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Neptunas vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-91
24-27 23-17 24-27 15-20
Position#17
Record4-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Astana 🏆
Russia
Position#11
Record7-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game84.0
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2013-14
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H12/01
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H19/01
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#11
W
118-78
118
78
+40
A22/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H09/02
LKL
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H14/02
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H24/02
VTB United League
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A28/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-16
23-21
21-14
16-20
18-28
20-23
20-21
32-17
32-22
25-18
29-21
14-14
25-14
25-21
17-24
28-23
14-24
16-18
12-18
28-19
12-24
26-20
18-20
25-17
23-21
24-21
15-26
22-27
26-15
12-23
21-16
8-20
20-22
15-12
30-27
13-25
22-8
18-19
26-14
163.4Avg total
83.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.784.1161.9-6.427%
Season at home (6)81.584.8166.3-3.350%
Season away (9)75.283.7158.9-8.411%
Last 10 (10)83.579.9163.4+3.670%
Last 5 (5)83.480.2163.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.782.0157.7-6.336%
vs Similar (14)82.182.1164.3+0.050%
vs Weaker (5)87.076.8163.8+10.280%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A18/01
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
W
106-86
106
86
+20
H26/01
VTB United League
Kapshagay
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H29/01
National League
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H02/02
VTB United League
Kaspiy Aktau
#4
W
82-54
82
54
+28
H05/02
National League
Khimki M.
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
H08/02
VTB United League
Almaty
#5
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H11/02
National League
Almaty
#5
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H12/02
National League
Kapshagay
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H18/02
National League
Minsk
#18
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H22/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-10
18-19
25-23
25-18
37-20
23-23
21-25
19-13
21-11
26-12
10-22
30-17
27-24
19-22
19-17
29-17
13-10
21-9
19-18
11-22
22-22
14-26
22-21
24-12
22-15
21-12
24-9
33-15
31-12
27-17
10-17
–
–
–
–
27-16
23-24
29-16
20-26
144.2Avg total
79.6Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.884.0166.8-1.244%
Season at home (9)89.184.8173.9+4.367%
Season away (7)74.683.0157.6-8.414%
Last 10 (10)79.664.6144.2+15.080%
Last 5 (5)72.060.4132.4+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.091.7162.7-20.70%
vs Similar (7)86.983.1170.0+3.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.863.6151.4+24.185%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
NeptunasAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#18
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/01
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H19/01
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#11
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A22/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
LKL
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/02
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H24/02
VTB United League
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/02
LKL
80.6Avg total
40.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.478.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.838.878.6+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.077.6-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.780.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.338.574.7-2.236%-
vs Similar (14)38.640.579.1-1.936%-
vs Weaker (5)43.638.682.2+5.080%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A18/01
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H26/01
VTB United League
Kapshagay
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H29/01
National League
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H02/02
VTB United League
Kaspiy Aktau
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H05/02
National League
Khimki M.
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H08/02
VTB United League
Almaty
#5
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H11/02
National League
Almaty
#5
W
64-27
64
27
+37
H12/02
National League
Minsk
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H22/02
VTB United League
80.0Avg total
47.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)44.934.579.5+10.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.531.679.1+15.988%-
Last 30 away (9)40.040.180.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (9)47.632.480.0+15.189%-
Last 5 (5)47.033.080.0+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.342.377.7-7.00%-
vs Similar (7)43.339.082.3+4.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.431.178.6+16.394%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
Astana wins
DateGameScore
01/12/13Astana v Neptunas82-84
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/14AAlytaus Dzukija79-66
24/02/14HVolgograd73-81
14/02/14HKrasnye Krylya94-86 OT
09/02/14HJuventus87-85
06/02/14HPieno Zvaigzdes84-83
02/02/14AZenit Petersburg70-83
27/01/14HZalgiris Kaunas81-73
22/01/14ALSU Atletas118-78
19/01/14HKhimki M.74-92
12/01/14HMinsk75-72
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/14HMinsk99-82
18/02/14HKapshagay0-20
12/02/14HAlmaty101-61
11/02/14HAlmaty91-48
08/02/14HKhimki M.69-91
05/02/14HKaspiy Aktau82-54
02/02/14HAzovmash Mariupol95-80
29/01/14HKapshagay76-58
26/01/14HVolgograd106-86
18/01/14AKrasnye Krylya77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %27%50%11%
Points / game77.781.575.2
Allowed / game84.184.883.7
Point differential-6.4-3.3-8.4
Avg total161.9166.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %20%33%11%
Astana
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW44%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%67%14%
Points / game82.889.174.6
Allowed / game84.084.883.0
Point differential-1.2+4.3-8.4
Avg total166.8173.9157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Khimki M.16160100%87.069.6+17.4
2 Unics Kazan1615194%79.166.3+12.8
3 CSKA Moscow1614288%81.169.5+11.6
4 Rytas1611569%79.173.3+5.8
5 Zenit Petersburg1610662%78.877.5+1.3
6 Lokomotiv Kuban1610662%75.474.9+0.6
7 Nizhny Novgorod169756%74.469.0+5.4
8 Enisey169756%85.686.2-0.6
9 Donetsk168850%76.877.9-1.1
10 Astana167944%82.884.0-1.2
11 Krasnye Krylya167944%75.378.4-3.1
12 Volgograd156940%85.590.7-5.1
13 Turow Zgorzelec1661038%80.883.1-2.4
14 VEF Riga1661038%76.078.6-2.6
15 Spartak St. Petersburg1661038%70.775.0-4.3
16 Minsk1541127%77.783.5-5.8
17 Neptunas1541127%77.784.1-6.4
18 Azovmash Mariupol1541127%74.081.6-7.6
19 Nymburk1641225%79.484.8-5.4
20 BC Kalev/Cramo1621412%75.586.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2423241586
Astana2717272091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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