu107370%80.276.1+4.1
8 Diamond Dolphins107370%81.577.6+3.9
9 Shimane107370%79.875.9+3.9
10 SeaHorses Mikawa95456%82.674.8+7.8
11 Chiba95456%84.083.9+0.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles95456%73.775.0-1.3
13 Gunma105550%76.080.8-4.8
14 Sendai94544%80.282.7-2.4
15 Saga94544%72.174.8-2.7
16 Yokohama94544%77.080.7-3.7
17 Hiroshima D.93633%76.776.2+0.4
18 Shinshu103730%79.184.9-5.8
19 Akita92722%71.880.0-8.2
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya102820%74.580.3-5.8
21 Hokkaido91811%75.083.9-8.9
22 Kyoto91811%73.782.8-9.1
23 Ibaraki Robots9090%77.786.0-8.3
24 Toyama100100%70.787.3-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibaraki Robots1920202281
Nagasaki1825312498
← all games of the day
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