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Koshigaya Alphas vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 80-67
19-19 23-19 16-9 22-20
Position#20
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#16
Record6-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game72.7
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
68avg 76
A06/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
58avg 76
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
52avg 76
H13/10
B League
Shimane
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 76
H19/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 76
H20/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 76
A23/10
B League
Sendai
#23
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
67avg 76
A26/10
B League
Sendai
#23
L
63-73
63
73
-10
53avg 76
A27/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
68avg 76
H02/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
59-82
59
82
-23
53avg 76
H03/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
18-28
14-22
21-17
15-24
10-19
15-21
25-23
16-14
14-25
11-20
18-28
22-18
20-27
24-9
22-27
14-23
18-27
21-18
22-24
22-31
15-12
21-6
11-29
23-17
19-18
3-18
20-12
19-18
11-19
16-17
17-19
13-14
19-22
21-21
18-27
19-22
11-17
10-24
19-19
154.1Avg total
69.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.783.4152.1-14.69%
Season at home (6)69.585.5155.0-16.017%
Season away (5)67.880.8148.6-13.00%
Last 10 (10)69.984.2154.1-14.310%
Last 5 (5)68.080.8148.8-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.084.0157.0-11.023%
vs Similar ◀ (4)82.084.8166.8-2.825%
vs Weaker (13)86.877.4164.2+9.569%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
47avg 71
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
66avg 71
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 71
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 71
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 71
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 71
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
50-82
50
82
-32
34avg 71
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 71
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 71
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 71
H03/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
11-15
13-11
14-13
17-20
21-19
13-7
17-13
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
19-20
18-28
23-4
18-20
13-25
23-19
19-15
17-23
14-15
27-15
20-26
20-23
13-25
15-19
11-21
11-17
15-22
12-21
27-24
21-12
30-18
17-17
25-23
15-10
21-23
18-23
16-17
19-20
144.9Avg total
71.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.172.7144.8-0.655%
Season at home (7)70.973.9144.7-3.043%
Season away (4)74.270.8145.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)71.773.2144.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)73.478.2151.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.377.5152.7-2.247%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.075.3152.3+1.770%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
Koshigaya AlphasNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H13/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H20/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A26/10
B League
Sendai
#23
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H03/11
B League
75.6Avg total
33.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.380.6+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.978.8+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.782.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)33.741.975.6-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.072.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.042.577.5-7.515%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)45.137.282.3+7.869%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H27/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
B League
76.1Avg total
35.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.679.2+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.776.9-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.040.581.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.376.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.676.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.041.478.4-4.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.439.381.7+3.160%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.6
49.4%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.0
29.1%
33.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
72.7%11.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.6
50.9%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.511.1
76.6%
72.7%11.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLLLLWLLL
Nagasaki
LWLLWLWWWL
#20
League position
#16
-18.9
Net rating
-1.8
92.4
Offensive rating
99.7
111.3
Defensive rating
101.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
21.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.1%
3-point %
33.6%
64.1%
Assist %
58.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 99.7Defence111.3 · 101.5Shooting47.4% · 50.7%3-point %29.1% · 33.6%Ball care21.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds25.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya59-82
02/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya71-84
27/10/24ASendai63-73
26/10/24ASendai78-87 OT
23/10/24AAkita69-78
20/10/24HShimane75-92
19/10/24HShimane88-81
13/10/24HRyukyu59-87
12/10/24HRyukyu65-87
06/10/24AAlvark72-91
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HDiamond Dolphins74-83
02/11/24HDiamond Dolphins87-68
27/10/24HChiba75-79
26/10/24HChiba50-82
23/10/24HOsaka81-79
20/10/24AGunma72-82
19/10/24AGunma78-72
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
12/10/24AHokkaido68-59
05/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya53-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game68.769.567.8
Allowed / game83.485.580.8
Point differential-14.6-16.0-13.0
Avg total152.1155.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%20%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%43%75%
Points / game72.170.974.2
Allowed / game72.773.970.8
Point differential-0.6-3.0+3.5
Avg total144.8144.7145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba119282%80.871.5+9.3
2 NeoPhoenix119282%86.077.8+8.2
3 Alvark119282%78.570.7+7.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex119282%79.774.7+5.0
5 Shimane118373%83.072.5+10.5
6 Ryukyu118373%88.878.7+10.1
7 Gunma117464%79.870.8+9.0
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya117464%76.668.8+7.8
9 SeaHorses Mikawa117464%78.374.7+3.5
10 Diamond Dolphins116555%82.980.4+2.5
11 Osaka116555%83.181.1+2.0
12 Kyoto116555%78.476.8+1.5
13 Nagasaki116555%72.172.7-0.6
14 Saga115645%74.374.0+0.3
15 Akita115645%76.276.8-0.6
16 Yokohama115645%73.977.7-3.8
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles114736%71.473.6-2.3
18 Hokkaido114736%71.077.5-6.5
19 Sendai113827%71.676.1-4.5
20 Brave Thunders113827%73.382.2-8.9
21 Hiroshima D.112918%72.583.5-11.1
22 Ibaraki Robots112918%73.786.5-12.8
23 Shiga111109%76.087.8-11.8
24 Koshigaya Alphas111109%68.783.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1923162280
Nagasaki191992067
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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