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Koshigaya Alphas vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 101-77
33-17 29-24 19-19 20-17
Position#20
Record4-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#21
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game84.3
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Brave Thunders
26 Apr 2026
KOSH89
BRAV79
25 Apr 2026
KOSH90
BRAV84
05 Nov 2025
KOSH76
BRAV65
08 Dec 2024
KOSH100
BRAV74
07 Dec 2024
KOSH101
BRAV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 76
A23/10
B League
Sendai
#23
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
67avg 76
A26/10
B League
Sendai
#23
L
63-73
63
73
-10
53avg 76
A27/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
68avg 76
H02/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
59-82
59
82
-23
53avg 76
H03/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 76
H06/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 76
A09/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
63-87
63
87
-24
54avg 76
A10/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
90-94
90
94
-4
88avg 76
H30/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
100avg 76
H01/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
15-12
21-6
11-29
23-17
19-18
3-18
20-12
19-18
11-19
16-17
17-19
13-14
19-22
21-21
18-27
19-22
11-17
10-24
19-19
19-19
23-19
16-9
22-20
25-18
22-16
12-17
21-21
10-21
21-25
14-13
18-28
18-25
23-28
24-24
25-17
28-20
32-12
24-13
17-26
154.9Avg total
75.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.181.8154.9-8.625%
Season at home (9)76.482.8159.2-6.333%
Season away (7)68.980.4149.3-11.614%
Last 10 (10)75.479.5154.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)82.878.2161.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.083.8159.8-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.780.7159.4-2.043%
vs Weaker (8)90.180.9171.0+9.262%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
54-69
54
69
-15
49avg 73
H23/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
62-89
62
89
-27
56avg 73
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
63avg 73
H26/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
67-89
67
89
-22
58avg 73
A03/11
B League
Saga
#18
W
89-76
89
76
+13
90avg 73
A04/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
89-112
89
112
-23
85avg 73
A06/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
79avg 73
A09/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
98avg 73
A10/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
53avg 73
H30/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
62-80
62
80
-18
47avg 73
H01/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
13-20
10-19
19-16
18-20
26-18
13-26
5-25
14-15
19-16
17-19
18-25
17-21
13-22
18-25
19-21
24-16
23-21
16-20
26-19
24-22
21-34
16-32
28-24
13-23
24-17
15-24
29-19
18-16
26-21
25-15
22-30
20-22
16-21
14-24
16-21
18-11
14-22
14-20
16-27
157.2Avg total
72.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.784.3159.0-9.625%
Season at home (9)69.981.2151.1-11.322%
Season away (7)80.988.3169.1-7.429%
Last 10 (10)72.984.3157.2-11.420%
Last 5 (5)77.889.0166.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.484.4157.7-11.021%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.882.1159.9-4.242%
vs Weaker (4)86.884.2171.0+2.575%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
Koshigaya AlphasBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A26/10
B League
Sendai
#23
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H03/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A09/11
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H30/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H01/12
B League
78.5Avg total
39.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.382.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.481.1+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.182.9-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.378.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.142.579.5-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.441.482.9+0.057%-
vs Weaker (8)46.938.985.8+8.075%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A03/11
B League
Saga
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A06/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/11
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H30/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/12
B League
76.5Avg total
37.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.278.8-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.037.473.4-1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.643.585.1-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.276.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.880.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.740.276.9-3.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.338.878.2+0.558%-
vs Weaker (4)43.044.587.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.2
51.3%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.3
29.0%
33.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
72.7%14.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.3
49.5%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.7
37.0%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws12.79.3
73.2%
72.7%9.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
WLLWWLLLLL
Brave Thunders
LLWLLWLLLL
#20
League position
#21
-5.7
Net rating
-16.2
97.8
Offensive rating
100.7
103.5
Defensive rating
116.9
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.0%
3-point %
37.0%
64.5%
Assist %
70.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 100.7Defence103.5 · 116.9Shooting48.2% · 51.8%3-point %29.0% · 37.0%Ball care20.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 25.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Brave Thunders wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles101-71
30/11/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles90-94
10/11/24AYokohama63-87
09/11/24AYokohama80-72
06/11/24HNagasaki80-67
03/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya59-82
02/11/24HSun Rockers Shibuya71-84
27/10/24ASendai63-73
26/10/24ASendai78-87 OT
23/10/24AAkita69-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HAlvark62-80
30/11/24HAlvark66-88
10/11/24AKyoto91-82
09/11/24AKyoto81-83
06/11/24ANeoPhoenix89-112
04/11/24ASaga89-76
03/11/24ASaga67-89
26/10/24HGunma68-75
25/10/24HGunma62-89
23/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya54-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW25%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%33%14%
Points / game73.176.468.9
Allowed / game81.882.880.4
Point differential-8.6-6.3-11.6
Avg total154.9159.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%22%29%
Points / game74.769.980.9
Allowed / game84.381.288.3
Point differential-9.6-11.3-7.4
Avg total159.0151.1169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba1614288%83.872.8+11.1
2 Alvark1614288%79.969.9+10.0
3 NeoPhoenix1613381%92.778.6+14.1
4 Utsunomiya Brex1713476%81.675.4+6.2
5 Shimane1712571%82.274.1+8.1
6 Ryukyu1611569%85.278.3+6.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1611569%79.173.8+5.4
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya1711665%76.870.4+6.5
9 Gunma1610662%79.972.1+7.8
10 Akita1710759%74.674.5+0.1
11 Osaka179853%82.580.5+2.0
12 Diamond Dolphins168850%81.982.1-0.2
13 Kyoto178947%79.479.4+0.0
14 Saga167944%74.874.0+0.8
15 Nagasaki167944%70.472.8-2.4
16 Yokohama1771041%74.277.5-3.3
17 Hiroshima D.1651131%74.882.2-7.4
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1651131%72.882.1-9.3
19 Hokkaido1751229%73.081.1-8.1
20 Sendai1641225%73.279.8-6.5
21 Koshigaya Alphas1641225%73.181.8-8.6
22 Brave Thunders1641225%74.784.3-9.6
23 Ibaraki Robots1741324%75.183.9-8.8
24 Shiga171166%72.286.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas33291920101
Brave Thunders1724191777
← all games of the day
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