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NeoPhoenix vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 90-78
22-24 23-18 23-25 22-11
Position#2
Record15-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#20
Record6-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.2
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Koshigaya Alphas
15 Dec 2024
NEOP89
KOSH86
14 Dec 2024
NEOP90
KOSH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 86
H02/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
77avg 86
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
112-89
112
89
+23
110avg 86
H06/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
123-61
123
61
+62
131avg 86
A09/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
110-88
110
88
+22
117avg 86
A10/11
B League
Shimane
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 86
H30/11
B League
Shimane
#8
W
113-78
113
78
+35
105avg 86
H01/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
77avg 86
H07/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
99-84
99
84
+15
95avg 86
H08/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 86
A11/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
25-25
31-17
18-26
18-21
23-18
18-17
21-17
22-24
34-21
32-16
24-28
32-20
38-20
26-8
27-13
30-25
30-19
21-25
29-19
20-15
24-31
19-20
16-19
34-21
33-22
23-16
23-19
22-17
25-22
20-19
20-21
33-15
28-27
18-20
20-22
23-25
17-14
10-17
24-22
177.2Avg total
97.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.778.8170.6+12.979%
Season at home (11)91.180.2171.3+10.982%
Season away (8)92.677.0169.6+15.675%
Last 10 (10)97.379.9177.2+17.480%
Last 5 (5)90.480.8171.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)85.087.0172.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.678.2166.9+10.468%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
68avg 77
H02/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
59-82
59
82
-23
53avg 77
H03/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 77
H06/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 77
A09/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
63-87
63
87
-24
54avg 77
A10/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
90-94
90
94
-4
88avg 77
H30/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 77
H01/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 77
H07/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
100-74
100
74
+26
110avg 77
H08/12
B League
Chiba
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 77
H11/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
19-22
21-21
18-27
19-22
11-17
10-24
19-19
19-19
23-19
16-9
22-20
25-18
22-16
12-17
21-21
10-21
21-25
14-13
18-28
18-25
23-28
24-24
25-17
28-20
32-12
24-13
17-26
33-17
29-24
19-19
20-17
31-19
38-15
18-22
13-18
23-21
26-21
17-23
16-19
161.9Avg total
82.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.581.2157.7-4.732%
Season at home (12)80.981.7162.6-0.842%
Season away (7)68.980.4149.3-11.614%
Last 10 (10)82.779.2161.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)94.880.0174.8+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.483.8160.2-7.425%
vs Similar (9)83.679.6163.1+4.056%
vs Weaker (5)90.077.0167.0+13.060%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
NeoPhoenixKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H02/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H06/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
70-40
70
40
+30
A09/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A10/11
B League
Shimane
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
B League
Shimane
#8
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H01/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H08/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/12
B League
95.1Avg total
53.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.541.689.1+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.840.888.6+7.069%-
Last 30 away (14)47.142.689.6+4.557%-
Last 10 (10)53.341.895.1+11.590%-
Last 5 (5)51.841.893.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)38.546.084.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.141.389.4+6.868%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H03/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A09/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H30/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H01/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H07/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
69-34
69
34
+35
H08/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H11/12
B League
85.8Avg total
46.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.984.0+4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.881.2-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.585.8+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)56.240.496.6+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.842.480.2-4.625%-
vs Similar (9)46.840.687.3+6.267%-
vs Weaker (5)46.236.082.2+10.280%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.623.3
58.8%
51.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.8
37.2%
33.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.518.0
73.5%
72.7%18.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
72.7%16.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
LWWWLWWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWWLLWWLL
#2
League position
#20
+24.3
Net rating
+6.0
127.5
Offensive rating
110.3
103.2
Defensive rating
104.3
57.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
34.9%
67.2%
Assist %
70.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence127.5 · 110.3Defence103.2 · 104.3Shooting57.6% · 52.5%3-point %37.2% · 34.9%Ball care14.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds38.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya74-78
08/12/24HChiba99-84
07/12/24HChiba87-79
01/12/24HShimane113-78
30/11/24HShimane79-85
10/11/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles110-88
09/11/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles123-61
06/11/24HBrave Thunders112-89
03/11/24HHiroshima D.80-73
02/11/24HHiroshima D.96-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HChiba82-84
08/12/24HBrave Thunders100-74
07/12/24HBrave Thunders101-77
01/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles101-71
30/11/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles90-94
10/11/24AYokohama63-87
09/11/24AYokohama80-72
06/11/24HNagasaki80-67
03/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya59-82
02/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL79%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %79%82%75%
Points / game91.791.192.6
Allowed / game78.880.277.0
Point differential+12.9+10.9+15.6
Avg total170.6171.3169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%55%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL32%
HomeLWWWL42%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %32%42%14%
Points / game76.580.968.9
Allowed / game81.281.780.4
Point differential-4.7-0.8-11.6
Avg total157.7162.6149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %5%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1917289%80.869.5+11.4
2 Chiba2016480%83.575.3+8.2
3 NeoPhoenix1915479%91.778.8+12.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex1915479%82.774.4+8.3
5 Shimane1914574%82.373.3+8.9
6 Ryukyu1914574%85.677.8+7.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1913668%80.274.0+6.2
8 Gunma2013765%79.872.2+7.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1912763%76.570.8+5.7
10 Osaka1911858%82.580.1+2.4
11 Akita1911858%73.272.7+0.5
12 Kyoto1991047%80.179.6+0.5
13 Diamond Dolphins1981142%80.583.0-2.5
14 Hiroshima D.2081240%77.182.8-5.8
15 Nagasaki1971237%70.674.9-4.4
16 Yokohama1971237%73.979.3-5.4
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1971237%74.682.1-7.5
18 Saga2071335%74.376.7-2.4
19 Koshigaya Alphas1961332%76.581.2-4.7
20 Hokkaido1961332%72.379.6-7.3
21 Ibaraki Robots1951426%74.582.5-8.0
22 Sendai1941521%72.980.7-7.8
23 Brave Thunders1941521%74.886.1-11.3
24 Shiga191185%73.287.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix2223232290
Koshigaya Alphas2418251178
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